Lucky Jim Tuesday [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

Lucky Jim Tuesday

bad gambler
10-31-2005, 11:09 PM
This day is in memory of Jim, the resident smart ass who is currently suspended

Rd1 Odds from Centrebet:

1. CLEMENT, Arnaud (FRA) 2.85
2. KIEFER, Nicolas (GER) 1.40


1. GROSJEAN, Sebastian (FRA) 1.37
2. DENT, Taylor (USA) 3.00


1. LAPENTTI, Nicholas (ECU) 3.00
2. VERDASCO, Fernando (ESP) 1.37


1. MAHUT, Nicolas (FRA) 3.85
2. MONFILS, Gael (FRA) 1.25 Withdrawn


1. MASSU, Nicolas (CHI) 3.40
2. MIRNYI, Max (BLR) 1.30


1. NIEMINEN, Jarkko (FIN) 2.30
2. SANTORO, Fabrice (FRA) 1.60

Rd2 Odds from Centrebet

1. RUSEDSKI, Greg (GBR) 2.10
2. DAVYDENKO, Nikolay (RUS) 1.70


1. ANCIC, Mario (CRO) 1.57
2. TURSUNOV, Dmitry (RUS) 2.35


1. STEPANEK, Radek (CZE) 1.48
2. LOPEZ, Feliciano (ESP) 2.60

Breaker
10-31-2005, 11:16 PM
This day is in memory of Jim, the resident smart ass who is currently suspended

:haha: What a classic! That'll kill him, he pretty much lives on here! Does that mean all the bad reps he gave me for no reason at all will get deleted?

The Gucci one
11-01-2005, 12:01 AM
No bets for me last night. I was going to back Tursunov and Vliegen if they were dogs but the bookies made them favourites. Today I'm looking at a few 2 or 3 legged parlays from the following.

Stepanek over Lopez
Grosjean over Dent
Mirnyi over Massu
Santoro over Nieminen
Tursunov over Ancic
Vaidisova over Henke

Any thoughts appreciated

PS BG how long is Jimbo suspended for?

g35-great
11-01-2005, 01:10 AM
[QUOTE=

PS BG how long is Jimbo suspended for?[/QUOTE]

he is suspended for ever :bigcry: but the good thing is he told me take care of all his matters over here :angel:

The Gucci one
11-01-2005, 01:26 AM
Suspensions are not forever that would be a ban

g35-great
11-01-2005, 01:26 AM
well its a ban then :rolleyes:

The One
11-01-2005, 01:26 AM
Nieminen over Santoro @ $2.30
Santoro to have a let down after last week plus Nieminen is better anyway

bad gambler
11-01-2005, 01:29 AM
Does that mean all the bad reps he gave me for no reason at all will get deleted?

well you are still red aren't you? ;)

bad gambler
11-01-2005, 01:29 AM
PS BG how long is Jimbo suspended for?

until next week

Grinder
11-01-2005, 01:35 AM
20 units on Kiefer 2-0 x Delic x Kiefer x Vaidisova @ 5.65

jen_nz
11-01-2005, 01:58 AM
No bets for me last night. I was going to back Tursunov and Vliegen if they were dogs but the bookies made them favourites. Today I'm looking at a few 2 or 3 legged parlays from the following.

Stepanek over Lopez
Grosjean over Dent
Mirnyi over Massu
Santoro over Nieminen
Tursunov over Ancic
Vaidisova over Henke

Any thoughts appreciated

PS BG how long is Jimbo suspended for?

OMG~ I have been waiting for Vaidisova, but the betting is not available in NZ. If I were you, I would put a substantial bet on her. She is not going to lose this match to Henke (ranking 155, This year total earning about $40,000 :D ). She will be in top 10 soon. :worship:

I was tempted by Stepanek, at first. In Vienna, He won Feli 7-6.7-6. After knowing this score, I am suddenly not interested in this match any more. However, I am probably the most conservative gambler, so this is just me. Good luck! :wavey:

jackieglover
11-01-2005, 02:07 AM
Mahut x Peschke

Waiting to find best price. Single on Lapentti over Verdasco.

dbnumberone
11-01-2005, 02:15 AM
bet to win a unit on Verdasco, good luck all

jackieglover
11-01-2005, 05:03 AM
Peschke x Djokovic $2.33

Can't get line for Mahut/Lisnard.

bad gambler
11-01-2005, 05:31 AM
Best bet for me:

Nicky D to beat the Canadian - $1.70

Others:

Berdych to beat Yips Coria - $2.40

good luck

Yoel and co.
11-01-2005, 05:50 AM
Bring on some black magic - Santoro X Mirnyi X Sugiyama @ 2.89

The Gucci one
11-01-2005, 05:53 AM
Okay usually when I post my plays on here it is the kiss of death and when I don't I do okay. So with great trepidation my plays are below maybe others should steer clear of these

3 units Santoro x Tursunov @ $3.76
4.5 units Vaidisova x Mirnyi x Kiefer x Grosjean @ $2.67
7.5 units Stepanek x Ljubicic (no price up yet) @ roughly $2.20

GL all

The One
11-01-2005, 05:54 AM
Santoro :lol: No way will he win

Yoel and co.
11-01-2005, 06:12 AM
Santoro :lol: No way will he win

Jarkko had a couple of good tournaments in the far east but since then seems to be back to the good old Jarkko ;)

The black magician beat him easily last year and really likes playing in France.

Bolar Bolabi
11-01-2005, 06:14 AM
That's why this message board has been a pleasent place to visit. Hopefully he stays away. I'm enjoying myself here.

The Gucci one
11-01-2005, 06:16 AM
Santoro :lol: No way will he win

18 of his last 19 Left Handed opponents would disagree :eek:

Breaker
11-01-2005, 07:08 AM
Mirnyi x Verdasco seems like the best play at around the $1.85 mark

Clement's not without a chance against Kiefer at $3.00+

Breaker
11-01-2005, 07:09 AM
That's why this message board has been a pleasent place to visit. Hopefully he stays away. I'm enjoying myself here.
Agreed :wavey:

Bolar Bolabi
11-01-2005, 07:44 AM
Glad someone does!

silverwhite
11-01-2005, 08:33 AM
I bet v$500 apiece on Verdasco (over Lapentti), Berdych (over Coria), Mirnyi (over Massu), Santoro (over Niemienen) and Rusedski (over Davydenko). What are the odds that ALL of them lose? :scared:

helloicanseeu
11-01-2005, 08:50 AM
Gone for a double: Grosjean x Mirnyi @ 1.79

Both players are on their bets surface and both have had good runs in this tournament. Dent, for one, has had appalling results on carpet throughout his career and hasn't won in Paris AMS.
:cool: looks relatively safe and rather good money to me
just hope, max doesnt let the holiday mood affect him (like his buddy Bjorkman) and that hunchback Dent keeps to his regular double faults.

The Gucci one
11-01-2005, 08:56 AM
Alert

Abigail Spears Alert she has lost her past 15 matches straight and is playing Julia Schruff who is paying $1.38. Guaranteed money almost.

Come on NZ Jen step up to the plate and take it 38% daily interest if you want it.

SwiSha
11-01-2005, 09:21 AM
Santoro over Nieminen
Fabrice in brilliant form watched him 2 of his matches in Lyon Jarkko in kind of a slump ..Fabrice should be too damn solid imo

Berdych over Coria
can t believe this price ..2.48 ..Corias serve is just horrible these days ..if berdych serves well and he cuts down his errors .he will crush Coria in this one as EL MAGo will give him enough chances to break ..ROFL

Mahut over Lisnard
actually this more against Lisnard ..one of those players who in may opinion has no game at all..jean is just an awful player..Mahut canplay quitewell on this carpet like almost all frenchies and the odds were decent to roll with him and against Lisnard

IVAN over Blake
INDOORS CARPET MONSTER ..just pound it ..should go in this match well rested and with new motivation ..ajmo

good luck


also small plays

on Massu over Mirnyi
Lapentti over Verdasco
Rusedski +4 games over Davydenko

OzinLondon
11-01-2005, 09:58 AM
Is Jim that Its Like That character??

spooky105
11-01-2005, 10:05 AM
I bet v$500 apiece on Verdasco (over Lapentti), Berdych (over Coria), Mirnyi (over Massu), Santoro (over Niemienen) and Rusedski (over Davydenko). What are the odds that ALL of them lose? :scared:

The odds for you to lose all of them are 97.10 (roughly 96-1).

spooky105
11-01-2005, 10:13 AM
some winners I would like to share:

Berdych
Rusedski
Stepanek
Grosjean

edit - i like to add Tursunov 2.40 price

SwiSha
11-01-2005, 10:44 AM
bet of the day Tomas Berdych :yeah:

Yoel and co.
11-01-2005, 11:25 AM
bet of the day Tomas Berdych :yeah:

By all means. Bookies were simply stupid there :cool:

SwiSha
11-01-2005, 11:39 AM
By all means. Bookies were simply stupid there :cool:

yeah ..i like that though :yeah:
vamos bookies

skel1983
11-01-2005, 11:48 AM
yeah ..i like that though :yeah:
vamos bookies


Obviouly not the odds would have been a lot different if the intrest on Berdych was the general concencous, but it obviously wasn't.

spooky105
11-01-2005, 11:58 AM
Obviouly not the odds would have been a lot different if the intrest on Berdych was the general concencous, but it obviously wasn't.

:confused:

skel1983
11-01-2005, 12:11 PM
If that sign is one of confusion, here is my answer, the bookies go off the publics view on the match, they obviously took more money on Coria to win than Bird Man, or the odds would have been a lot different, so the bookies didn't get it wrong the public view was wrong, so if anything i would say the bookies made a tidy profit, as all the money was for Coria!!!!

I hope that clears it up. :)

bad gambler
11-01-2005, 12:12 PM
Best bet for me:

Nicky D to beat the Canadian - $1.70

Others:

Berdych to beat Yips Coria - $2.40

good luck


Both bets won - after today's NFL i needed it :rolleyes:

JMG
11-01-2005, 12:16 PM
Zverev to beat Wessels @3.55 :)

spooky105
11-01-2005, 12:24 PM
If that sign is one of confusion, here is my answer, the bookies go off the publics view on the match, they obviously took more money on Coria to win than Bird Man, or the odds would have been a lot different, so the bookies didn't get it wrong the public view was wrong, so if anything i would say the bookies made a tidy profit, as all the money was for Coria!!!!

I hope that clears it up. :)

gambling markets are like any market - in that they are determined by supply and demand.

the demand was higher for Coria than Berdych - that's all there is to it.

the money was wrong, not necessarily the general (gambling) population - theoretically, there could have been just the 1 punter responsible for all bets on Coria.

bad gambler
11-01-2005, 12:33 PM
Adding the following:

Nieminen to beat Santoro - $2.30 (1 decent week last week should not make magician the fav here IMO)

Parlay:

Stepanek x Ljubicic - $2.39

good luck again

JMG
11-01-2005, 01:31 PM
Also Jarkko for me! @2.50

skel1983
11-01-2005, 03:17 PM
is the guy banned its.like that???

If so why???

helloicanseeu
11-01-2005, 03:31 PM
is the guy banned its.like that???

If so why???
maybe he tried to assasinate the king

skel1983
11-01-2005, 03:34 PM
Santoro will win tonight.

He is the last guy you want to play if your not in form, and Nieminen is struggling, since his defeat to Federer is the far east he has had a couple of niggling injuries, and has struggled for form.

In front of a French crowd Fabrice will turn on his crafty stlye to stun the fin into mistake after mistake.

helloicanseeu
11-01-2005, 03:39 PM
Santoro will win tonight.

He is the last guy you want to play if your not in form, and Nieminen is struggling, since his defeat to Federer is the far east he has had a couple of niggling injuries, and has struggled for form.

In front of a French crowd Fabrice will turn on his crafty stlye to stun the fin into mistake after mistake.
yep, small go on Santoro the magician here.
i bet he'll throw the racquet at Nieminen in the lockerroom to make certain our victory :lol:

adee-gee
11-01-2005, 07:26 PM
Who cares about today, PHM didn't play :shrug:

Breaker
11-01-2005, 07:33 PM
Mirnyi x Verdasco seems like the best play at around the $1.85 mark

Clement's not without a chance against Kiefer at $3.00+

Great start to the tournament!

Yoel and co.
11-01-2005, 08:37 PM
Black magician was down a set and a break but then pulled out a few rabbits, put a spell on the shark and the rest is history :devil: :worship:

adk
11-01-2005, 09:40 PM
Santoro is a legend!

Ljubicic x Santoro x Stepanek looking sweet at sweeeeeeeet odds ($3.5+)

Yoel and co.
11-01-2005, 09:44 PM
Santoro is a legend!

Ljubicic x Santoro x Stepanek looking sweet at sweeeeeeeet odds ($3.5+)

Nice one, but Blake is there to fight :)

SwiSha
11-01-2005, 10:08 PM
Santoro over Nieminen
Fabrice in brilliant form watched him 2 of his matches in Lyon Jarkko in kind of a slump ..Fabrice should be too damn solid imo

Berdych over Coria
can t believe this price ..2.48 ..Corias serve is just horrible these days ..if berdych serves well and he cuts down his errors .he will crush Coria in this one as EL MAGo will give him enough chances to break ..ROFL

Mahut over Lisnard
actually this more against Lisnard ..one of those players who in may opinion has no game at all..jean is just an awful player..Mahut canplay quitewell on this carpet like almost all frenchies and the odds were decent to roll with him and against Lisnard

IVAN over Blake
INDOORS CARPET MONSTER ..just pound it ..should go in this match well rested and with new motivation ..ajmo

good luck


also small plays

on Massu over Mirnyi
Lapentti over Verdasco
Rusedski +4 games over Davydenko

Fabrice IVAN and Tomas were winners ...Mahut couldn t win against one of the worst players of the tour rofl

my small fun plays were all losers although lapentti had enough chances to win this match

overall a decent day

The Gucci one
11-01-2005, 10:12 PM
Okay usually when I post my plays on here it is the kiss of death and when I don't I do okay. So with great trepidation my plays are below maybe others should steer clear of these

3 units Santoro x Tursunov @ $3.76
4.5 units Vaidisova x Mirnyi x Kiefer x Grosjean @ $2.67
7.5 units Stepanek x Ljubicic (no price up yet) @ roughly $2.20

GL all

3 units Santoro :worship: x Tursunov :worship: @ $3.76
4.5 units Vaidisova :worship: x Mirnyi :worship: x Kiefer :mad: x Grosjean :mad: @ $2.67
6 units Stepanek :worship: x Ljubicic :worship: @ $2.34

Finally a winning night after posting my plays

bad gambler
11-01-2005, 11:41 PM
Adding the following:

Nieminen to beat Santoro - $2.30 (1 decent week last week should not make magician the fav here IMO)

Parlay:

Stepanek x Ljubicic - $2.39

good luck again

shame on nieminen choking like that after being a set and break up, but hey that's they way it goes sometimes

fill your boots on ljubo outright, yeeehhhaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa