Monday in the US Open [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

Monday in the US Open

Yoel and co.
08-28-2005, 08:54 PM
Here are a few games which I think might present some value:

Jenkins to beat Bastl @ 2.20

Tojo @1.20

Bjorkman @1.28

Galimberti @ 1.50 (how can you resist that?)

Andreev @ 1.22

Mello @ 1.80

Berdych @ 1.25

I would put a big oneon Andreev & Galimberti...all the others, perhaps small parlays

adee-gee
08-28-2005, 09:10 PM
Main bet:
Parlay Berdych (1.28) x Tojo (1.25) x Andreev (1.25) x Youzhny (1.44) pays just under 3.00

Big single on Soderling to beat Chela at 2.20

Couple of dogs I'm going for (small stakes):
Gambill to beat Massu 3.50
Young to beat Galimberti 2.50
Tipsarevic to beat Saulnier 2.50
Mello to beat Monaco 1.80

JMG
08-28-2005, 10:25 PM
2.65 Tipsarevic
2.45 Mello x Malisse
2.35 Söderling
2.06 Andreev x Galimberti x Ljubicic

What do you think about Puerta?

bad gambler
08-28-2005, 11:00 PM
I haven't had a close look as yet, but on the face of it, goldstein to beat Guga paying $1.45 is a nice leg to have in any parlay.

Peer to beat Domachowska at $1.65 is also good odds, H2h 2-0 on hard court this year. However this is offset by the fact that Peer's GS record is abysmal. But she has been in good form thorughout 2005 coupled with the fact that the polish lass has struggled in the Nth American swing so far.

So far I got:

Gasquet x Peer x Goldstein = $2.60

bad gambler
08-28-2005, 11:01 PM
Couple of dogs I'm going for (small stakes):

Mello to beat Monaco 1.80


$1.80 is not a dog ;)

bad gambler
08-28-2005, 11:12 PM
Sorry just realised Goldstein is playing tomorrow - throw in ToJo to my parlay, gets me to $2.35


ToJo x Gasquet x Peer = $2.35 (8 units)


good luck

The Gucci one
08-29-2005, 03:34 AM
After losing 25 units at New Haven on Monday I'm hoping to get those back pretty quick.

My opening plays of the day are

10 units on Nicole Vaidisova/Flavia Pennetta over Kveta Peschke/Julia Schruff at $1.83
3 units on Jan Michael Gambill over Nicolas Massu at $3.00

The One
08-29-2005, 03:39 AM
After some initial research I have come up with the following for tonite:

Chela over Soderling @ 1.55
Tipsarevic over Saulnier @ 2.60
Mirza over Washington @ 1.30
Nakamura over Irvin @ 1.60
Vaidisova over Peschke @ 1.40 - This is my best bet for tonite!!

Leans for 2moro..Santoro, Verdasco, Beck & Jamea Jackson.

Doctor Dance
08-29-2005, 04:26 AM
Everyone seems to be on Tipsarevic, I know Saulnier hasn't done too much this year, he is still a decent player on hardcourt and is against a very inexperienced player.

Saulnier to beat Tipsarevic, pays $1.50

I also think there is value in Hernych to beat Malisse, but only small play for me, pays $3.00

All the women prices are too short :(

Doctor Dance
08-29-2005, 04:29 AM
Mirza over Washington @ 1.30


Of course I will say to back my countrywoman but be a bit careful with Mirza this tournament, she has played a lot of matches over the past month and she has complained of some back problems in the Indian media last week.

But hope she wins and does well, hardcourt is easily best surface for her :yeah:

sports freak
08-29-2005, 05:52 AM
Best bet and only bet is on Richardo Mello 1.80 over Juan Monaco!!!!Easy $$$$$$$$$$$ for the Brizilian,just like his game better than Juan's!!!!See you guys at the nearest bank!!!!!

PICK OF DAY!!!!

12 unit SPECIAL on Mello 1.80 over Monaco!!!!!!

sports freak
08-29-2005, 05:55 AM
Best bet and only bet is on Richardo Mello 1.80 over Juan Monaco!!!!Easy $$$$$$$$$$$ for the Brizilian,just like his game better than Juan's!!!!See you guys at the nearest bank!!!!!

PICK OF DAY!!!!

12 unit SPECIAL on Mello 1.80 over Monaco!!!!!!
Prediction 3-1 but perferrably 3-0!!!! 6-4,6-3,6-4!!! :rolleyes:

its.like.that
08-29-2005, 06:13 AM
keeping in mind the history of early rounds at slams, unless you are trading, it is best to avoid betting large %'s of your bank on the 50/50 matches that could likely go to 5 sets.

ie. Tipsarevic v Saulnier,

or the tiebreak-a-thons

ie. Fish v Karlovic


Back with plays later on.

Nimrodg
08-29-2005, 06:22 AM
Peer X Bracciali+5 X Tipsy+5 X Okun+5 X Jenkins X Karlovic @ 27.22 (Karlovic@ 27.22) :angel:

Berdych X GG X Tojo X Bjorkman

Dice
08-29-2005, 06:52 AM
peng + youzhny + bjorkman + robredo + andreev + ljubo + tojo + berda @ 6.49 :devil: :wavey:

Yoel and co.
08-29-2005, 07:28 AM
What do you think about Puerta?

Naturally I would like Okun to win and have also included him in my parlay. That being said, I won't be surprised if Puerta decides to play like he did in Canada

Yoel and co.
08-29-2005, 07:38 AM
Peer to beat Domachowska at $1.65 is also good odds, H2h 2-0 on hard court this year. However this is offset by the fact that Peer's GS record is abysmal. But she has been in good form thorughout 2005 coupled with the fact that the polish lass has struggled in the Nth American swing so far.



Peer only played in 2 GS so far... She reached 3rd round in RG and 2nd in Wimby. True, this is not spetacular,but not abysmal either...

Yoel and co.
08-29-2005, 07:57 AM
1 unit on Daniilidou to do an "Henin" to the Sharapovit @9.00

Mello X Tojo X Berdych X Vaidisova X Peer

Raymond X Peer X Molik

Finns4
08-29-2005, 08:27 AM
Tojo x Mello x Nadal = $2.26

adee-gee
08-29-2005, 09:02 AM
$1.80 is not a dog ;)

:rolleyes: I'm ever so sorry sir, I'm sure you know what I meant.

Why has no-one else snapped up Soderling yet, how he's the dog to beat Chela I'll never know.

NewTennisFan
08-29-2005, 09:12 AM
And with the great prices on Nadal, who could BLAME anyone for adding him to a parlay,

NewTennisFan
08-29-2005, 09:13 AM
:rolleyes: I'm ever so sorry sir, I'm sure you know what I meant.

Why has no-one else snapped up Soderling yet, how he's the dog to beat Chela I'll never know.
Erm... have you been keeping up with tennis results for the past 1 and a half months?

adee-gee
08-29-2005, 09:19 AM
Erm... have you been keeping up with tennis results for the past 1 and a half months?

Yes, neither have set the world alight. Soderling has the game to take care of Chela :cool:

The Gucci one
08-29-2005, 09:25 AM
Soderling can take care of Chela if his game is on but recent hardcourt form suggests Chela will win it.

Chela recent hardcourt 9 - 5 only losing to Roddick,Nalbandian and Blake
Soderling 2 - 3 wins over Stepanek(poor form) and Mirnyi

adee-gee
08-29-2005, 09:29 AM
Chela beat : Alberto Martin (Retired at 1st set tie break)
Tim "I can win a match" Henman
Marcos "I can also win a match" Baghdatis
Fabrice "I can also win a match" Santoro
Nikolay Davydenko (admittedly a good win)

He's been trounced by Bandy 6-4 6-1 and A-Rod 7-6 6-2.

Soderling hasn't really had good results on the hard courts but he's got the game. He'll be pumped up and ready to go, he had an impressive win over Gonzo last year before being edged out by Davydenko.

Ays25
08-29-2005, 10:15 AM
be carefull with galimberti, anyone who lost to tuksar 6-3 6-1 or to djokovic 6-2 6-0 or to lammer , on his preferred surface clay, can lose to a talented youngster.
but of course best of 5 sets is not easy for young.

NewTennisFan
08-29-2005, 10:20 AM
These are the dogs I have my eyes on for today:

Gambill
Fish
Okun
Zabeleta
Hernych
Mayer
Tipsarevic

Anybody with much confidence in these propositions?

Deivid23
08-29-2005, 10:58 AM
:rolleyes: I'm ever so sorry sir, I'm sure you know what I meant.

Why has no-one else snapped up Soderling yet, how he's the dog to beat Chela I'll never know.

Beware, Chela is as hot as a pistol these days

MalmöKrampan
08-29-2005, 11:03 AM
Young to beat Galimberti :smoke:

BTW, nice to see you back adeegee :wavey:

Finns4
08-29-2005, 11:23 AM
And with the great prices on Nadal, who could BLAME anyone for adding him to a parlay,
Cant see him losing AT ALL 1.04 isnt to bad ether

Finns4
08-29-2005, 11:57 AM
Adding Single on Saulnier(5units) @ 1.58 his lead up form to this tourny is awesome

and

Safarova over Dementieva @ $3.10

adk
08-29-2005, 12:18 PM
Mello

Bjorkman x Andreev x Nadal x Novak x Coria x Gasquet @ 2.10

And I can't wait for tomorrow... Goldstein over Guga already penciled in :cool:

Bolar Bolabi
08-29-2005, 01:09 PM
Berdych X Youzhny X Andreev X Johansson X Bjorkman

coup3z
08-29-2005, 01:30 PM
my parlay for day 1: Saulnier x Chela x ToJo
an the dogs for day 1: Jenkins, Okun, Young !

GL !

adee-gee
08-29-2005, 02:08 PM
You're all gonna be seriously regretting backing Chela :p

The One
08-29-2005, 02:12 PM
After some initial research I have come up with the following for tonite:

Chela over Soderling @ 1.55
Tipsarevic over Saulnier @ 2.60
Mirza over Washington @ 1.30
Nakamura over Irvin @ 1.60
Vaidisova over Peschke @ 1.40 - This is my best bet for tonite!!

Leans for 2moro..Santoro, Verdasco, Beck & Jamea Jackson.

Playing Chela*Tipsarevic*Mirza*Vaidisova @ 7.30 and 3 doubles all including
Vaidisova!!

Tipsarevic will win!! I GUARANTEE IT!!!

Just for fun also playing Mello*Tipsarevic*Linetskaya*Safarova @ 22.00

dbnumberone
08-29-2005, 02:15 PM
Betting against Young has been a cash cow for me all year, no change this tourney
10 units on Galimberti
1 unit on Saulnier x Bastl x Chela x Robredo x Puerta x Youzhny
GL all

Ale10
08-29-2005, 02:21 PM
Berdych x Schiavone @1.65

Bychkova +6.5 games @1.80

Kirilenko x Vaidisova @1.71

Saulnier x Bartoli @1.78

Mello @1.87

contrails
08-29-2005, 02:38 PM
my bets..

massu over gambil @ 1.41
malisse over hernych @1.51
mello over monaco @ 1.94
puerta over okun @ 1.4
chela over soderling @ 1.6

First time posting my picks so wish me luck ;)

sports freak
08-29-2005, 02:52 PM
Best bet and only bet is on Richardo Mello 1.80 over Juan Monaco!!!!Easy $$$$$$$$$$$ for the Brizilian,just like his game better than Juan's!!!!See you guys at the nearest bank!!!!!

PICK OF DAY!!!!

12 unit SPECIAL on Mello 1.80 over Monaco!!!!!!

Show me the money Mello!!!!

Adding Chela!!

8 units on Chela 1.50 over Soderling!!!
3 units on Mello 1.80/Chela 1.50!!!
1 unit on Young 2.65 over Galimerti
Lets bring home some bacon!!!!! ;)

Finns4
08-29-2005, 03:02 PM
Playing Chela*Tipsarevic*Mirza*Vaidisova @ 7.30 and 3 doubles all including
Vaidisova!!

Tipsarevic will win!! I GUARANTEE IT!!!

Just for fun also playing Mello*Tipsarevic*Linetskaya*Safarova @ 22.00


Tipsarevic hasnt been playing well at all last few weeks, his serve can be powerful at times but this is a Grand Slam. Saulnier on the other hand has beaten Wawrinka (quite similar inparts to Tipy) and played very well against Srichaphan. This match could be said to be 50/50 but based on lead up form the Frenchman has my vote!

Mind you im not betting much on him at all !! as its only first round. Most of my cash is on Tojo and for a punt Safarova who has been playing great tennis of late

Ale10
08-29-2005, 03:05 PM
I'm not happy with everybody on Mello...This one could be a big loss for us.

sports freak
08-29-2005, 03:10 PM
I'm not happy with everybody on Mello...This one could be a big loss for us.

Have abit of faith brother!!!!Go Ricardo!!!!!!!! ;)

sports freak
08-29-2005, 03:11 PM
You're all gonna be seriously regretting backing Chela :p

Chela will make Soderling look silly brother!!!! ;) Too easy for Juan

adk
08-29-2005, 03:31 PM
Mello is struggling early on :/

Ale10
08-29-2005, 03:31 PM
Mello seems bad so far...

Ale10
08-29-2005, 03:35 PM
But saved much break points, at least. :)

Finns4
08-29-2005, 03:50 PM
Mello match is gonna be a battle first 2 sets

ryydman
08-29-2005, 04:03 PM
Andreev x Bjorkman x Tojo x Berdych @ 2.28

Good Luck Lads!

Eustache
08-29-2005, 04:07 PM
200 euros on Okun@3,5

Noam plays the best of his career so far,and I'm sure that puerta in 3sets will not be powerrfull as general.

adee-gee
08-29-2005, 04:23 PM
Good job Tipsy. Mello will come back, no worries. I'm afraid a lot of you are going down on Chela though :D

The Gucci one
08-29-2005, 04:33 PM
Adding 2.5 units on Granville/Clijsters over Farina Elia/Muller at $1.91

Mistaflava
08-29-2005, 04:40 PM
MistaFlava's US Open picks (some of them)


Juan Ignacio Chela over Robin Soderling -172/1.58

Ivo Karlovic over Mardy Fish -180/1.56

Mariano Puerta over Noam Okun -249/1.40



good luck today guys

adee-gee
08-29-2005, 04:41 PM
Anyone call Baker to beat Gaudio :eek:

sports freak
08-29-2005, 04:59 PM
Mello startin to burn it up,go brother u can do it!!!!for the icing on the cake lets go Chela for some more extra $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

Finns4
08-29-2005, 07:00 PM
Playing Chela*Tipsarevic*Mirza*Vaidisova @ 7.30 and 3 doubles all including
Vaidisova!!

Tipsarevic will win!! I GUARANTEE IT!!!

Just for fun also playing Mello*Tipsarevic*Linetskaya*Safarova @ 22.00

Hot Saulnier

Better luck next Time Tipsy :)

flmmkrz
08-29-2005, 07:02 PM
Anyone call Baker to beat Gaudio :eek:

Didnt call it but sure as hell didn't bet on Gaudio which is always the money play with him

NewTennisFan
08-29-2005, 07:50 PM
Anybody notice how only some completed matches have stats to go with them on the US Open official site?

New Haven was more sophisticated than that.

Think we can expect them to go up later?

Ays25
08-29-2005, 08:56 PM
quick info
i've heard henman said he is %50 and some problems on his back - he asked for a late start so nando can beat him i think

NewTennisFan
08-29-2005, 09:11 PM
quick info
i've heard henman said he is %50 and some problems on his back - he asked for a late start so nando can beat him i think
I don't think nando would require any back trouble from Henman, or any trouble for that matter, in order to be able to beat him.

adee-gee
08-29-2005, 09:48 PM
:bigwave: :bigwave: :bigwave: :bigwave:

Sorry, I don't mean to rub it in but Robin Soderling has just won me a fortune. Don't say I didn't warn you :banana:

Apologies, I'll stop being smug. Commiserations Chela backers :sad:

dbnumberone
08-29-2005, 09:50 PM
Betting against Young has been a cash cow for me all year, no change this tourney
10 units on Galimberti
1 unit on Saulnier x Bastl x Chela x Robredo x Puerta x Youzhny
GL all

Galimberti is always automatic money! ;)
Betting against Young certainly has been though, more wcs please!
Gotta love it when your big bet wins in 3
+3.2 units today no thanks to Chela (no more parlays!)

NewTennisFan
08-29-2005, 09:50 PM
:bigwave: :bigwave: :bigwave: :bigwave:

Sorry, I don't mean to rub it in but Robin Soderling has just won me a fortune. Don't say I didn't warn you :banana:

Apologies, I'll stop being smug. Commiserations Chela backers :sad:
Well done on calling that. Maybe I'll pay more attention to you in future ;). Damn it. It's the first time I've lost twice in a row in three weeks.

adee-gee
08-29-2005, 09:52 PM
Well done on calling that. Maybe I'll pay more attention to you in future ;)

Good idea my friend ;)

My small stake dogs didn't go too well, but my huge single of the day on Soderling came off, and my big parlay is looking good after Youzhny's destruction of the woeful German :D

NewTennisFan
08-29-2005, 09:53 PM
Galimberti is always automatic money! ;)
Betting against Young certainly has been though, more wcs please!
Gotta love it when your big bet wins in 3
+3.2 units today no thanks to Chela (no more parlays!)
Galimberti always automatic money? His recent record against viritually anybody with equal experience is horrid. Unless of course you gamble on the challengers. Don't know if that's possible.

JMG
08-29-2005, 10:12 PM
Nice start for me! :D

Ljubicic x Andreev x Galimberti

Malisse x Mello

Söderling

Tipsarevic

Nimrodg
08-29-2005, 10:15 PM
Galimberti always automatic money? His recent record against viritually anybody with equal experience is horrid. Unless of course you gamble on the challengers. Don't know if that's possible.

I think he was trying to say that betting against young is automatic money :rolleyes:

Nimrodg
08-29-2005, 10:16 PM
Peer X Bracciali+5 X Tipsy+5 X Okun+5 X Jenkins X Karlovic @ 27.22 :angel:

Berdych X GG X Tojo X Bjorkman

Gaudio :rolleyes:
Okun...you should've fight in the 4th set :rolleyes:

dbnumberone
08-29-2005, 10:19 PM
how do you not know what the smiley face w/ the wink means after you read something that seems preposterous?

Nice bet on Soderling Adeegee

Ale10
08-29-2005, 10:41 PM
Vaidisova 6-3, 6-1
Saulnier 6-7, 7-6, 6-4, 6-3
Schiavone 6-2, 7-5
Mello 6-7, 6-2, 6-1, 6-4
Berdych 7-6, 7-6, 6-4
Bychkova +6.5 6-3, 6-2
Kirilenko 6-2, 6-3
Bartoli 6-3, 6-0


Live:
A.Bondarenko 1st set @2.25 7-5
Baker 1st set @5.50 7-6

Berdych x Schiavone @1.65
Bychkova +6.5 games @1.80
Kirilenko x Vaidisova @1.71
Saulnier x Bartoli @1.78
Mello @1.87


Great day, great money cashed in. :)

Yoel and co.
08-29-2005, 11:04 PM
Problem with Young is that he is not even ready for Challengers yet, let alone ATP, let alone any GS.
He should play a dozen or two of Futures. Then maybe try Challengers

adk
08-30-2005, 12:24 AM
Mello :banana:

Bjorkman x Andreev x Nadal x Novak x Coria x Gasquet @ 2.10 :banana:



Perfect day :banana:

Great start

Now onto tomorrow's card...

dylan24
08-30-2005, 01:19 AM
go fuck yourself gaudio
bastard.
killed my huge 7 teamer.

bad gambler
08-30-2005, 01:39 AM
Sorry just realised Goldstein is playing tomorrow - throw in ToJo to my parlay, gets me to $2.35


ToJo x Gasquet x Peer = $2.35 (8 units)


good luck
thanks for the fight richie :kiss: :kiss:

Bolar Bolabi
08-30-2005, 02:55 AM
Berdych X Youzhny X Andreev X Johansson X Bjorkman

Good start to the fortnight.

sports freak
08-30-2005, 04:46 AM
Chela what the hell happened bro,come into the tourny wit good form and just throws it down the drain,what kind of a joke is this!!!props to all Toad backers!!!!atleast Mello put up a good fight!!!!

NewTennisFan
08-30-2005, 06:02 AM
how do you not know what the smiley face w/ the wink means after you read something that seems preposterous?
It could mean innumerable things. The intention behind it is really not crystal clear. If you are unable to express yourself adequately, then it's no-one's problem other than your own.