State of Origin II - LOOK INSIDE!!!! [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

State of Origin II - LOOK INSIDE!!!!

bad gambler
06-10-2005, 09:56 AM
Right, this is going to be my BIGGEST play in any sport in 2005, a lot on the line, NSW down 0-1 after going down in golden point in QLD, they get joey johns back, still unconvinced by him

However let me say, there is no way this series decided 2-0 to QLD

NSW WILL WIN THIS

So playing,

NSW ML to beat QLD pays $1.50 (70 units!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)*************

I will also play them at the spread -6.5 as well which pays $1.90 (10 units)

Get in early because this line will be $1.40 come Wednesday night.


You can nail this with a 18 inch nail, the longest in the toolshed!!! :eek: :eek:

its.like.that
06-10-2005, 10:05 AM
Right, this is going to be my BIGGEST play in any sport in 2005, a lot on the line, NSW down 0-1 after going down in golden point in QLD, they get joey johns back, still unconvinced by him

However let me say, there is no way this series decided 2-0 to QLD

NSW WILL WIN THIS

So playing,

NSW ML to beat QLD pays $1.50 (70 units!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)*************

I will also play them at the spread -6.5 as well which pays $1.90 (10 units)

Get in early because this line will be $1.40 come Wednesday night.


You can nail this with a 18 inch nail, the longest in the toolshed!!! :eek: :eek:
why so confident about a 50/50 match?

bad gambler
06-10-2005, 10:12 AM
why so confident about a 50/50 match?

I don't see this as a 50/50 match at all

1. Game 1 - We saw what NSW can do in the second half, they scored 4 tries to 2, and ultimately it was some bad decision making and poor in field kicking that cost them. The halves for Game 2 strength is their kicking with Johns and Anasta

2. History - QLD have never won at Telstra Stadium

3. NSW are down 1-0. Ricky will make sure the intensity will be stepped up from Game 1

4. Crowd - 80,000 people supporting the Blues is worth at least 10 points IMO.

Lets face the facts, NSW are the most talented and skilled team of the two. I know games are not won on paper, but all factors here lead to one result. If they lose, I take a 6 month break from betting.

Finns4
06-10-2005, 11:24 AM
Right, this is going to be my BIGGEST play in any sport in 2005, a lot on the line, NSW down 0-1 after going down in golden point in QLD, they get joey johns back, still unconvinced by him

However let me say, there is no way this series decided 2-0 to QLD

NSW WILL WIN THIS

So playing,

NSW ML to beat QLD pays $1.50 (70 units!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)*************

I will also play them at the spread -6.5 as well which pays $1.90 (10 units)

Get in early because this line will be $1.40 come Wednesday night.


You can nail this with a 18 inch nail, the longest in the toolshed!!! :eek: :eek:


Im with you BG but im going to wait. Gasiner looks like he's out now and they fowards in doubt for QLD are playing.

I remeber game 3 last year i put 3k on NSW To win @1.60 coz i knew they were goin to win.

I recon ill be going big two, but im just going to wait

Finns4
06-10-2005, 11:25 AM
BG U CAN GET -5.5 ON TAB which is a better option than 6 imo

its.like.that
06-11-2005, 06:58 AM
I don't see this as a 50/50 match at all

1. Game 1 - We saw what NSW can do in the second half, they scored 4 tries to 2, and ultimately it was some bad decision making and poor in field kicking that cost them. The halves for Game 2 strength is their kicking with Johns and Anasta

2. History - QLD have never won at Telstra Stadium

3. NSW are down 1-0. Ricky will make sure the intensity will be stepped up from Game 1

4. Crowd - 80,000 people supporting the Blues is worth at least 10 points IMO.

Lets face the facts, NSW are the most talented and skilled team of the two. I know games are not won on paper, but all factors here lead to one result. If they lose, I take a 6 month break from betting.

1. Game 1 - 2nd half, NSW' last 2 tries came from forward passes, they never deserved to win the match.

2. History doesn't matter, refer to Federer-Hewitt, Federer-Nalbandian, Moya-Ferrero, Geelong-Fremantle, Warratah-Reds, Warratahs-Brumbies, and so on...

3. QLD always play with more intensity that NSW :p

4. Crowd doesn't make a difference, only luck does.

5. Johns and Anasta are in SH*TE form...

6. Why put such a big bet on this shitty match, when with all the rain around, there are much safer bets at EVEN MONEY ODDS :shrug:.


(Jimmy is only trying to guide BG, BG doesn't listen and turns back on Jimmy, Jimmy hits 3 from downtown... what can BG come up with :shrug: )...

its.like.that
06-11-2005, 07:02 AM
for your sake, I hope NSW win... :p

bad gambler
06-11-2005, 09:18 AM
1. Game 1 - 2nd half, NSW\\\\\\\' last 2 tries came from forward passes, they never deserved to win the match.

2. History doesn\\\\\\\'t matter, refer to Federer-Hewitt, Federer-Nalbandian, Moya-Ferrero, Geelong-Fremantle, Warratah-Reds, Warratahs-Brumbies, and so on...

3. QLD always play with more intensity that NSW :p

4. Crowd doesn\\\\\\\'t make a difference, only luck does.

5. Johns and Anasta are in SH*TE form...

6. Why put such a big bet on this shitty match, when with all the rain around, there are much safer bets at EVEN MONEY ODDS :shrug:.


(Jimmy is only trying to guide BG, BG doesn\\\\\\\'t listen and turns back on Jimmy, Jimmy hits 3 from downtown... what can BG come up with :shrug: )...

1. The reality of it was that NSW did score 4 tries in the second half, forward pass or no forward pass and they were the most dominant team in the second half - we always know deserving to win and actually winning are two different things

2. Point taken there - I just used it as an argument to build my case :p

3. I agree to a certain extent, but now the situation is different, QLD are playing from front. Stuart as you would well be aware is one of the most instense coaches around, no way he doesnt enjoy the Blues are primed for this, though the players are going to need need little encouragement there.

4. I respectfully disagree here - crowd does make a difference. You cant tell me 80,000 people cheering madly for the NSW does not in any way lift the players, see past history of results on the ground as reference :p

5. This is where I am most uneasy about - Johns is still raw I accept that. But Anasta has been the standout in a pathetic side, I have no problem with his selection. However Johns will be playing with superstars around him, so he wont be expected to do as much as say if he were playing for the KNights. Anasta can lessen the burden with general field kicking and you have to admit, Johns is one of the best defensive halfbacks going around, strong tackler and has a strong sense of awareness in general. You dont lose these two traits regardless of whether you are coming from a long layoff or not.

6. I have yet to put te bet, and to be honest if it rains, It wont make a diffrenece to me. IMO its not a shitty bet at all, thats why I am going hard on it :p About your quip about better odds, I thought that was the nature of odds, as they go lower the perceived risk reduces as well - as a rule of thumb i wont be outlaying this many units on anything more than $1.50, I just would not be comfortable doing so :p


BG appreciates jimmys role as playing devils advocate, however BG sidesteps jimmy with a big left step, steps on the gas and scores under the posts leaving him huffing and puffing in his wake, TRY TIMMMEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!! :hatoff:

Finns4
06-11-2005, 09:40 AM
1. The reality of it was that NSW did score 4 tries in the second half, forward pass or no forward pass and they were the most dominant team in the second half - we always know deserving to win and actually winning are two different things

2. Point taken there - I just used it as an argument to build my case :p

3. I agree to a certain extent, but now the situation is different, QLD are playing from front. Stuart as you would well be aware is one of the most instense coaches around, no way he doesnt enjoy the Blues are primed for this, though the players are going to need need little encouragement there.

4. I respectfully disagree here - crowd does make a difference. You cant tell me 80,000 people cheering madly for the NSW does not in any way lift the players, see past history of results on the ground as reference :p

5. This is where I am most uneasy about - Johns is still raw I accept that. But Anasta has been the standout in a pathetic side, I have no problem with his selection. However Johns will be playing with superstars around him, so he wont be expected to do as much as say if he were playing for the KNights. Anasta can lessen the burden with general field kicking and you have to admit, Johns is one of the best defensive halfbacks going around, strong tackler and has a strong sense of awareness in general. You dont lose these two traits regardless of whether you are coming from a long layoff or not.

6. I have yet to put te bet, and to be honest if it rains, It wont make a diffrenece to me. IMO its not a shitty bet at all, thats why I am going hard on it :p About your quip about better odds, I thought that was the nature of odds, as they go lower the perceived risk reduces as well - as a rule of thumb i wont be outlaying this many units on anything more than $1.50, I just would not be comfortable doing so :p


BG appreciates jimmys role as playing devils advocate, however BG sidesteps jimmy with a big left step, steps on the gas and scores under the posts leaving him huffing and puffing in his wake, TRY TIMMMEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!! :hatoff:

LOL GO U 2!

its.like.that
06-11-2005, 10:40 AM
Bottom of the 9th... will take place on Wednesday evening... :p

bad gambler
06-14-2005, 02:10 PM
Right so final plays that have now been locked in...

NSW ML - $1.50 (70 units)
NSW to cover -6.5 (10 units)
OVERS 40.5 (10 units)

Come Wednesday night I could be rejoicing or in tears, we'll soon find out :)

SadrieL
06-14-2005, 02:46 PM
Good luck BG

Ays25
06-14-2005, 04:23 PM
what sport is this? and does betandwin or gamebookers offer this bet??

bad gambler
06-15-2005, 06:45 AM
what sport is this? and does betandwin or gamebookers offer this bet??


it's rugby league mate

bad gambler
06-15-2005, 06:46 AM
4 more hours to go........

Ays25
06-15-2005, 07:00 AM
wish u the best of luck bad gambler!
i just checked the stats and put two dozens on each of bets
will i have a live score link?

Breaker
06-15-2005, 07:03 AM
4 more hours to go........

What percentage of your total bank is this bet BG? 70 units looks huge on paper

adk
06-15-2005, 07:11 AM
Let's all get on the BG train!

Finns4
06-15-2005, 08:29 AM
Right so final plays that have now been locked in...

NSW ML - $1.50 (70 units)
NSW to cover -6.5 (10 units)
OVERS 40.5 (10 units)

Come Wednesday night I could be rejoicing or in tears, we'll soon find out :)

ooo BG u can get 39.5 over on TAB and -5.5 r they def locked in?

bad gambler
06-15-2005, 08:43 AM
What percentage of your total bank is this bet BG? 70 units looks huge on paper

as I said, largest play in 2005 thus far for me, represents about 35% of my bank, suffice to say if this hits I live comfortably for the next 6 months or so.....

bad gambler
06-15-2005, 08:45 AM
ooo BG u can get 39.5 over on TAB and -5.5 r they def locked in?

its all locked in mate, no turning back for me now

lol i\'ll get back to you if i miss both my 10 unit plays by 1 point :)

Straby
06-15-2005, 12:57 PM
I think someone is very happy at this moment..

:yeah:

Yoda
06-15-2005, 01:08 PM
Go BG! Go BG! Go BG!
:yippee: :yippee: :yippee:

Olao
06-15-2005, 01:22 PM
BG TAKES PLAY OF THE DAY

Eat your heart out, CNN.... ;-) (and take THAT, Centrebet...tough day at the office)

Great spot, mate - primary congratulation goes to you, go and buy your wife 2B more jewelry...if she can wear more....lol

Have a great evening - open up a bottle of something sparkling....

spooky105
06-15-2005, 01:30 PM
:worship: bg IS other sport :worship:

bad gambler
06-15-2005, 01:34 PM
Right so final plays that have now been locked in...

OVERS 40.5 (10 units)



Nailed on :cool:



NSW to cover -6.5 (10 units)


Nailed on :cool:



NSW ML - $1.50 (70 units)

NAILLLLEDDDDDDDDDDDDDD ONNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNN :cool: :cool: :cool:



My biggest win in a single sporting event. Im off to the Pacific Islands now to find myself an island, :hatoff:

Cheers lads for the kind words :)

Oh and one more thing, I AM OTHER BETS :rolleyes: :lol:

:hatoff:

SadrieL
06-15-2005, 01:40 PM
Good stuff mate, must've been worried when Queensland almost got that try right at the start of 2nd half ;)

its.like.that
06-15-2005, 04:50 PM
My biggest win in a single sporting event. Im off to the Pacific Islands now to find myself an island, :hatoff:

Cheers lads for the kind words :)

Oh and one more thing, I AM OTHER BETS :rolleyes: :lol:

:hatoff:

WOW... you picked a $1.50 winner, tell me how you did it :rolleyes: :p

bad gambler
06-15-2005, 08:53 PM
WOW... you picked a $1.50 winner, tell me how you did it :rolleyes: :p


OVERS & Spread as well :kiss:

adk
06-15-2005, 08:55 PM
VERY nice call mate.

I got on too, so cheers :)

adk
06-15-2005, 09:07 PM
BG YOU'RE A FUCKING NUTTTTTTTTER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

:banana: :banana: :banana:

its.like.that
06-16-2005, 09:13 AM
OVERS & Spread as well :kiss:
overs was the real banker, higher chance of success than either taking either side, and better odds than NSW ML ;)...

NSW were somewhat lucky, a few key points proved definitive in the match:

1. Billy Slater not scoring a try off that early intercept,
2. the ball bouncing off the post for the Minidick try,
3. the early 2nd half QLD try being ruled forward, instead of lineball as many of John's passes had been ruled in the 1st half,
4. the QLD'er attempting to pass off the deck that lead to a NSW try,
5. Gasnier's selfishness, in attempting to score himself when he should have made a simple 2 on 1 play, resulting in a try...


Any 1 of those situations being turned in QLD's favour would have resulted in a completely different ball game - that goes without saying. But it wasn't to be - NSW come back from 1 set down to take it in 4. :p:p :lol:

bad gambler
06-16-2005, 04:04 PM
overs was the real banker, higher chance of success than either taking either side, and better odds than NSW ML ;)...

NSW were somewhat lucky, a few key points proved definitive in the match:

1. Billy Slater not scoring a try off that early intercept,
2. the ball bouncing off the post for the Minidick try,
3. the early 2nd half QLD try being ruled forward, instead of lineball as many of John's passes had been ruled in the 1st half,
4. the QLD'er attempting to pass off the deck that lead to a NSW try,
5. Gasnier's selfishness, in attempting to score himself when he should have made a simple 2 on 1 play, resulting in a try...


Any 1 of those situations being turned in QLD's favour would have resulted in a completely different ball game - that goes without saying. But it wasn't to be - NSW come back from 1 set down to take it in 4. :p:p :lol:


:lol:

the only lucky thing was the fact that nsw kept on botching plays inside the QLD 22 in the first half with poor final passes and handling and the fact that QLD lead at HT

NSW would have racked up 50+ if those plays stuck.

Andrew Johns domination!!!!!!!!!!!!! :worship: