Is Rafa's Sucessful Wimby Defence Inevitable? [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

Is Rafa's Sucessful Wimby Defence Inevitable?

Rafattack
04-26-2009, 06:37 PM
Good evening all! With Rafael Nadal having begun this season, in the finest of manners, with his first GS victory down under and thus his first hard court GS well and truly already secured under his belt, as well as the ATP 1000 hard court event in Indian Wells and the more recent, anticipated and more importantly totally expected trimuphs at the start of the clay court season on the red dirt in both the 1000 and 500 ATP events in Monte Carlo and Barcelona respectively, one must ask, "Is the defence of his Wimbledon crown this year too going to be inevitable?" To this question I would personally, without any hint of hesitaion, state an emphatic "Yes". To which answer, some here on the MTF will, without hesitation, question, "Why and how?", because the "Who and When" are, as I mentioned earlier, inevitable - Rafael Nadal on the 5th of July.

So, why and how will Nadal successfully defend his Wimbledon crown? Well, first and foremost he is the World No. 1 and with all the above titles already won this year and Rome fast approaching, he is oozing with confidence and with, more crucially, absolutely no signs of slowing down or lowering his undeniably high level; a level to which is head and heels above the rest of the field, bar Murray and possibly an on fire Novak Djokovic. Therefore, allbeit RG is not 100% nailed on but victory there is very likely, he will be heading to Wimbledon the outstanding in-form player and an obviously clear favourite to repeat the feet he magnificently managed against Federer in their 2008 thriller. It is the combination of this huge confidence heading into Wimbledon this year and, from his own personal standpoint, the knowledge that a successful defence of his Wimbledon crown will only leave one final hurdle (the US Open) to complete his dream of the CYGS, that on their own merits will pretty much ensure SW19 victory. The fading and faltering Federer really is, imo, well and truly out of the question at Wimbledon this year. The only two probable threats are an in form Djokovic and, even more so threatening, a MurrayMounted home (allbeit it's England and not Scotland) crowd supported Muzza. Finally, on top of all the above, Nadal manages the transition of his clay court game to grass so effectively and with such apparant ease. Further, if Fed even makes it to the RG final, Nadal serving him bagels is only paying even more dividends to his confidence heading to Wimby. I guess Federer's key to advancing to the latter stages at Wimby this year is to get disposed of at RG early to avoid both Rafa and embarassment. I'm also therefore guessing Federer's chances at Wimbledon will also be, like Rafa heading in, very dependant on a combination of two things; an early exit at RG (easy) and a rain delay when his opponent is up 6-4 6-4 and heading for a straight sets win (a fluke). The Result? It's just not going to happen for Federer. Again, the Who and When; The defence of Rafa's Wimbledon crown will begin late June. His triumph will beckon on the 5th of July. Be there... Discuss...

OSmeone
04-26-2009, 06:39 PM
Dewey has indeed defeated Truman

BaselineSmash
04-26-2009, 06:41 PM
This thread is going to look like Mel Gibson's Jesus once MTF is finished with it.

moon language
04-26-2009, 06:42 PM
No.

NadalSharapova
04-26-2009, 06:44 PM
He is obviously the favourite and should win it. However anything can happen cos its not quite a lock like the RG title.

Rafattack
04-26-2009, 06:46 PM
This thread is going to look like Mel Gibson's Jesus once MTF is finished with it.
A typical response from somebody of your caliber... Out of interest, who's your money on at Wimby this year?:worship:

finishingmove
04-26-2009, 06:47 PM
irrefutable

Rafattack
04-26-2009, 06:47 PM
He is obviously the favourite and should win it. However anything can happen cos its not quite a lock like the RG title.
Nicely put! Do you think it will become a lock?

Rafattack
04-26-2009, 06:55 PM
Dewey has indeed defeated Truman
Sarcasm? :D Not a lot of logic there... I highly doubt your thoughts would be highly regarded on the matters that Dewey addressed, or even here on the MTF! Get back to the drawing board and study you prep!

Rafattack
04-26-2009, 06:58 PM
irrefutable
Are you trying to implement subtle sarcasm or are you in agreement and compliance with the thread?

BaselineSmash
04-26-2009, 07:42 PM
A typical response from somebody of your caliber... Out of interest, who's your money on at Wimby this year?:worship:

Dimitrov for the W. If not 2009 then soon.

PiggyGotRoasted
04-26-2009, 08:05 PM
This will make a great bump when he goes out in the first round

StanisKing
04-26-2009, 08:08 PM
What if he draws some big server in 1st round.

nkhera1
04-26-2009, 08:12 PM
How can you say its inevitable. I would only give that status to a player who has at least won that title more than 2 times consecutively and doesn't seem to have any rivals (see Federer at Wimbledon for many years and Nadal now at RG). He probably should have the best odds going in but there are other players who have great chances as well. Besides didn't we just have a thread like this a couple days or weeks back and whats up with all these new posters with rafa in their name?

ossie
04-26-2009, 08:20 PM
paragraphs are your friends

philosophicalarf
04-26-2009, 08:33 PM
For "inevitable" as in "anything but a total freak+injury", see Nadal at Roland Garros, ie odds of 1.33 or so.

Nadal at Wimbledon is around 2.5, ie representing a chance of around 35% after juice. You might think it's highly likely, but in the long term the bookies are rarely more than a fraction off.

NadalSharapova
04-26-2009, 09:06 PM
odds suggests there is only a 75% chance nadal will win the french open this year.

value bet which i will lump on.

asmazif
04-27-2009, 12:09 AM
yep, there's not even 0.1% chance of anybody else winning.

heartbroken
04-27-2009, 12:36 AM
How can you say its inevitable. I would only give that status to a player who has at least won that title more than 2 times consecutively and doesn't seem to have any rivals (see Federer at Wimbledon for many years and Nadal now at RG). He probably should have the best odds going in but there are other players who have great chances as well. Besides didn't we just have a thread like this a couple days or weeks back and whats up with all these new posters with rafa in their name?

+1

superslam77
04-27-2009, 12:56 AM
Fed,Djokovic,Tsonga and maybe a few more could beat him...

he is not playing as good as last year.

leng jai
04-27-2009, 01:28 AM
This thread is too modest. A hat trick of Golden Slams is inevitable for Rafito.

fast_clay
04-27-2009, 01:31 AM
paragraphs are your friends

hahahhaha

Nadal_Fanatic
04-27-2009, 02:12 AM
Far from it. Grass is a very fast surface. Nadal better be serving well. Otherwise he'll have problems.

Henry Kaspar
04-27-2009, 02:13 AM
No.

prima donna
04-27-2009, 02:14 AM
Indeed.

Johnny Groove
04-27-2009, 02:18 AM
Nadal went 31-5 in sets on grass last year, and currently holds a 12 match winning streak.

Impressive, but there is as good a chance of Nadal losing at the big W as winning.

MrChopin
04-27-2009, 02:22 AM
You can tell the quality of a good MTF thread by the quality of the smartass replies. This one is pretty good.

ORGASMATRON
04-27-2009, 05:19 AM
Far from it. Grass is a very fast surface. Nadal better be serving well. Otherwise he'll have problems.

Not any more.

FedFan_2007
04-27-2009, 06:08 AM
Of course he will.

ORGASMATRON
04-27-2009, 08:43 AM
Of course he will.

If Federer wins you would be back on the Federer bandwagon right? ;)