Middle-season rankings summary - who went up and who went down. [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

Middle-season rankings summary - who went up and who went down.

Montego
06-06-2008, 09:56 PM
RG final has always been the precise middle of the season for me. I think it is a good time for some summaries. I know that many things can change in the 2nd half of the season, but it is just to see which players within Top100 have gone up the rankings and who has lost his place. I based my calculations on my own numbers + great Judio's work here. There could be some mistakes here, but I doubt they are significant. The reference here is the year-end ranking for 2007.

Top 5

There are no winners and losers within Top5 ranking-wise. Federer is 1st, then comes Nadal after that Djokovic and then Davydenko and Ferrer. The same ranking appeared on 31/12/07 and I think that it is more or less a trustworthy ranking concerning the strenght in men's tennis. We could have seen some changes there - f.e. Djokovic had the chance to gain No.2 spot twice going head-to-head with Nadal, while Ferrer had the chance to surpass Davydenko. Both failed.

Top 10

The biggest rise to the Top10 was made by the 2nd (1st) best Swiss. Stan the Man gained 27 places - from number 36 to number 9. This was mainly thanks to a good start in Doha (final), then QF in Indian Wells, SF in Barcelona and final in Rome. I believe Wawrinka will be the one to watch in the 2nd part of the season (or at least he won't lose too much), as he has almost nothing to defend until US Open and last year's 4th round in New York is also achievable for Wawa.

2nd place goes to James Blake (up 6 places from 13th to 7th) - 3 QFs in the mandatory events and two finals in non-mandatories did the job.

Top 10 loser award goes to Tommy Robredo, who has fallen from number ten to number nineteen. In mandatory tournaments Robredo failed to reach anything more than QF in Rome, but he has more points to gain than to lose in the 2nd part of the season, so we could see Tommy back up if he has strong 2nd part of 2008.

2nd worse is Gonzo, who lost 8 places (7 > 15). He didn't replay his heroics from Australian 2007 and Rome 2007. Luckily for him he took two titles in non-mandatories and reached QF in FO - otherwise his rank would be lower.


Top 50

The rise and rise of Michael Llodra. Frenchman advanced from 93th to 35th position - he is +58 this year. Two Mickey Mouse titles and 4th round of FO seem to say that s&v is not completely dead. 2nd prize is for Mario Ancic, who made a jump of 39 places - from 83rd up to 44th. Let's hope Mario stays injury free and continues his way up. Basically no points to defend for Ancic till Madris AMS. Surprisingly - AO finalist Tsonga only comes 3rd with + 29 positions (43 - 14).

Within Top50 players you can choose the biggest loser from Canas (minus 33 positions), Starace (-27 positions) and Chela and Haas (both -25 positions). I think that most of them have already reached their peak and we cannot expect them to improeve their rankings significantly in the next months.

Top 100

All South-American battle. Thomaz Bellucci seems to be first with the rise from number 202 to 67th, which means the advance of 135 positions. Schwank started the year at 175 and now is 61st (+114). Two young claycourters, who specialise in clay, but hard surface is also suitable for them. We will see who will be consistent enough to regain his position. Marcel Grannolers comes 3rd with the rise of 78 positions, while bandwagon player of the month Ginepri comes short the bronze medal with a 75 mark.

I had some problems with calculating the biggest loosers, so this could be least accurate. But according to my estimations - the biggest fallout is Michael Russell (82 >>> 184) and then it is hard to decide between Volandri, Mayer, Eschauer and Hartfield (all lost 76-79 places according to my estimations). None of them showed something during this year and I think that these calculations are justified.


The final result of FO won't change anything in rankings. Ther could be some moves up and down because of the challengers finals, but they shouldn't blur my estimations.

TankingTheSet
06-06-2008, 10:11 PM
Interesting post.

Russell has been injured, and I somehow doubt he will come back to a competitive level. One or two years ago he would have been in your article as one the biggest gainers.

I think later in the year Cristophe Rochus will be worth a mention, he is no world-beater but he is amassing enough challenger points to get solidly into the top-100 this year.

Montego
06-06-2008, 10:19 PM
Interesting post.

Russell has been injured, and I somehow doubt he will come back to a competitive level. One or two years ago he would have been in your article as one the biggest gainers.

I think later in the year Cristophe Rochus will be worth a mention, he is no world-beater but he is amassing enough challenger points to get solidly into the top-100 this year.


Worse Rochus is already worth mentioning. According to my rankings (I would give them +- 7% accuracy) - Rochus has come his way up 80 places - from 194th to 114th now. He was close of showing up in my article. Had he won Prostejov challenger (he lost in SF I presume) - he would be mentioned here, as that win would give him a position ca. 94th.

Kolya
06-07-2008, 04:33 AM
Davydenko was lucky to win Miami... would have been No. 5 now if he didn't.

leng jai
06-07-2008, 04:45 AM
Haas -25 because hes been injured for 90% of the season.

Montego
06-07-2008, 08:38 AM
Haas -25 because hes been injured for 90% of the season.

Yes, this is true. But I don't expect him to be back to Top10, especially that he has to defend 4th round in Wimbledon, 3rd in Montreal and QF in USO and it is not even sure if he shows up to defend those points :help:

His 30 years of age don't help him either, I think that we have already seen the best Haas.

Xavidbz
06-07-2008, 08:41 AM
Marcel Grannolers comes 3rd with the rise of 78 positions, while bandwagon player of the month Ginepri comes short the bronze medal with a 75 mark.


It's Granollers, not Grannolers. :angel:

BTW, I was impressed by StaWa, couldn't expect him to where he is now in January. :worship:

leng jai
06-07-2008, 08:45 AM
Yes, this is true. But I don't expect him to be back to Top10, especially that he has to defend 4th round in Wimbledon, 3rd in Montreal and QF in USO and it is not even sure if he shows up to defend those points :help:

His 30 years of age don't help him either, I think that we have already seen the best Haas.

Probably not. Haas has shown he can come back from injury on more than one occasion but it is true hes not getting any younger. Its a shame he got injured during a period where he had GS SF points to defend.

Montego
06-07-2008, 09:00 AM
It's Granollers, not Grannolers. :angel:

BTW, I was impressed by StaWa, couldn't expect him to where he is now in January. :worship:


Thanks, this mistake must be my habit already - I just checked and I write Grannolers everywhere:)

Wawrinka had really poor beginning of 2007 and he just used it in the first part of 2008. In 2007 He was injured from AO till Rome and his first "bigger" points of 2007 came only in Gstaad. Till the end of 2008 he has points to defend only from Gstaad and Vienna finals and 4th round of USO. So I expect him to stay within Top10 easily, he can even make the cut for TMC if he does well in the 2nd part of 2008.

We will see if Stan is the real Top10 player in 2009, when he will have to defend all he gained in 2008.