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post #98 of (permalink) Old 02-03-2010, 05:59 AM Thread Starter
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Re: (Road to the) Oscars 2010

Best Picture: "Avatar," "The Blind Side," "District 9," "An Education," "The Hurt Locker," "Inglourious Basterds," "Precious: Based on the Novel 'Push' by Sapphire," "A Serious Man," "Up," "Up in the Air."

Good choices here. I really like District 9 to be nominated, has been a great year for SciFi movies. Up deserves it too and so does A Serious Man. Only thing I disagree with is The Blind Side, would change it into The White Ribbon. Crazy Heart, Star Trek or A Single Man would be more deserving too. But I like neither American Football nor Sandra Bullock, so... Surprising to see Invictus not nominated, not because it absolutely belonged in, but more because Freeman and Damon were no safe picks, but got their nominations. As I wrote earlier, my preferred scenario would be Cameron and Bigelow sharing the awards for Picture and Director. Happened three times in the last 10 years.

Directing: James Cameron, "Avatar"; Kathryn Bigelow, "The Hurt Locker"; Quentin Tarantino, "Inglourious Basterds"; Lee Daniels, "Precious: Based on the Novel 'Push' by Sapphire"; Jason Reitman, "Up in the Air."
Those five were expected. Blomkamp or Haneke instead of that prick Reitman would have been too good to be true. Should be between Cameron and Bigelow, although I'd like Tarantino too, he's been snobbed a lot by the Academy.

Actor: Jeff Bridges, "Crazy Heart"; George Clooney, "Up in the Air"; Colin Firth, "A Single Man"; Morgan Freeman, "Invictus"; Jeremy Renner, "The Hurt Locker."
Again those five which were expected. I'm happy for Freeman. Can't deny that Downey Jr., Damon and Stuhlbarg were probably as deserving as Mandela. Winner should be between Firth and Bridges, but will be between Clooney and Bridges. With Gyllenhall's nomination being the biggest surprise, things look good for Bridges in his 5th try, no less than 38 years after his 1st nomination.

Actress: Sandra Bullock, "The Blind Side"; Helen Mirren, "The Last Station"; Carey Mulligan, "An Education"; Gabourey Sidibe, "Precious: Based on the Novel 'Push' by Sapphire"; Meryl Streep, "Julie & Julia."
No surprises here either, Mirren should be the weakest link. I'd love to see Mulligan winning it, but it would be a huge upset. Bullock is the favourite unfortunately, even more after Blind Side got nominated as Best Picture.

Supporting Actor: Matt Damon, "Invictus"; Woody Harrelson, "The Messenger"; Christopher Plummer, "The Last Station"; Stanley Tucci, "The Lovely Bones"; Christoph Waltz, "Inglourious Basterds."
Weird category. Lots of these guys had better perfomances in other movies this year, especially Damon in Informant. Should be a lock for Waltz. Deserving. The unlucky one here is Christian McKay.

Supporting Actress: Penelope Cruz, "Nine"; Vera Farmiga, "Up in the Air"; Maggie Gyllenhaal, "Crazy Heart"; Anna Kendrick, "Up in the Air"; Mo'Nique, "Precious: Based on the Novel 'Push' by Sapphire."
Really annoying. How the hell can Penelope Cruz be nominated three times in four years??? I agree to her nomination for Volver. Last year was a complete joke. Imo her role in VCB wasn't even worth a nomination, let alone winning the category. And this year it's exactly the same. She was so average in Nine. I have no clue how anybody can vote her over Marion based on their performances. Maybe it was because Marion's role wasn't clearly defined as main role or supporting role, I don't know. But that Cruz nomination is so undeserving. I'm not very much in favour of Gyllenhall's surprise nomination. What I strongly dislike is Julianne Moore being ignored. She was my no°1-choice, her performance next to Firth was extraordinary. Nominations for Best Supporting Actress are an epic fail this year. Well, Mo'nique will win it. I don't like her and she's a damn diva, but she was good.

Animated Feature:
Coraline” Henry Selick
“Fantastic Mr. Fox” Wes Anderson
“The Princess and the Frog” John Musker and Ron Clements
“The Secret of Kells” Tomm Moore
“Up” Pete Docter
Surprises me a bit to see Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs not on the list. But I guess it just shows how fine the animated movie industry is doing right now. 10 years ago there were one or two decent animated features each year, now there's 5 or 6. (My) favourite here is Up, Coraline yet to be seen and I've never heard of Moore's movie until yesterday. I hope Up can win a 2nd Oscar in contrast to Wall-E last year. Original Score should look good.

Haven't seen any of the four movies nominated with The White Ribbon, but I highly doubt I will like them as much. On the other hand I've read a lot of good things particularly about the one from Argentina. So let's see. Good to see TWR got a 2nd nomination though, unfortunately not in one of the main categories. And I hope Haneke's English will be much better than at the Globes once he accepts the award.

Heath Ledger is present again this year with Doctor Parnassus being nominated twice.

Good to see my early ranting resulted in 4 nominations for Star Trek.
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