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post #2 of (permalink) Old 02-13-2009, 04:41 AM Thread Starter
country flag KaiserT
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Join Date: Sep 2008
Age: 29
Posts: 3,051
Re: Make or Break

£4000 Bank

Bet 1
Cleverly to beat Onyango on Points @ 5.5 - Ladbrokes - £40

Think this represents a touch of value, although very small stakes as a fair few negatives.

Positives - Cleverly weak puncher, light at the weight, just 4KOs in 14 fights. Opponent KO'd just once in a 21 fight career which has seen him comile a 18-3 record.

Negatives - Opponent opposition questionable, KO'd just two fights ago (but by a natuaral light-heavy with 21KOs in 29 fights. This looks a set-up fight for Cleverly, Onyango is a natural super-middle too and Warren wants to make Clevery as promotable as possible for upcoming fights........ chance Onyango is just a stiff sent to fall.

Basically Cleverly isn't a big puncher, only 4KO's in 14 outings, and at least two of those were via body shots, his opponent is a bit of an unknown, but has only suffered one KO in his career, via a big punching light-heavy with a 29(21KOs) record two fights ago. He's done the full 12 rounds just once in his career c

but wary of staking bigger due a couple of reasons.
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