He's got a final in LA (which I don't think he's playing this year as he's added Indy) and a USO QF to defend, then a lot of points in Beijing. So I wouldn't say he has NO points, but a few rounds at RG and a good wimbledon would certainly help. As for Madrid, I can't imagine Andy doing well there, he couldn't even do well in Madrid when it was on indoor hard. Rome's his best shot at good clay results b/c it plays so much faster.
It's not like he was out all of last summer. It's just that he wasn't playing very well for most if it and was repeatedly injured. He doesn't have much to defend, really it's a huge opportunity for him this year at both US Open and Wimbledon to nab another grand slam. All these years it's been Fed in the way, well he looks like he won't be a factor. So then it's about getting the ranking up, getting some luck and some good draws. He really needs to win a masters this summer. That will give him the confidence. Anyways, getting back on track...by his standards he doesn't have much to defend and his ranking should definitly rise.
As far as Madrid, well, it's hard to say because they haven't had a clay tourney there. He looked pretty good in DC when it was there. I wouldn't mind seeing everyone crash out (like they would at Hamburg) and Andy sneaking into the final to beat some mug like Robredo. I'm dreaming, I know. Back to reality it's time for Andy to step up and make the second week of RG. Seriously, there's just no effin' excuse not to. You're a top 10 tennis player, WTF mate?!?