I think that the wheels will fall off Adelaide somewhat, this season. It is an ageing group, and teams began to figure them out toward the back end of 2006. If they experience any sort of injury toll they'll be finishing 6th or 7th. With this in mind, I see definite value in fading them in the first 10 rounds. (Maybe)
By Friday I most likely will have made my first futures bet of 2007, that being Richmond to make the Top 8. Had they been anywhere close to contention last year they would have stormed into the eight, and I believe this year many of Terry Wallace's best laid plans will begin to come to fruition. Big-name players like Nathan Brown have had a full pre-season, and I expect them to hit the ground running, starting with Geelong this weekend. The obvious concern is the back 6 - when Richmond get a score kicked on them, they get a score kicked on them. But I genuinely think they are a hard, yet adaptable team. I expect them to be 4-6th at mid-season, before finishing 6-8th. By the way Sportingbet has them at 2.80 currently.
I am also considering laying Collingwood to make the eight, currently at 1.75. The Bulldogs exposed their pedestrian midfield last year, and 2007 may be the time the likes of Burns and Licuria fall by the wayside. They are THE public team, and will be definite fade value this season. Against mid-range sides. I do expect them to claim the scalp of several top 4 sides this season. They do have the guns to occasionally do this.
Port Adelaide should be again on the improve, but maybe not the eight just yet. Not sure with that one. Also interested in what everybody thinks of the Cats?? My mortal betting enemy this season, I expect them to rebound, but NOT WITH MY MONEY. Bastards.
Adeliade Crows play for each other,hard to fade a team that does this!!
Richmond are a funny team no doubt,dont know what ya gonna get with this team almost as fustrating as the Cats!!!
Pies still have alot of talent,hard team to read could be like a Crows teams who starts to play for each other instead of some selfish players!!
Power is on the up,no doubt unlike the Lions who are going down!!
Geelong - Interesting you mention this team,On their day they can blow teams off the water,other days they look like 2nd grade VFL players,still has a bad record on the road therefor until they improve that will be the difference cos theyre still hard to beat at Skill Stadium!!