AFL Round 5 - MensTennisForums.com
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post #1 of 25 (permalink) Old 04-28-2006, 06:05 AM Thread Starter
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AFL Round 5

Thought someone would of already started this thread, anyway ill kick it off with preview on tonights match.

Richmond vs. Carlton
Friday 28th April at M.C.G. 7:40pm AEST

Tonights match features the the 2 wooden spoon favourites with both teams currently on 1 win and 3 losses.

Richmond has been bagged alot at the start the year how bad they are but if we take a look at there opponents so far in losses to Western, St Kilda and West Coast and then a win over Brisbane we can see that they have had alot tougher run then what Carlton has had so far playing against 3 top 4 sides.

Carlton have had a win opening round vs Melbourne to then lose all in competitive games to Fremantle, Sydney and Hawthorn.

This week Carlton will regain much needed forwards in Jarrod Waite from injury and Brendan Fevola from suspension.

Fev has been in great form this year kicking 14 goals in the first 3 games and does have a record of kicking a couple of bags vs Richmond.

Last time these 2 teams played Carlton won by 35 points at the Telstra Dome but it is a much different story at the G of recent times with Carlton only winning 1 of 7 games there and Richmond 5 of there last 7.

Richmond did win Traveling Interstate last week and there has been a bit of a trend this year to oppose these teams the next week back home as they seem to have a letdown week.

This week though im still sticking with what I think is the better team in Richmond as Carlton has to be more then juust competitive agains these weaker sides and learn how to win in these close games.

Richmond 1-39 @ $2.40




High Goalscorer Value

If you looking for any value in the High Goal scorer market you cant go past the Favourite here Brendan Fevola @ $2.50. Having an outstanding start to the year as mentioned already kicked 14 goals in the first 3 games and will be relied on heavily here to help Carlton win the game.

Most Disposals Value
Note players here include(Tuck, Couglan, Johnson, Bowden, Kouta, Stevens, Houlihan, Lappin)

This week the best value I see in this bunch is Joel Bowden, having a very consistent year so far avg 24.5 disposals and 29 when at home in vic. He has a great past against Carlton and could easily eack up a lazy 30 tonight. Definately has some value here.

Value Bet here Joel Bowden $5.50


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post #2 of 25 (permalink) Old 04-28-2006, 07:05 AM
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Re: AFL Round 5

Carlton to beat Richmond - $2.00

gl
post #3 of 25 (permalink) Old 04-28-2006, 08:23 AM
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Re: AFL Round 5

Hawker im with you, really like Richmond in this matchup. Seems as if the majoirty of the public are on Carlton though
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post #4 of 25 (permalink) Old 04-28-2006, 09:08 AM Thread Starter
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Re: AFL Round 5

andrew yup most are on Carlton, Carlton started around $2.25 now into $2.00 most places.


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post #5 of 25 (permalink) Old 04-28-2006, 09:30 AM Thread Starter
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Re: AFL Round 5

Other Bets I have taken as value this round include

1 unit Geelong @ $1.86

1 unit Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ $2.75

1 unit Hawthorn 1-39 @ $2.40


Also still thoughts on the Kangaroos and Freo lines.


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post #6 of 25 (permalink) Old 04-29-2006, 01:37 AM Thread Starter
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Re: AFL Round 5

Richmond 1-39 @ $2.40


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post #7 of 25 (permalink) Old 04-29-2006, 02:04 AM
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Re: AFL Round 5

Quote:
Originally Posted by hawker
Other Bets I have taken as value this round include

1 unit Geelong @ $1.86

1 unit Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ $2.75

1 unit Hawthorn 1-39 @ $2.40


Also still thoughts on the Kangaroos and Freo lines.
Good luck bro,Agree with ya on the Cats,but like Adelaide instead!!Also Hawks can go past 40+ imo,maybe a little back bet is worth the shout!!!
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post #8 of 25 (permalink) Old 04-29-2006, 02:09 AM
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Re: AFL Round 5

Kangaroos +7.5 @ $1.91

Western Bulldogs to stay undefeated @ $2.10

West Coast -39.5 @ $1.91 - GIFT

Hawthorn ML X Collingwood ML @ $2.55

Good luck!
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post #9 of 25 (permalink) Old 04-29-2006, 02:11 AM
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Re: AFL Round 5

Quote:
Originally Posted by hawker
Other Bets I have taken as value this round include

1 unit Geelong @ $1.86

1 unit Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ $2.75

1 unit Hawthorn 1-39 @ $2.40


Also still thoughts on the Kangaroos and Freo lines.
Take Kangaroos +7.5 - This will be their week.
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post #10 of 25 (permalink) Old 04-29-2006, 02:11 AM
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Re: AFL Round 5

finally backing against your own team bolar?
post #11 of 25 (permalink) Old 04-29-2006, 02:23 AM
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Re: AFL Round 5

Quote:
Originally Posted by bad gambler
finally backing against your own team bolar?
Common sense prevails BG. This is a definate loss for the Lions and it's going to be over a 10 goal victory for the Eagles.
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post #12 of 25 (permalink) Old 04-29-2006, 03:25 AM
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Re: AFL Round 5

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi
Kangaroos +7.5 @ $1.91

Western Bulldogs to stay undefeated @ $2.10

West Coast -39.5 @ $1.91 - GIFT

Hawthorn ML X Collingwood ML @ $2.55

Good luck!
These pics are from are man who's switched on this week,love all your pics champ except for Western Bulldogs,Crows take this one!!!The definetely with ya on that parlay aswell,there will be some serious 40+ imo this week,like you said starting with W/Cst/Collingwood/Hawthorn are the ones that stand out!!!Good luck with your pics!!!
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post #13 of 25 (permalink) Old 04-29-2006, 03:37 AM
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Re: AFL Round 5

Bulldogs run will come to an abrupt end unfortunately for Doggies supporters,Crows will turn on the gas this weekend n make the dogs look like Pups looking for shelter!!!!

40 units on Adelaide Crows ML 1.75 over Western Bulldogs - Adelaide midfielders to dominate the game!!!Crows by 3-4 goals imo!!!

30 units on West Coast Eagles -38.5pts over Brisbane Lions - What Bolar has explained already!!!How ugly will this get?Bolar doesnt want to look!

Good luck- Leaning on the ShinBoners but on form cant back em,also the Cats 2nite with the margins of 1-19 either way wont go astray!!!


2morro Loving the Hawks -10.5/Pies -11.5 feel both are absolute gifts imo!!!!Moneyline double cant go wrong!!!
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post #14 of 25 (permalink) Old 04-29-2006, 05:20 AM
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Re: AFL Round 5

Sports Freak .. Hawks and Pies lines are a slightly better -9.5 on TAB Sportsbet .. Take them if you can .. never know, the extra point or two might just come in handy!!Both at $1.85 ..
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post #15 of 25 (permalink) Old 04-29-2006, 05:29 AM
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Re: AFL Round 5

Flamb it wont matter the one pt wont come into these games imo,both games wont be close,i will be going on the 40+ for both games aswell,too much in the tank for the Hawks
n Pies to exact revenge!!!!
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