If you don't think both Swan and Ablett will make the Top 3 I'm curious as to see who you think will because it's hard to believe at least one of those two won't place.
I am yet to see a Brownlow where the count ends up according to market order. Ties are also quite common - which doesn't suit backing short priced favs. They're all small bets, as this award is quite farcical and not something to trust.
The saints should poll a shitload of votes, plenty of players at Geelong to take votes besides Ablett (depends how much the umpires have fellated this year), mugs like Goodes and Black will poll, Boyd from the dogs, etc. Hopefully enough votes spread around to push these clowns outside the top 3.