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post #1 of 51 (permalink) Old 04-15-2016, 12:24 AM Thread Starter
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Roland Garros 2016

Main draw entry list now out: Kyrgios, Tomic, Millman, Groth, Kokkinakis all in.

Ebden is 10th alternate, so not much chance (cutoff was 97, with seven protected rankings including Kokk).

So who should get the wildcard?

Clearly not Ebden - 0-4 at tour level this year, clay is not his surface, plus past it.

Thompson has a pretty good case given excellent form this year, but not that strong a record on clay (lost in first round qualifying last year to Cecchinato).

Next ranked players are Smith, Saville, Duckworth and Mitchell none of whom have done anything to justify a wildcard of late.

So next possibles look like Barton, Jasika, Mott??

Of the three you'd have to think Barton looking the strongest given run through qualifying and r1 at Housten.

Jasika I guess in contention given AO performance but hasn't done much since and clay is not his thing - didn't play a single match on it last year.

I had of course been hoping that Anderson might be looking like a contender by now. But hasn't played since injury back in summer.
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post #2 of 51 (permalink) Old 04-15-2016, 01:28 AM
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Re: Roland Garros 2016

Kate, Oliver was telling me the other day that the torn hip is still not right and is taking a lot longer to heal than was anticipated. This is a real shame for the young fella.
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post #3 of 51 (permalink) Old 04-15-2016, 01:28 AM
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Re: Roland Garros 2016

Barton for the wild card by a mile.
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post #4 of 51 (permalink) Old 04-15-2016, 02:59 AM Thread Starter
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Re: Roland Garros 2016

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Originally Posted by scotthongkong View Post
Barton for the wild card by a mile.
Personally I'd give Thompson a run - currently at 84 in the race and good chance of making it into top 100 this year.

But has to be said the field is looking pretty weak, with most of the older group looking like they are going nowhere (I'm thinking of people who have at various points looked like potential contenders like Bolt), and most of the younger group not yet quite at a level to make good use of the experience.

Barton, Mott, Whittington and Dayne Kelly are all in the top 200 (Jasika just outside at 204) in the race, but odds of winning a first round match at RG pretty low for all of them.

Barton certainly seems to be coming up and has been showing some signs he might get there over the last year or so (and yes injury has been a factor). But is a first round win in two 250s really enough to justify a wildcard to a Slam? At 24 still only ranked 256 and so mostly playing futures and challengers (his two successes in qualifying for 250s notwithstanding). Maybe he will prove another very late bloomer but...

So where are all the young up and comers? Jasika seems to have stalled.

I guess there is a case for considering Polmans and de Minaur as they are moving up fast (Polmans at 381 in the race, de Minaur at 498) but probably a bit too soon on the face of it.
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post #5 of 51 (permalink) Old 04-15-2016, 03:08 AM
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Re: Roland Garros 2016

Yes, the wild card is the biggest talking point of this year's RG, as we pretty much know what to expect from the main draw entrants - Tomic and Groth largely useless on the red stuff, Kyrgios targeting the second week, Millman a solid chance of an R1 win with the right opponent and Thanasi the big unknown in his comeback (but not high expectations).

The WC is more interesting. Don't forget that there are a few clay Challengers coming up over the next few weeks to enable claims to be pressed...

Ebden no way - aside from the fact he's been injured for weeks, let's see him win a match in 2016 first!

It's true that Thompson is not a natural clay courter, but otherwise he is a front runner by dint of being the next in line to crack the Top 100. He's playing Nanjing and An-Ning on clay in coming weeks though; do well in either and he might go to the top of the list all the same.

Certainly Barton is the early favourite thanks to his good work in Houston, and probably the sentimental favourite given that he was completely ignored by TA at the AO despite very solid form after his return from injury during the Pro Tour season. He doesn't seem to be playing much on clay beforehand though.

Nobody else making much of a charge. I will scream if Jasika gets one again - OK, he did well to beat Marchenko in Melbourne, but he has done absolutely nothing before or since aside from his doubles run with JP in Miami and his ranking is starting to stagnate in the low 300s!
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post #6 of 51 (permalink) Old 04-15-2016, 03:17 AM
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Re: Roland Garros 2016

Barton and Whittington deserve it more than most but they probably won't even be considered...

This is a weak year with all our three decent clay courters in direct and those who are at home on the clay too low ranked...

I don't doubt whoever we choose will lose on straights, depending on Thompsons form
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post #7 of 51 (permalink) Old 04-15-2016, 03:24 AM
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Re: Roland Garros 2016

Surely they can't ignore Barton again....

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post #8 of 51 (permalink) Old 04-15-2016, 08:44 AM Thread Starter
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Re: Roland Garros 2016

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Surely they can't ignore Barton again....
Of course they can (and should imo). Despite his run he only has three wins vs top 100 players in his career, and one of those was three years ago. And he's 6-5 at challenger level this year, not exactly a stunning record.

By contrast Thompson is 13-7 at challenger level this year, and though less lucky with tour level draws than Barton, picked up a decent top win against Klizan at Sydney.

And he is playing in a series of lead up challengers, whereas Barton doesn't seem to have anything scheduled for the next few weeks...
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post #9 of 51 (permalink) Old 04-15-2016, 11:01 AM
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Re: Roland Garros 2016

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Of course they can (and should imo). Despite his run he only has three wins vs top 100 players in his career, and one of those was three years ago. And he's 6-5 at challenger level this year, not exactly a stunning record.

By contrast Thompson is 13-7 at challenger level this year, and though less lucky with tour level draws than Barton, picked up a decent top win against Klizan at Sydney.

And he is playing in a series of lead up challengers, whereas Barton doesn't seem to have anything scheduled for the next few weeks...
Fair point - as usual you're much more across their progress than I am :worship

From what I've seen of their games, both have flashes of serious 'potential', hopefully they avoid membership of Australia's little gang of plodders.

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post #10 of 51 (permalink) Old 04-15-2016, 10:20 PM
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Re: Roland Garros 2016

In my opinion it is either Thompson or, dare I say it, nobody...
TA could always elect to give it away. I too think Barton should be in the mix, but does not seem to be on TA's radar.

Tomic, Matosevic, Groth, Jones, JP Smith, Matty Reid, Barton, Duckworth, Whittington, Kubler, Kyrgios, Bolt, Kokkinakis, Polansky and James Ward
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post #11 of 51 (permalink) Old 04-15-2016, 10:36 PM
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Re: Roland Garros 2016

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In my opinion it is either Thompson or, dare I say it, nobody...
TA could always elect to give it away. I too think Barton should be in the mix, but does not seem to be on TA's radar.
Although none of our guys may be in red hot form, we have too many strong players to turn it away.

Thompson will likely get it, but even Smith has a solid ranking and has progressed year after year in singles so certainly another player who has earned it. Jasika to a lesser extent but TA would absolutely give it to Omar before turning it away.

Barton I think is the best chance to win a round but hasn't had consistent enough yet.
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post #12 of 51 (permalink) Old 04-16-2016, 03:00 AM
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Re: Roland Garros 2016

One to throw in there is Duckworth. Im not sure when he's coming back from his elbow injury but if he does come back before the FO would you consider him if he does do well. Plus hes a capable clay courter. Probably the best out of the bunch in terms of contenders.
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post #13 of 51 (permalink) Old 04-16-2016, 04:09 AM Thread Starter
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Re: Roland Garros 2016

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One to throw in there is Duckworth. Im not sure when he's coming back from his elbow injury but if he does come back before the FO would you consider him if he does do well. Plus hes a capable clay courter. Probably the best out of the bunch in terms of contenders.
My view won't be any surprise, but hell no!

1. Hasn't played since January. Will have to show he is back first. At the moment only scheduled for An-Ning so not planning much of a lead up.
2. Has done stuff-all for the last year. Apart from barely playing (hence the state of his ranking), 2-9 vs top 100 wins over the last year (and neither of those particularly stunning - Cervantes and Jaziri).
3.Got a brilliant draw then lost to Arnaboldi of all people last year at RG.
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post #14 of 51 (permalink) Old 04-19-2016, 11:17 AM
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Re: Roland Garros 2016

Jordan starting the clay season with a bang won his first clay match of the season 6-7(3) 6-2 7-6(6) ( down 4-6 in the TB )

Sexy red.
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post #15 of 51 (permalink) Old 04-20-2016, 06:55 AM
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Re: Roland Garros 2016

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Jordan starting the clay season with a bang won his first clay match of the season 6-7(3) 6-2 7-6(6) ( down 4-6 in the TB )
Jordan just proved he is better than Ducky.


Oh....I might not have the correct spelling there....
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