Okay so after thinking about this much!
1.5 units on Devolder to win @ $7
2 units on Devolder to place @ $2.50
.5 units on Hincapie to win @ $14
1 unit on Hincapie to place @ $4
1 unit on Maaskant to place @ $4.75
.5 win on Burghardt @ $26
.5 place on Burghardt @ $7
Pretty clear cut. I'm going reasonably small hoping I can pull off a Devolder win or Devolder place or a Hincapie win and place.
It's pretty much set based on whether or not Hincapie has bike troubles. This is a clear cut goal for Columbia and Hincapie. He isn't retiring until he wins PR
Columbia and QS have the strongest teams there. Boonen will be shut out of it like Flanders. I'm going against him and taking the risk that it happens again. And QS might be eyeing Hincapie too much that Burghardt goes off the front and gets away ala O'Grady in 2007. Also to note. Team Columbia won Gent-Wevelgem on Wednesday. Albasini gave them a win on Thursday in the tour of the Basque Country. Pinotti gave them another win Friday. Monfort was in the early break and Pinotti counter attacked when it was caught. So Columbia might be finally realising that there is other ways to win than bringing Cavendish to the line. And the confidence is up.
I'm pretty big on Maaskant putting in a good performance here. My predictions are Devolder or Hincapie and third will be Maaskant. 4th will be Flecha and 5th will be Breschel.
Onto the head to head market. There is one big play I like.
10 units Hincapie over Pozzato @ $1.85 - I can't see Katusha dominating for Pozzato and Hincapie is going to finish top 3. I reckon this is a steal.
3 units Cancellara over Chavanel @ $2.18 - Cancellara had bike troubles on Wednesday and is trying to recapture form. Chavanel on the otherhand is riding for Boonen and Devolder. Brilliant odds. Don't be surprised if Cancellara wins.
4 units Burghardt over Quinziato @ $1.80 - Burghardt showed me on Wednesday he is strong. Has apparently hired 4 men to carry spare wheels at the main parts of the course on top of the Columbia staff. Interesting thought.
2 units Devolder over Boonen @ $3.26 - Again, I am throwing all my eggs on Devolder here. If he wins, I do good.
Boonen, for the love of God. Don't win!