Originally Posted by Action Jackson
Thanks guys for your work on Dutch football it's appreciated.
2 picks for tonight:
FC Eindhoven - Telstar
Pick: 5/10 FC Eindhoven -0.75 @ 2.21 (SBO)
Eindhoven had a great start to the new season. They beat Emmen 3-0 and even won 0-1 at Cambuur in a close match. Today they face Telstar, who haven't even scored a goal so far. They lost 1-0 at Go Ahead Eagles and had a 0-0 draw against Den Bosch and in both games their front line made a horrible impression on me. Eindhoven meanwhile look quite solid at this point. They have a lot of options up front and have a decent organization working on their midfield and defence and usually they should be able to keep a clean sheet here. Eindhoven are without regular defender Van der Rijt (and a couple of longterm absentees). Telstar are without regular defender Mac-Intosh and regulars Anthony Correia (DF), Andrzej Ornoch (MF) en Cor Varkevisser (GK) had problems this week and are still listed as doubtful. Since all 3 are regulars and their bench is extremely weak, any extra absentees would be a big worry for their coach. Early odds were great here, but today they have drifted back up, giving us some very good value. I would have played this bet up to 1.9.
Fortuna Sittard - FC Emmen
Pick: 5/10 Fortuna Sittard -0.5 @ 1.92 (SBO)
Fortuna have done a great job in terms of transfers this summer. They have a very experienced team now, with a strong midfield and a very good attack. They showed this last week against AGOVV (5-1 win, AGOVV did get an early red card however) and also did a decent job away at Sparta, conceding a narrow 1-0 loss in the first game of the season. Emmen are quite the opposite in many ways. Their squad really looks a lot worse and especially up front they have lost a lot of quality now that players like Denissen and Chery have left and Rojer is injured. I think they have a team that can only hope to avoid relegation at this point, with a squad certainly amongst the worst ones out there. Last week they were very lucky to draw at home against Dordrecht and the week before they lost heavily at Eindhoven (3-0). Both sides have no injury worries besides the mentioned Rojer for Emmen. At this point I rate Fortuna a lot higher than Emmen and these odds suggest that the teams are close to equal and only home advantage plays a part here, which just isn't the case.