You might how a point. Italy lets in at least a goal in their last 5 matches and Romania 2 in their last 5 matches combined. I thought Buffon meant to the best goal keeper in the world at one point in his career.
The major problem for Italy now is the absence of Cannavaro. Buffon is still a quality goalkeeper and probably still is the best in the world.
Italy need to win here which means they'll be vunerable to the counterattack again. Romania will surely be a bit more adventurous today as well.
Overs at 2.7 looks a decent bet to me.
Hope Del Piero can do the busniess. He's probably never been coming into a major comp in such good form. De Rossi and Perotta coming in for the jaded looking Gattuso and Ambrosini is also a good move by Donadoni