Predict the Upsets (PTU)
The goal of Predict-the-Upsets (PTU) is to get the greatest amount of PTU points by betting on upsets and upsetters. You analyze the draws and upcoming matches and you decide how much and where you place your bets.
In order to play, a commitment is necessary in the PTU Commitments thread. *add link*
The deadline is usually midnight CET (GMT+1), but if there is a change, players will be told the precise time. Respect the deadline or you won't be able to play in the tournament.
- In this game, you chose the "underdog" of a match, the player who could upset the other or, in other words: the player that is not considered the favourite in a match, judging from the odds.
- A limited credit of PTU Cash is given to each player: ATP250, 250 PTU Cash / ATP 500, 500 PTUC / MS100, 1000 PTUC / GS, 2000 PTUC / WTF, 1500 PTUC
- You need to bet at least 3 times during the whole tournament.
- Your bets can't be under the 5 PTUC (PTU Cash) mark. It's the minimum you can place.
- The total of your bets must not surpass the credit that is given to you (which, again, depends on the tournament level).
- The player wins the PTU points without the amount placed (Ex: Player A odds = 5.10 -> PTU player's bet on him = 10 -> 5.10*10 = 51 PTU cash won, not 51+10= 61 )
- Bets must be written in units, not with decimals. (Ex: 8, 37, 140, 1220 ; Not 8.2, 36.88, etc.)
- Although the odds are shown in decimals, the amount won is rounded-up to the unit. (Ex: 23.24 = 23 ; 52.65 = 53 ; 14.50 = 15)
- All the points won for each bet are added -> Each player gets a Final score and his standing.
- Considering the fact that you bet on upsets in this game, you may not want to risk of keeping a lot of your credit in the final stages of the tournament, unless you initially think a "surprise player" (or many) will reach the final rounds of the tournaments.
- You must be aware that there might be very few "upsets" in a tournament, so you have to think well of how much you place in your bets. Interpret the draws and try to predict the results well. Bet clever!
Winning PTU and Standings
- The winner is the player who gets the greatest number of points. As simple as that.
-> If 2 or more players are tied: the best "riskier bet" (RB) wins. (Ex: PTU player A's riskier bet = 6.62 wins over PUT player B's riskier bet = 5.76)
-> If still tied: greatest amount placed in a single winning bet wins.
-> If still tied, then players remain tied.
- If the results are calculated with the Back-Up Bets (BUBs)*, it's also the player with the greatest number of points who wins.
-> If 2 or more players are tied: the greatest number of correct match winner picked wins.
-> If still tied: the greatest number of correct sets predicted wins.
-> If still tied, then players remain tied.
What is exactly an Upset in PTU?
The best way to describe an upset in this game is to give you an example. Let's take this match from AO '14, R3:
Murray A. - Lopez F. -> odds: 1.12 - 6.32
The odds are the references. So, when you read this, it means Murray is the big favourite. So he gets only 1.12, which means that the "price" you bet will be multiplied by this amount.
In real life and with real money, if you bet 50 $, you will win 50*1.12 = 56$+50$. While, if you go for the big upset, as suggested by the odds for Lopez, you could get (for the same amount placed) 50*6.32 = 316$+50$.
The bigger the odds are, the less chances there are for the upset to happen - if you believe the odds. That
's what it means concretely. But you and only you are the judge! The odds are a reference but if you feel or believe there could be an upset, just go for Feliciano. But if he doesn't upset Murray, you'll lose your 50$ and you won't get it back.
In the PTU game, you can only bet for the player that could possibly upset the other
. So, in this match, if you bet on it, you could place your PTUC on Lopez
That taken into consideration, you have to know that in PTU, you only get the points you win (without the amount placed). For 50 PTU Cash, you'd get 316 points, not 316+50. The reason? It's useless in this game and it isn't real money, so it wouldn't change a thing.
How does the manager decide when there could be a possible upset and make bets available? It's the manager of the tournament's choice, he is the one who decides this criteria, but it is preferable to have at least a 0.40 units differential. *to be discussed*
Example in odds: 1.68-2.02 -> 0.34 separates both odds, so if the tennis player with the 2.02 odds wins, we can't really say it is an upset. It is a very minor upset.
* Back-up Bets
If the number of upsets needed is not reached, Back-Up Bets (BUBs) will be used in order to prevent the tournament to be void and we can still calculate the points and create standings.
The number of BUBs will depend on how many matches will be played in the given tournament. BUBs will be asked right from the beginning, independently of what might happen or not. So, everytime a BUB is demanded next to a match, write it!
Here is the chart for each tournament level:
ATP250 -> Upsets needed: 6 / Back-Up Bets demanded: 10
ATP500 31-match -> Upsets needed: 6 / Back-Up Bets asked: 10
ATP500 47-match -> Upsets needed: 8 / Back-Up Bets asked: 16
MS1000 -> 55-match -> Upsets needed: 12 / Back-Up Bets asked: 18
Paris -> 47-match -> psets needed: 8 / Back-Up Bets asked: 16
IW/Miami -> 95-match -> Upsets needed: 16 / Back-Up Bets asked: 24
GS -> 127-match -> Upsets needed: 20* / Back-Up Bets asked: 28 *to be discussed*
In this case, you will have to chose the winner and the number of sets won by each player. There will be odds for each scenario. You will guess and pick what you think will be the result in sets and you will place the cash you want. The credit given to the players is the same as for PTU and the rules about the credits remain the same too.
These BUBs can be complementary or additional bets. But they remain INDEPENDENT and they are OBLIGATORY. They would be used in case there was not enough upsets in the actual tournament.
Concretely: you have to write all the BUBs under your initial PTUs. And if you don't want to bet and give PTUs in a certain round, you still have to write the BUBs asked for each round
Note: the Back-Up Bets are placed randomly and before the tournament starts. They can be placed in only 1 round, in all, or in various. It's pure randomness.
Final format of PTUs and Back-up Bets
PTU *Column(round)*Match# *[Amount]
At the bottom of the message, add the credit remaining.
Example, for a 250 ATP tournament R1:
PTU A2 
PTU A7 
PTU A14 
Remaining Credit: 172
BUB## | PlayerA(sets)PlayerB | [Amount placed]
Example, for a 250 ATP tournament, in which there are 2 BUBs asked in R1:
BUB01 Nadal(2:1)Djokovic 
BUB02 Nalbandian(2:3)Hewitt 
Remaining credit: 180
Tournament scores & standings
Changing your bets
If you want to amend a previous bet (cancel or change), quote the original post and add a new message. Don't edit the post and never delete it!
A moderator will scan this thread every day to track on deleted/edited posts. If you are caught cheating, you will be automatically disqualified from this tournament.
In certain cases, you might be banned from playing temporarily or permanently. Please, play fairly everybody!
If a tennis player in the tournament withdraws before the match starts, your bets will not be counted and you won't lose the amount stacked.
If a player retires during the match (after the first point was started), your bet would still be considered and counted.
- The manager uses oddsportal.com
for the odds. Odds are bloked when the manager decides.
The manager must post them in the front page (PTU Odds, PTUO)
- Give a link for time zones + site to the tournament.