Home field advantage automatically warrants 3 points.
Combine this with the fact that dome teams are 11-37 in outdoor playoff games, and early forecasts predicting possible snow showers, and Chicago are 8-1 at home this season, the one loss coming in a nothing game against the Pack. So this probably adds another 2 to the line.
If this were played on neutral ground I'd probably expect to see NO as 4 or 5 point favourites, and therefore see this one as a PK or Chicago as 1 point favourites.
Chicago opened at -3 at most places, before coming in to 1-1.5 favourites, and are beginning to be pushed out toward -2 or -2.5.
Yeah I should have clarified when I said I was suprised to see Bears laying points. I also work off a 3 point home ground advantage, so if you take the Saints as being saying a FG favourite in a neutral venue, at worst I expected this to be a straight pk'em game. Mind you there is a week still to go for that to happen so the line may correct itself in the next few days.
After this morning's game I was in line to take the Saints SU, but indecision and the aforementioned line movements have so far left me without a bet. Rex sucks, clearly, but got it done today. Can the Saints blitz well enough to ruin him? No, in my opinion. I though the Bears' defensive line was fairly good when it counted today, and I am not sure how Brees, Bush, McAllister and co will cope if Soldier Field gets true January weather.
I see Average Joe Public jumping all over the Saints this week, so I will wait to see if Chicago approach -1 or even PK later in the week. Leaning toward the Bears.
Bears were horribly exposed today against a banged up Seahawks OL and WR corp yet they were able to move the ball at will, Rexy proved again why he is clearly the worst QB of all the teams that were in the post season. Continually getting rushed and was a turnover waiting to happen. I had money on the Bears and cringed everytime the pill was in his hands.
Hasselbeck also had his way against the Bears secondary today.
IMO Bears better hope for a snowstorm come Sunday