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post #1 of 42 (permalink) Old 10-30-2006, 11:00 PM Thread Starter
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NFL week 9

Looks like the books are making the faves cover really big numbers this week.

I'll be looking over possible plays but had to get in on Denver +3 (-110 ) asap x 2 units

Line started -1 for Denver and with the public playing heavy on Denver the lines moved + 3 for them. Somebody must be seeing something im not but this line should get bought back down from this number. Denver will be getting points but by the weeks end I would guess it'll be more like 1.5 to 2 points, 2.5 tops, instead of the 3 they are now so if they're givin this many im taking.

RIP Luc Bourdon

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post #2 of 42 (permalink) Old 11-02-2006, 06:47 PM Thread Starter
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Re: NFL week 9

Added Buffalo -2.5 @ -135 x laying 4.05 units to win 3 units

Bills play tough at home and off the bye week I expect them to be ready to go this weekend. Im also not ready to hop on the Favre bandwagon. He's still a civ at this point and 2 wins against 2 of the bottom feeders of the league isnt going to change my mind. Buffalos stronger on d and while a bit weaker on offense ,gbays so weak on d that the bills shouldn't find much trouble moving the ball.

RIP Luc Bourdon

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post #3 of 42 (permalink) Old 11-04-2006, 10:05 PM Thread Starter
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Re: NFL week 9

KC + 3 @ -140 x 2.8 units

Bulgers playing error free ball right now but that kc secondary is not made to throw against so they're going to have to win on jacksons back. KC is going to have to win with the run as well. If im backing one team to win running its this kc team but it doesnt hurt that Huard has made himself a legit starter in this league with KC. With the rams unable to do anything on d but blitz, Huards short quick passing game should nickle and dime this rams d all game when Johnson isnt smashing it down their throats.

Cincy +3 @ + 100 x 2 units

Cincy has begun to look better on offense and the ravens are still offensivly challenged. Rolle has looked ugly in coverage this season and with the weapons cincy has on the outside and Palmers accuracy, Rolle is gonna see a lot of balls thrown his way. If they start connecting, its going to open up the playbook and force safeties to help him which leaves one on ones on the other corner and Rudi lanes to run. Unless Steve finds his old air mcnair ways this offense just isnt explosive enough to open it up with cincy which I believe leads to turnovers and more points for cincy.

Tbay pk + 100 x 3 units

The bucs d has finally woken up and that will keep them in games again. Gradkowski hasnt impressed in the last couple weeks but he faces a d hes already seen and had success against. This time its in his yard and rooks traditionally play better at home. Saints are soft on d, if Caddy can get on his horse the combo of the offense and defense should be too much for just the one dimensional saints.

7 point teaser x 2 teams

Hawks pk x Jags -2 x 3 units

Oaklands playing better but they arent walking into qwest and walking out with a win. Even banged up the hawks are a better team. Jags are prone to off weeks and Youngs the trendy pick but Jags are downright nasty at home and Garrard looked good leading this team last week tho he didnt have to do much with the running game dominating. Oakland and the titans might keep them close enough to make their original spreads scary but they aren't going to win either of these games imo.

RIP Luc Bourdon

Last edited by flmmkrz; 11-05-2006 at 07:57 AM.
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post #4 of 42 (permalink) Old 11-05-2006, 02:50 AM
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Re: NFL week 9

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Originally Posted by flmmkrz View Post
KC + 3 @ -140 x 2.8 units

Bulgers playing error free ball right now but that kc secondary is not made to throw against so they're going to have to win on jacksons back. KC is going to have to win with the run as well. If im backing one team to win running its this kc team but it doesnt hurt that Huard has made himself a legit starter in this league with KC. With the rams unable to do anything on d but blitz, Huards short quick passing game should nickle and dime this rams d all game when Johnson isnt smashing it down their throats.

Cincy +3 @ + 100 x 2 units

Cincy has begun to look better on offense and the ravens are still offensivly challenged. Rolle has looked ugly in coverage this season and with the weapons cincy has on the outside and Palmers accuracy, Rolle is gonna see a lot of balls thrown his way. If they start connecting, its going to open up the playbook and force safeties to help him which leaves one on ones on the other corner and Rudi lanes to run. Unless Steve finds his old air mcnair ways this offense just isnt explosive enough to open it up with cincy which I believe leads to turnovers and more points for cincy.

Tbay pk + 100 x 2 units

The bucs d has finally woken up and that will keep them in games again. Gradkowski hasnt impressed in the last couple weeks but he faces a d hes already seen and had success against. This time its in his yard and rooks traditionally play better at home. Saints are soft on d, if Caddy can get on his horse the combo of the offense and defense should be too much for just the one dimensional saints.

7 point teaser x 2 teams

Hawks pk x Jags -2 x 3 units

Oaklands playing better but they arent walking into qwest and walking out with a win. Even banged up the hawks are a better team. Jags are prone to off weeks and Youngs the trendy pick but Jags are downright nasty at home and Garrard looked good leading this team last week tho he didnt have to do much with the running game dominating. Oakland and the titans might keep them close enough to make their original spreads scary but they aren't going to win either of these games imo.
Hi there. Just wanted to know what you think of the over 47.5 in KC/Stlouis game, too high? I agree with Tampa and Cinci. Not so sure about Chiefs +3 but only play I would make is on Kansas City. Good luck!!
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post #5 of 42 (permalink) Old 11-05-2006, 07:01 AM Thread Starter
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Re: NFL week 9

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Hi there. Just wanted to know what you think of the over 47.5 in KC/Stlouis game, too high? I agree with Tampa and Cinci. Not so sure about Chiefs +3 but only play I would make is on Kansas City. Good luck!!
I would lean towards it playing under that total, like I said above I think this games gonna be about both teams pounding the ball. Herms gonna eat this clock up and If the rams play too quickly its just gonna end up hurting the d towards the end of the game. GL this weekend bro.

RIP Luc Bourdon
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post #6 of 42 (permalink) Old 11-05-2006, 07:43 AM Thread Starter
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Re: NFL week 9

and since the spreads are huge on these had to take another teaser

13 point 4 teamer

Giants pk x vikes +8.5 x Chargers +.05 x Bears -.5

1.4 units to win 1 unit

RIP Luc Bourdon
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post #7 of 42 (permalink) Old 11-05-2006, 08:24 AM
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Re: NFL week 9

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Originally Posted by flmmkrz View Post
and since the spreads are huge on these had to take another teaser

13 point 4 teamer

Giants pk x vikes +8.5 x Chargers +.05 x Bears -.5

1.4 units to win 1 unit
That looks like a really safe teaser but one I would definitely agree with you on. None of those teams look like they are in a position to lose. Good luck man!
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post #8 of 42 (permalink) Old 11-05-2006, 09:19 AM
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Re: NFL week 9

TB su

2nd game between these 2 teams. Gradkowski threw for 225 yards in 3 point loss. Cad Williams had 111 yards. TB defense has shown up in its last 3 games. Tough Division game but I think TB eeks out a win at home.
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post #9 of 42 (permalink) Old 11-05-2006, 12:08 PM
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Re: NFL week 9

Buffalo -3.5, @ 2.09

GL
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post #10 of 42 (permalink) Old 11-05-2006, 12:22 PM
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Cool Re: NFL week 9

I make a killing in NBA then the next day give it all back, I make a killing in NBA and then a give it all back - the joys of the betting merry-go-round.

I was barely sober when I capped these so here goes.

1pm Games


Rams to cover -2 v Chiefs - $1.91

I'll keep fading the Chiefs on the road and keep backing them as live dogs at Arrowhead. Chiefs are 1-2 ATS on the road thus far and have one win against a pitful Zona to show for it. Of course my only concern here is what Johnson could do the terrible Rams rush D but I'll bank on the Bulge under the roof where they are always tough to beat and seem to play with a different level of intensity. Ultimately I believe the Chiefs' impressive home form has severely overvalued the line on this one in their favour.

Consensus in this one is split down the middle.....


4pm Games

Steelers to cover -3 v Broncos - $1.91


Steelers will be desperate and Broncos on the road after the letdown at home against the Colts where they really should have won. Champs' season hangs in the balance, IMO it's probably over anyway but they still are tough to beat at home, 5-1 S/U in the last 6 home games and with a home game next against NO this could be seen as the time to start making a run. They are currently 2-5 S/U and 2-5 ATS so essentially a win today and they cover, that's the angle I'm working on. I'm always comfortable backing an unpopular home favourite as well.

Kind of like the Niners catching the points at home and Texans + against the mighty G-men but going to pass on both.

good luck
post #11 of 42 (permalink) Old 11-05-2006, 12:36 PM
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Re: NFL week 9

Lets hope Seinfeld isn't around, I don't want him jinxing my Rams bet
post #12 of 42 (permalink) Old 11-05-2006, 04:38 PM
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Re: NFL week 9

4 team teaser

Rams +10.5
Bengals +16
Cowboys +10
Falcons +8

good luck
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post #13 of 42 (permalink) Old 11-05-2006, 05:33 PM
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Re: NFL week 9

Falcons -5.5 to start the NFL week for me.
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post #14 of 42 (permalink) Old 11-05-2006, 05:59 PM
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Re: NFL week 9

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Originally Posted by bad gambler View Post
Lets hope Seinfeld isn't around, I don't want him jinxing my Rams bet

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post #15 of 42 (permalink) Old 11-05-2006, 06:07 PM Thread Starter
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Re: NFL week 9

My vikes teaser play makes me a bit nervous so as a bit of a hedge

9ers -3.5 @ 4.00 x .5 units

RIP Luc Bourdon
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