It's high time this ridiculous slide ended .. selectivity used to be my key to picking a good total to get on and after doing a little research I have an early lean for tomorrow ..
UNDER 209.5 Phoenix v NJ
Below is the previous 10 encounters between these two teams .. Only one of those has gone over today's number .. NJ's only hope in this one is to play it at their pace .. the last thing they want is to run with the Suns .. these are the sort of stats I've been ignoring this week and losing as a result ..
11/24/06 PHO 99 - NJ 93 Push -6 U 204.5
3/27/06 NJ 110 - PHO 72 NJ 4.5 U 207
11/25/05 PHO 92 - NJ 81 PHO -5.5 U 204
1/23/05 PHO 113 - NJ 105 NJ 12.0 O 204
11/6/04 NJ 80 - PHO 112 PHO -8.5 U 192.5
3/3/04 PHO 87 - NJ 74 PHO -2 U 187
12/6/03 NJ 99 - PHO 88 NJ -7.5 O 181
12/9/02 NJ 106 - PHO 93 NJ -11.5 O 186
11/27/02 PHO 82 - NJ 75 PHO 4.5 U 177.5
3/6/02 PHO 89 - NJ 87 PHO 2 U 187.5
IF however, my above play doesn't figure strongly on 'brewers' leans for tomorrow I'll probably abort it .. This guy has the runs (and the dollars)on the board long term in the NBA and I'm very very close to opting just to tail him for the rest of this season ..
Last I saw, there was 75% on the Suns, can't remember the exact numbers but am pretty sure it was a similar type situation (perhaps Suns were not as bigger public team) in March 2006 when the Nets won by 38 points. But at least back then you could justify a bet on the Nets, they had 8 straight wins. Roles are reversed this time around, Suns aren't going to shoot 26% from the field tonight either.
The Nets' last home game against the Mavs said it all, 10 points from the bench and 8 coming from Moore and that has been Nets' problem all season thus far, they don't even have a rotation to call upon.
NJ ML.. I fell for this trap last year.... NJ won by 40.... (3/27/06 NJ 110 - PHO 72 NJ 4.5 U 207) Sure the EAST is weak but Suns will be traveling across the country and entering cold weather and will be exposed on the Road for the frauds they are.
Yeah having looked into the past numbers a bit further, it seems there were circumstances re players being injured ect that were a factor .. still see more 'sharps' on the under, but line movement always makes me wary ..