Tough, tough loss last night, but glad I got something back with the 1Q bet and am glad I didn't raise my bet to $200 just yet as I did increase my bankroll to the point where it was time to increase the bet slightly (like I did after I got a little bit over $1000 up, as I bumped plays up to $150), but I smelled a cold streak and decided to hold off bumping my bet up a bit until this mini-storm passes...Went 5-9 on all picks yesterday for my 4th losing day out of 34 days, but my top 3 Sides went 3-0 and I have always considered those my money-plays, but the rest of the picks went to shit...I have been doing this for a while and can sometimes sniff out the impending cold streaks...I will lower my bet until I see more consistency on my part...And you should, too...
Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== ======================
Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection...
Preseason posted plays: 9-3-1
Season To Date: 41-23, +$2126
Sides: 18-10, +$907, Totals: 14-10, +$701, 1H bets: 1-1, -$4, 2H bets: 3-1, +$193, ML: 1-1, +$29, Quarters: 4-0, +$300
Tuesday, December 5
Golden State/Houston under 193.5 -- $102 to win $100
--- (or GS/Hou under 193.5 @1.980, 1/10, Pinnacle)
Like both the Side and Total here as I think GS can win this straight up after a 40-point loss, but I just have a nagging gut-feeling about Houston tonight that keeps me from pulling the trigger, so I will go with the total instead...Have I gone mad taking GS Under such a "low" total?...I don't think so...GS is 3-0 to the Under in back-enders this season...5 of the last 6 trips to HOU for GS have gone Under...Following that 269 debacle at Denver, GS played the next night and had a 169 total and beat Utah outright...I feel Houston will control the pace and play half-court and slow this thing down, and quite frankly, as much as GS likes to run, they can play the half-court game if they want to just fine...HOU is playing some drastic Unders and the pace of their games have been incredibly slow recently...A team off a blow-out loss will generally make an attempt at defense the next time out, and that 269 at Denver is the example I will cite again as GS played zone and held the best shooting team at the time (Utah) to 32.5% shooting that game and Utah had been playing Overs at that time just like GS was playing Overs and we had a 169...If Houston controls the pace, then this will be at 180, tops...HOU just played a 193 against PHOE AT Phoenix, so why should this game reach 194?...
Tuesday's Picks for tracking purposes:
1) NJ, 2) GS, 3) Sac, 4) Port, 5) LAC, 6) Sea
1) GS un, 2) Port ov, 3) Sac ov, 4) NJ un, 5) Sea ov, 6) LAC un
Please note: Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above...
Yesterday: 1-1 (-$100)
Last 3 days: 1-3 (-$312)
Last 7 days: 5-3 (+$288)
Database sample links: http://www.tricountyleague.com/TeamSample.xls
Words of advice:
Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot...Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Money management…Bet with your head, not over it...Stay humble…Act professional…