Poland over Israel @ 2.06 (5 units)
Poland is pretty solid even without Gortat. Lampe and Logan have been playing well and Israel is playing without their best player in Casspi.
Greece -8.5 over Russia @ 1.80 (5 units)
Russia's playing without Kirilenko and Holden meaning they have absolutely no go to guys. Nick Calathes and Kosta Koufos have been playing great for Greece in their NT debuts and Sofoklis Schortsanitis has trimmed down to around 300 lbs. and has been a beast. Bourousis and Spanoulis are also better than anyone on the Russian side.
Serbia over Lithuania @ 3.14 (5 units)
Lithuania looked terrible against Spain and it's obvious that no Jasikevicius, Siskauskas, Kaukenas, and Songaila is really hurting this team. Teodosic and Macvan from Serbia have been impressive and they've got a big men in Krstic and Velickovic that have no problem matching up with Javtokas and the Lavrinovic brothers.
Loss - hate missing spreads by 1 point.
Agree with you guys that Slovenia at 25 is ridiculous value, books must be down on them after losing to a GBR team without Deng, Gordon, and Mensah-Bonsu.
Lots of value on the cards today.
Greece -5.5 over Lithuania @ 1.80 (5 units)
Lithuania looked completely out of sorts without their guards while Calathes, Spanoulis, and Zisis have all been in good form. Greece's depth in the front court is also superior to the Lithuanians.
Serbia -6.5 over Russia @ 1.80 (5 units)
Serbia's been playing well, Teodosic, Perovic and Krstic have been playing great while Russia's been almost a one man team with Kelly McCarthy.
GBR +10.5 over Latvia @ 1.90 (5 units)
Valters and Biedrins are the only two reliable scoring threats for the Latvians, the Brits have actually been playing with a lot of heart and seem to have a chip on their shoulder. I think Mensah-Bonsu might be playing but they've still got Archibald and Freeland playing good ball, it all depends on their guard play.
Turkey -5.5 over Croatia @ 1.85 (5 units)
Turks are the most underrated team in Eurobasket IMO, Gonlum, Atsur, Turkoglu, Ilyasova, etc. - they've got depth in all positions and are a very solid team all around. I've always rated Croatia lower than most, but we'll see.
Dominican Republic +12.5 over Brazil @ 1.85 (5 units)
Dominican Republic over Brazil @ 6.75 (5 units)
This is my big upset for the Americas championship, DR is fielding their best squad every with Francisco Garcia, Charlie Villanueva, and Al Horford, they've also got another guard with NBA experience and have a great chance at upsetting a Brazilian squad led by Barbosa, Splitter, and Varejao.