Wimbledon 2017: - MensTennisForums.com
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post #1 of 2 (permalink) Old 07-03-2017, 04:56 AM Thread Starter
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Arrow Wimbledon 2017:

I am betting 500 euros each on Mertens and Bedene.

WTA: Mertens ml (3.00) vs Venus Williams
ATP: Bedene ml(2.80) vs Karlovic
Its the opening day of wimbledon tennis and there are to value picks to take advantage. In WTA Mertens, even though much weaker than Williams, has a very good opportunity to capitalize as an underdog. Venus Williams has lot going on off court the past few weeks. She was found fault in the traffic accident that killed a man near her home (google it for details) 3 weeks ago and now the family just announced that they are suing Williams for wrongful death. Williams stated yesterday that she is devasted and heart broken and considering that she already suffers from panic attacks and anxiety disorders, it will be very tough for her to give focused full effort today. Its unclear if she had much practice and this pick is simply a fade of Venus. Mertens is much weaker on grass but these odds are definite value considering the situation. If Merten wins, there is a good chance that she would do it in straight sets, so if you are adventurous you can back Mertens -1.5 sets at odds around 6.00. Keep in mind the Venus is the superior player, especially on grass and she can easily put away Mertens if Venus is able to shield off the distraction and bring her A game.

In the second match we will bet against old man Karlovic who's only weapon is his big serve. When his serve is not on he can be easily beaten. Bedene is 3-0 against Karlovic (none on grass) and is currently on the rise and will have a big advantage with the home crowd's support. Bedene only played 3 games on grass this season but got better with each game. Karlovic history in Wimbledon is pretty weak where he never went past 2nd round. He started this grass season pretty decent by making the finals in the first small tournament but followed it up with two in and outs in the next 2 tournaments with the latest loss coming against Youhzny. Things will be lot tougher for him here since this is best of out 5 grandslam event against a young player with home crowd behind him. Current odds on Bedene are well worth the try since this is a 50-50 match.

Source: copied and pasted from facebook.com/bettingresource
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post #2 of 2 (permalink) Old 07-05-2017, 03:39 PM Thread Starter
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Re: Wimbledon 2017:

they posted two more great dogs below is copy paste...

Haddad Maia +1.5 sets (2.95) vs Halep
Abanda +1.5 sets (2.88) vs Ostapenko
All we need today to make profit is any one of our player to grab at least 1 set. In the first match up we have young Brazilian Haddad Maia who is an attacking player that has improved a lot since last year. Her aggressive style of play is suited for the grass and this match up for can cause trouble to Halep who is known to cave to attacking players. Halep is a defensive player and won't have much time to chase down the ball consistently on the grass like she does on clay and if Haddad Maia can attack consistently for even a period of few games, she has the ability to take a set or even win the game. Haleps is definitely the favorite here but the odds are grossly over valued because of the two names and the current 6.70 odds on Haddad Maia definitely has value.
In the second matchup we will somewhat go against one of the players who have been very good to us so far this year, Ostapenko who we backed often this year as a value dog and cashed. Suddenly now she is a big favorite after winning the slam in France. Her aggressive tennis suits well for the grass but her serve is very weak and she does not control the timing of the shots as well as other surfaces. Ostapenko is flying high now coming off a great clay season, winning the French Open and because of that the odds are insanely over overvalued. Ostapenko shouldn't be this big of a favorite to anyone until she improves her serve and becomes more consistent on her service games. Abanda is very young like Ostapenko but she hasn't achieved anything yet but has similar potential if she fully develops her game. Abanda is coming into this tournament with a good feel for the wimbledon grass through 3 good qualifying matches and her play against Nara was impressive. Nara actually played well in that game but Abanda played efficient, balanced game with good service and attacking. Abanda's service is currently above Ostapenko and Abanda is also an attacking player. Things can get interesting if she can stay focused and a set can be gifted by Ostapenko's service games. Abanda to win at the current odds at 6.90 also holds value.
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