"Whip it out" Wednesday 14 - MensTennisForums.com

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post #1 of 29 (permalink) Old 06-13-2006, 06:28 PM Thread Starter
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"Whip it out" Wednesday 14

now taking winners
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post #2 of 29 (permalink) Old 06-13-2006, 07:10 PM Thread Starter
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Re: "Whip it out" Wednesday 14

Fish -113 (think the line says it all)
Safin -158 (time to wake up)
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post #3 of 29 (permalink) Old 06-13-2006, 07:56 PM
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Re: "Whip it out" Wednesday 14

I reckon most of the favourites will win at Queen's Club.

But with the dogs, maybe Lu can beat Verdasco and I think Nadal will beat Fish.
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post #4 of 29 (permalink) Old 06-13-2006, 10:23 PM
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Re: "Whip it out" Wednesday 14

Will not be able to bet until either Murray and Pironkova, or Moodie makes me some cash. But if I have a chance to, I will bet on Rochus, Vliegen, (Pavel in just the one or two bets), (Tursunov in just a few), Henman, Ljubicic, Mahut, Tu, Jackson, and Arvidsson.
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post #5 of 29 (permalink) Old 06-13-2006, 10:59 PM
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Re: "Whip it out" Wednesday 14

Nadal can`t beat Fish in his first match on grass in a year. Mardy won Surbiton last week, and his game if much more suited for grass then Rafael`s. 1.83$ is a gift, 1.45$ on Mardy would be realistic.

I like: Mario Ancic, David Nalbandian, Nicolas Kiefer, James Blake, Marcos Baghdatis, Jose Acasuso, Novak Đokovic, Marin Cilic
I dislike: Ivan Ljubicic, Rafael Nadal, Nikolay Davydenko, Rainer Schuttler, Ivo Karlovic, Andy Murray, Gaston Gaudio
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post #6 of 29 (permalink) Old 06-14-2006, 01:44 AM
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Re: "Whip it out" Wednesday 14

Some decent value out there for Wednesday.

The first obvious bet is Mardy Fish at 1.83. As undertaker said it should be more like 1.4ish. Fish is just coming off a good win in the Surbiton Challenger without dropping a set playing guys who arent too bad on grass such as Moodie and Guccione. Beat the big serving leftie Guccione which I feel bodes well for his match up with Nadal. Nadal is just coming off a shattering clay court season and although he would love to do well here it just doesnt seem possible against a player on form. Fish also has a 7-3 record vs Lefties in his last 10 which is a good sign. At 1.83 this is a good bet.

I feel that Bobby Reynolds over Gael Monfils @ 3.1 is a sensible bet. Monfils apparently looked solid against Melzer but as everyone seems to know, he can lose it at any instant. Against Murray and Norman in the French he was absolutely appalling but just against poor opponents. He is still young and very volatile. I think Reynolds has had a good run into Queens and may be able to grind out a victory here.
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post #7 of 29 (permalink) Old 06-14-2006, 01:53 AM
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Re: "Whip it out" Wednesday 14

Agree with Rich and Undertaker - Fish looks decent at the price offered. Not sure whether I'll take it though as I don't entirely believe he will win to be honest. Will decide in the morning.

Just to add to another good point from Rich...Monfils looked impressive against Melzer, but he also slipped so many times on the grass...at times it seemed like he slipped virtually every game. He might be a little sore going into his next match and is certainly not confident with his movement so I expect him to lose in the next couple of rounds. Never seen Reynolds play...but if he possesses a decent power game / serve-volley style then he is worth taking. Anything less would be fanciful.
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post #8 of 29 (permalink) Old 06-14-2006, 02:00 AM
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Re: "Whip it out" Wednesday 14

I have the following parlay lined up and will probably hit it in the morning...

Haas x Srichaphan x Tursunov @ 1.88


Also considering a few others:

Nieminen over Mayer @ 1.66 - I really want to POUND this But something just doesn't seem quite right about it. I have no idea why Mayer struggled so much with Phau...Nieminen won by an impressive scoreline in what was on paper a difficult match. Mayer is struggling like hell these days and Jarrko is a reasonable player on grass...seems a no-brainer to me. What am I missing? Feedback appreciated.

Bjorkman over Wang @ 1.57 - I think if Bjorkman executes his game well he should do the business...but I'm a little sceptical after his winning run in RG doubles
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post #9 of 29 (permalink) Old 06-14-2006, 02:01 AM
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Re: "Whip it out" Wednesday 14

1 bet also impending:

Safin x Murray @ 1.60 - 5% stake

Murray seems to be doing his best to lose a hugely winnable match
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post #10 of 29 (permalink) Old 06-14-2006, 02:39 AM
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Re: "Whip it out" Wednesday 14

WTD: 0-8 -8.00 units

Halle:

Mayer +132 o Nieminen (1)
Pavel +191 o Soderling (1)

Queen's:

Lee +120 o Verdasco (1)
Dupuis +235 o Gonzalez (1)
Reynolds +204 o Monfils (1)
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post #11 of 29 (permalink) Old 06-14-2006, 05:55 AM Thread Starter
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Re: "Whip it out" Wednesday 14

Rain Rain Rain Rain in the forecast
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post #12 of 29 (permalink) Old 06-14-2006, 07:07 AM
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Re: "Whip it out" Wednesday 14

Jarkko @1.60 easily
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post #13 of 29 (permalink) Old 06-14-2006, 08:12 AM
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Re: "Whip it out" Wednesday 14

I would love to bet againts Monfils, but Reynolds is plain awful.

I like: Mario Ancic, David Nalbandian, Nicolas Kiefer, James Blake, Marcos Baghdatis, Jose Acasuso, Novak Đokovic, Marin Cilic
I dislike: Ivan Ljubicic, Rafael Nadal, Nikolay Davydenko, Rainer Schuttler, Ivo Karlovic, Andy Murray, Gaston Gaudio
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post #14 of 29 (permalink) Old 06-14-2006, 11:06 AM
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Re: "Whip it out" Wednesday 14

Sricha and Vliegen in a double for $100

single on Kristof at 1.424 for $350

and HT Lee at 2.32 for $150

275 on para @ 1.417

adding Fishyyy at 1.704 for $225

Last edited by betowiec; 06-14-2006 at 02:01 PM.
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post #15 of 29 (permalink) Old 06-14-2006, 11:26 AM
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Re: "Whip it out" Wednesday 14

Dupuis over Gonzalez @ 3.10
Sabau over Ljubicic @ 6
This one are worth a shot i think. I know Sabau's horrible record this year but he has been playing some matches on grass while Ljubo should be a little tired coming of a RG SF. Dupuis looked good in first round against Rusedski. Big serve, good game.

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