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post #1 of 51 (permalink) Old 06-01-2006, 03:33 PM Thread Starter
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Fantastic Friday

3rd Round action begins on Friday..

Many obvious winners .. gaudio vs ferrero should be a cracker


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post #2 of 51 (permalink) Old 06-01-2006, 03:36 PM
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Re: Fantastic Friday

£20 to make £215

T Berdych V N Kiefer T Berdych to Win @ 1.33 Open
M Ancic V A Montanes M Ancic to Win @ 1.36 Open
J Vakulenko V P Schnyder P Schnyder to Win @ 1.16 Open
K Srebotnik V D Safina D Safina to Win @ 1.14 Open
Venus Williams V K Sprem K Sprem to Win @ 4.50 Open

No more bets with Sprem for me.

Early thoughts, may bet big on Ancic/Safina/Schnyder/Berdych
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post #3 of 51 (permalink) Old 06-01-2006, 07:35 PM
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Re: Fantastic Friday

Leans on Ferrero, Berdych and Davydenko..

Not decided which play(s) i am gonna make...

..
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post #4 of 51 (permalink) Old 06-01-2006, 07:52 PM
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Re: Fantastic Friday

£70 to make £250

T Berdych V N Kiefer T Berdych to Win @ 1.33 Open
M Ancic V A Montanes M Ancic to Win @ 1.36 Open
M Vassallo Arguello V R Sluiter M Vassalo Arguello to Win @ 1.66 Open
J Vakulenko V P Schnyder P Schnyder to Win @ 1.16 Open
K Srebotnik V D Safina D Safina to Win @ 1.14 Open
N Li V S Kuznetsova S Kuznetsova to Win @ 1.22 Open

Sluiter is going to have play well to beat M VA.

Rest of my bets will include 4/5 of the above.
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post #5 of 51 (permalink) Old 06-01-2006, 07:58 PM
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Re: Fantastic Friday

Last bet: £200 to make £600

M Vassallo Arguello V R Sluiter M Vassalo Arguello to Win @ 1.66 Open
J Vakulenko V P Schnyder P Schnyder to Win @ 1.16 Open
K Srebotnik V D Safina D Safina to Win @ 1.14 Open
M Ancic V A Montanes M Ancic to Win @ 1.36 Open
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post #6 of 51 (permalink) Old 06-01-2006, 08:10 PM
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Re: Fantastic Friday

I think Ferrero over Gaudio is a great bet. Good odds of 2.14 at Betfair.

Gaudio is very unconvincing and on poor form. Ferrero seems to be able to cope with him according to previous meetings.

Medium stake for me.
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post #7 of 51 (permalink) Old 06-01-2006, 08:16 PM
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Re: Fantastic Friday

I can see Gaudio coming into form in this one. Won't be betting on it though.
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post #8 of 51 (permalink) Old 06-01-2006, 10:22 PM
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Re: Fantastic Friday

Davydenko vs Moya

H2H is 4-1 in Moya's favoure. On paper it looks good for Moya - 2 easy wins against Marin and Youzhny, both in straight sets, but the reality is different. Moya plays bad, in last match against Youzhny he was playing very bad, but it was Youzhny who looked even worser, the only component which is good in Moya's game is his serve and nothing else. While Davydenko is showing great tennis, he has won 7 straight matches, his in perfect condicion, I don't see any problems for Davydenko to win this one, the maximum Moya can do here is to win a set, I will not touch the handicap, as Davydenko isn't the one who always wins big.Also Davydenko beated Moya just 1 month ago in Estoril, when he wasn't in his best condition, now he's in his best.

Pick: Davydenko
Stake:8/10
Odds:1.48
Bookmaker:Pinnaclesports


Robredo vs Dlouhy

I really don't know what happened with Acasuso in last match, but I know that something was wrong there, as Dlouhy won in 4 sets, till the middle of 2nd set Acasuso was dominating.Robredo should win this one in straight sets, despite that he struggled a little bit against unknowed Bozaljic, mostly it was because Bozaljic 1st serve was quite fast(about 215km/h). Dlouhy don't have that kind of weapon, and in rally's I don't see any chance for him to beat Robredo, who's in my opinion is in his best form ever.

Pick:Robredo to win 3-0
Stake:7/10
Odds:1.50
Bookmaker:Bet at home


M. V. Arguello vs R. Sluiter

I feel like I have missed something here, as Arguello is setted as favourite against Sluiter. The thirst thing here is that what I saw from Arguello today wasn't something huge, he was running like mad and as Grosjean is far from his optimal form, he won a lot of points from that Grosjean was forced to make that one extra shot, and he wasn't ready for that. Second thing is that I doubt that this guy has ever played 5 setter, well today he did, and I think that after such long match he is excausted, as he's only challanger player, and here I see big advantage for Sluiter as he had 2 very easy first round maches, he has wasted minimum energy and he rested today. 3 thing is that Sluiter has played in many grand slams, while for Arguello this is the first time his in main draw, so the experience is in Sluiter side. And the last thing is that Sluiter isn't that bad at all, even if Nieminen wasn't 100% healthy he knowed that, but still played, also in 2nd round he beated easily Lapentti, maybe Lapentti wasn't in good form, but still an easy win, if he wouldn't be in good form I'm sure that it would be much harder match for him, so 2.40 on Sluiter is value+ good bet in my opinion.

Pick:Sluiter
Stake:5/10
Odds:2.40
Bookmaker:Pinnaclesports


Schiavone vs Pennetta

H2H is 2-0 in Schiavone's favoure. Actually not so many arguments about this one. Schiavone on clay in my opinion is better player,Penneta is good opponent for her as Penneta isn't player who plays a lot of winners, it's the same as Schiavone plays, and in this kind of match I see Schiavone as a winner, H2H only prooves my thougts, despite that both matches were played on hard, on clay it should be the same. Simply Schiavone's class is higher than Pennetta's.

Pick:Schiavone
Stake:6/10
Odds:1.50
Bookmaker:Fonbet
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post #9 of 51 (permalink) Old 06-01-2006, 10:27 PM
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Re: Fantastic Friday

Nice analysis rediss. Any view on Gaudio-Ferrero?
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post #10 of 51 (permalink) Old 06-01-2006, 11:00 PM
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Re: Fantastic Friday

No, but I like Ferrero more, simply because I think that everything is ok with his head, what I can't say about Gaudio.

Last edited by rediss77; 06-01-2006 at 11:20 PM.
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post #11 of 51 (permalink) Old 06-01-2006, 11:16 PM
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Re: Fantastic Friday

Gaudio for me. Ferrero is having problems with his recuperation from match to match. He always starts the tournaments very well, but then when the big matches happen, he always lacks energy...

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post #12 of 51 (permalink) Old 06-01-2006, 11:49 PM
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Re: Fantastic Friday

welcome to MTF rediss
post #13 of 51 (permalink) Old 06-02-2006, 12:21 AM
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Re: Fantastic Friday

Quote:
Originally Posted by rediss77
Davydenko vs Moya

H2H is 4-1 in Moya's favoure. On paper it looks good for Moya - 2 easy wins against Marin and Youzhny, both in straight sets, but the reality is different. Moya plays bad, in last match against Youzhny he was playing very bad, but it was Youzhny who looked even worser, the only component which is good in Moya's game is his serve and nothing else. While Davydenko is showing great tennis, he has won 7 straight matches, his in perfect condicion, I don't see any problems for Davydenko to win this one, the maximum Moya can do here is to win a set, I will not touch the handicap, as Davydenko isn't the one who always wins big.Also Davydenko beated Moya just 1 month ago in Estoril, when he wasn't in his best condition, now he's in his best.
Were you watching the same Moya match I was on Wednesday??
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post #14 of 51 (permalink) Old 06-02-2006, 12:31 AM
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Re: Fantastic Friday

rooney you have a running bet from yesterday 20 to win 1000 right?
just waiting groenfeld to lose, did u make a cover for that bet?
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post #15 of 51 (permalink) Old 06-02-2006, 12:46 AM
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Re: Fantastic Friday

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Flamboyant
Were you watching the same Moya match I was on Wednesday??
Strange question
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