Some very interesting match-ups but the odds provided for some of the matche are fairly poor though.
Karlovic over Melzer
- if Ivo's energy is good enough, he should win. Melzer holds a 2/0 h2h lead but their last meeting was a couple of years ago and Ivo was new on the ATP scene then. Melzer notoriously struggles with serve-volleyers and has even lost to Rusedski and Fish on clay
Not sure of odds...would have to be over 1.70 for Ivo for me to consider backing him so it is unlikely I will be.
Nieminen over Vik @ 1.22
- little explanation necessary...no chance of an upset unless Jarkko fancies making it early to Rome - he is not the sort of player I'd expect to do that.
Portas over Gimelstob @ 1.40
- Gimel was lucky (and did well) to come back twice this week...should be one too many and he plays a fairly decent opponent. That said, the pair played doubles this week (and lost R1) so maybe we could see a repeat of the Rochus/Muller type match?
Davydenko over Muller @ 1.30
- rather generous odds and I have no idea why. Again, as with Nieminen, Davydenko won't lose this match unless he wants an early ticket to Rome...as he impressed against Safin, I think it is unlikely he'd want to tank...and he has a good chance of winning his first title in ages - surely that is worth staying for?
If I play anything, I would play Portas x Nieminen @ 1.71
...seems the safer option out of all the matches.
If I don't decide to play that will be 3rd day in succession that I take a back seat...can't do that!