Fearsome Friday! - MensTennisForums.com
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post #1 of 49 (permalink) Old 04-27-2006, 05:33 PM Thread Starter
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Fearsome Friday!



Barcelona QF match-ups as they come in:


Almagro v Ferrero

Wawrinka v Karlovic


Casablanca QF match-ups as they come in:

Massu v Mahut
Phau v Vanek
Simon v Rochus C
Bracciali v Horna
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post #2 of 49 (permalink) Old 04-27-2006, 05:34 PM Thread Starter
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Re: Fearsome Friday!

Not that struck on the card really:

Would go for Almagro over Ferrero - but revenge rule
Karlovic over Wawrinka?

I'd think Vanek would take out Phau but check out their h2h record
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post #3 of 49 (permalink) Old 04-27-2006, 07:20 PM
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Re: Fearsome Friday!

There should be a tennis prop "Will Ivo Karlovic be broken?"
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post #4 of 49 (permalink) Old 04-27-2006, 08:43 PM
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Re: Fearsome Friday!

no revenge here.... Almagro to continue his hot run @ 1.78

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post #5 of 49 (permalink) Old 04-27-2006, 08:54 PM
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Re: Fearsome Friday!

Ferrero almost got eliminated by Albert Costa today...

And Almagro just destroyed one of the best clay courters in the world (even with his serve problems, Coria is still very dangerous).

Almagro all the way and I may put a small wage on Almagro over Nadal, if this match happens.

PORTUGUESE ARMADA!!!


*JOÃO SOUSA* *GASTÃO ELIAS* *FREDERICO GIL* *PEDRO SOUSA* *RUI MACHADO*

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post #6 of 49 (permalink) Old 04-27-2006, 08:59 PM
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Re: Fearsome Friday!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sylvester
Ferrero almost got eliminated by Albert Costa today...

And Almagro just detroyed one of the best clay courters in the world (even with his serve problems, Coria is still very dangerous).

Almagro all the way and I may put a small wage on Almagro over Nadal, if this match happens.
I think if Coria had his old serve Almagro would still have won today. Coria had only 2 BPs in the match and couldn't break serve. Of course tough to say something like that, maybe Coria was down about losing so many games on his serve he couldn't focus on his return game.

Either way, very impressed with Nico but probably won't play him against Ferrero unless odds are too juicy.

No guts, no glory!
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post #7 of 49 (permalink) Old 04-27-2006, 09:00 PM
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Re: Fearsome Friday!

Nadal vs Almagro will be a great match...

PORTUGUESE ARMADA!!!


*JOÃO SOUSA* *GASTÃO ELIAS* *FREDERICO GIL* *PEDRO SOUSA* *RUI MACHADO*
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post #8 of 49 (permalink) Old 04-27-2006, 09:28 PM
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Re: Fearsome Friday!

Taken Vanek x Massu for the moment.

Fancy Wawrinka over Karlovic depending on odds.
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post #9 of 49 (permalink) Old 04-27-2006, 10:37 PM Thread Starter
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Re: Fearsome Friday!

From what i've been hearing, the noise in the Casablanca grounds has been adversely affecting some of the players - so I shall stay away from backing Vanek. Besides, it possible that Phau might win the match....check their h2h.

I am prepared to break my own rule - revenge rule. Almagro is hot right now - any player on the up often wins matches they wouldn't normally win purely because of high confidence. JCF has struggled this tourney and struggles these days with players similar to Almagro's style...I think I'll back Nico again - with a high stake if the odds are right.
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post #10 of 49 (permalink) Old 04-27-2006, 11:20 PM
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Re: Fearsome Friday!

noise in casablanca grounds?? what's kind of noise?
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post #11 of 49 (permalink) Old 04-28-2006, 12:12 AM Thread Starter
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Re: Fearsome Friday!

http://www.atptennis.com/en/blog/melzer.asp

Not the only player to complain either.
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post #12 of 49 (permalink) Old 04-28-2006, 12:14 AM
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Re: Fearsome Friday!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jez
From what i've been hearing, the noise in the Casablanca grounds has been adversely affecting some of the players - so I shall stay away from backing Vanek. Besides, it possible that Phau might win the match....check their h2h.

I am prepared to break my own rule - revenge rule. Almagro is hot right now - any player on the up often wins matches they wouldn't normally win purely because of high confidence. JCF has struggled this tourney and struggles these days with players similar to Almagro's style...I think I'll back Nico again - with a high stake if the odds are right.
Jez we got the same rules and "revenge" is one of them. I don't have the stats for that, but I've been following tennis since some 10-15 years and all the results closely since about two years and I can say that when two players meet twice in - let's say - two weeks span, in ca. 70% of cases the score will be 1-1

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post #13 of 49 (permalink) Old 04-28-2006, 12:17 AM
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Re: Fearsome Friday!

Try to guess what happens tomorrow, 70% or 30%. I'm tempted to go for that 30%, which is a solid mathematical mistake (1.8-2.0 makes something like 60%-40%), so the revenge rule says that I got 30% chances of winning, while odds suggest that I have 60% chances. Maybe I'll bet against myself and againt the maths, who knows...

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post #14 of 49 (permalink) Old 04-28-2006, 12:18 AM Thread Starter
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Re: Fearsome Friday!

Yeah I agree with that George

My reasoning for this situation being different - Almagro is on fire and showing no signs of letting up...so easy this week. JCF has struggled hugely the last couple of rounds against opposition he shouldn't have been struggling against...he struggles against players that player similar to Almagro...he is not the same player he was from a couple of years back...

Tough call but I've missed enough chances the last couple of days and I believe that Almagro wins once more before tasting defeat.
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post #15 of 49 (permalink) Old 04-28-2006, 12:24 AM
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Re: Fearsome Friday!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jez
Yeah I agree with that George

My reasoning for this situation being different - Almagro is on fire and showing no signs of letting up...so easy this week. JCF has struggled hugely the last couple of rounds against opposition he shouldn't have been struggling against...he struggles against players that player similar to Almagro...he is not the same player he was from a couple of years back...

Tough call but I've missed enough chances the last couple of days and I believe that Almagro wins once more before tasting defeat.
That's why I'm leaning more towards Almagro. But the faster the red-hot train gets, the easier it takes for it to crash. Damn, I always kick myself for being too cautious.

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