Jarkko Niemenen (-128) vs Paradorn Srichaphan
The bets are pouring in for the Thai, but that is just lowering the odds for Jarkko and I'm sticking with him. The 3 set win over Nalbandian was impressive, but his serve should be on the WTA, it is that bad. Jarkko easily beat Safin in straight sets. The two met twice last year both on hard courts, and Jarkko prevailed both times. The first was a comfortable straight setter at the AO, the other was a three setter. Jarkko is 10-1 in his last 11 on hard, and I definitely give him the edge in this match.
Only decent one today is Nieminen over Srichaphan - positive h2h record, Thai only 50/50 vs lefthanders, Nieminen's stunning form on hardcourts...looks nice. Not sure I'm confident enough to play though.
Andreev over Blake? Igor pretty solid yesterday despite being unspectacular apparently. Blake is hit and miss so Igor could benefit from that. Also narrowly lost last meeting.
My thoughts are that baghdatis plays very well with big servers ! Nadal is the best player in ATP circuit from the base-line and I think he will win most runs. We also can see how baghdatis played with gaudio...first set really tight, but then gaston showed that he is in fact shit on hard! Nadal is better on hc from tournament to tournament. I don't think that Marcos has a chance! My main play will be Nieminen!