Sensational Saturday - MensTennisForums.com
Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools
post #1 of 195 (permalink) Old 01-20-2006, 08:03 AM Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Bolar Bolabi's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Golovin's Pu$$y
Age: 32
Posts: 14,638
                     
Sensational Saturday

Parlay

Haas X Chela X Stosur @ $2.37
Bolar Bolabi is offline  
Sponsored Links
Advertisement
 
post #2 of 195 (permalink) Old 01-20-2006, 08:04 AM Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Bolar Bolabi's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Golovin's Pu$$y
Age: 32
Posts: 14,638
                     
Re: Sensational Saturday

Also:

Kiefer over Ferrero @ $1.90

I can see Ferrero's Aussie Campaign ending tomorrow.
Bolar Bolabi is offline  
post #3 of 195 (permalink) Old 01-20-2006, 08:48 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 2,696
                     
Re: Sensational Saturday

Of all the matchupss I think Haas and Fedex are the only sure bet.

Learning towards Grosjean beating up double faulter coria and Healey upsetting Davydenko? Also like PHM over Horna for smaller wages.. I'll wait till all your analysis first

Definitely put Haas in some kind of combo
TwistyServe is offline  
post #4 of 195 (permalink) Old 01-20-2006, 09:04 AM Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Bolar Bolabi's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Golovin's Pu$$y
Age: 32
Posts: 14,638
                     
Re: Sensational Saturday

I can see Healey upsetting Davydenko but it will more than likely be a 4 setter with Davydenko winning. Hopefully that's not the case. Some value in Healey at $7.


Stosur X Hingis X Haas X Vaidisova @ $2.29 is also a goer.

All should win!
Bolar Bolabi is offline  
post #5 of 195 (permalink) Old 01-20-2006, 09:59 AM
bad gambler
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Re: Sensational Saturday

Not sure if I'm going to have time tomorrow so will share my thoughts now.

Recap on Friday, swept the board pending the small play on Lopez. Ferrer cashed easily, magician nearly made a meal of it and Vesnina outlasted her opponent. Nailed the sucker bet as well, fading Nieminen and got on big on bandy, rule number 1 in a GS is never back against class. Will be treating my bookie as an ATM tomorrow and buy my wife something nice.......

Anyway here we go for Saturday, all odds from pinny....

Coria to beat Grosjean - $2.55

An interesting matchup of two players with similar styles, both retreivers of the ball and both use their incredible foot speed to outlast their opponents, two of the best in the business. Coria has been flying under the radar both in the leadup and during the Open so far, he was brilliant at Kooyong and started off this GS rather shakily especially with his suspect serve tossing in a ridiculous 17 DF's against Hanescu and another 8 against Luzzi. However one thing I have been impressed with has been is first serve % which has been hovering around the mid 70% mark, a dramatic improvement to what he was serving at the back end of last year where he was serving a paultry 50% odd and accordingly struggled. The surface this year is pretty placid as well, slower than your usual rebound ace surface which suits his game. My only concern with this bet is Seba's ruthless efficicency in converting bp chances, that has always been a hallmark of his in his career. Given the long rallies that is going to occur during the match, coupled with the heat I see this one going the distance and if it does I'm liking my chances on one of the fittest players on tour.

Andreev to beat Hrbaty - $1.96

Hrbaty has been in dire form thus far this year, and his B2b 5 setters against some lowly opponents is not really great form coming into a match against a red hot andreev. I know hrbaty is an ironman, but consecutive 5 setters will test the limits of anyone. Andreev has the weapons to hurt the Dominator especially in the form of his FH and that should be enough for him to progress.

Kiefer to beat Ferrero - $2.04

Ferrero falls into the category of an "also ran" IMO, he has never been the same since his injuries sustained early 2004 and has not made much of impression in GS's as a result. He struggled to put away Tipsy last round, and in a way scraped through that due to his opponent's lack of experience if anything else. Kiefer's lead up form has been solid, bit lucky saving mp's against srichaphan in the 3rd set of that match before completely dominating the final 2 sets. His ankle I read seems to be ok, and provided his ankle does hold up, should drill the mosquito in 4 sets.


good luck

Last edited by bad gambler; 01-20-2006 at 10:05 AM.
post #6 of 195 (permalink) Old 01-20-2006, 10:19 AM Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Bolar Bolabi's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Golovin's Pu$$y
Age: 32
Posts: 14,638
                     
Re: Sensational Saturday

Glad I'm not the only one on the German.

A Haas X Kiefer parlay has always won for me in the past and I can get it @ $2.18 so I'm going to play it too. I know it's dangerous having one player in 3 parlays, but there is no way Haas will lose to Luczak with the form Haas has been in.

You could be right there about Coria, BG - It will be a 5 setter I think so I will lay off because I don't want to bet on a match that will come down to the wire.

I agree with the Andreev call.

Good luck BG.

Is anyone with me on Chela @ $1.55?
Bolar Bolabi is offline  
post #7 of 195 (permalink) Old 01-20-2006, 11:05 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 1,065
                     
Re: Sensational Saturday

Quote:
Originally Posted by bad gambler
Not sure if I'm going to have time tomorrow so will share my thoughts now.

Recap on Friday, swept the board pending the small play on Lopez. Ferrer cashed easily, magician nearly made a meal of it and Vesnina outlasted her opponent. Nailed the sucker bet as well, fading Nieminen and got on big on bandy, rule number 1 in a GS is never back against class. Will be treating my bookie as an ATM tomorrow and buy my wife something nice.......

Anyway here we go for Saturday, all odds from pinny....

Coria to beat Grosjean - $2.55

An interesting matchup of two players with similar styles, both retreivers of the ball and both use their incredible foot speed to outlast their opponents, two of the best in the business. Coria has been flying under the radar both in the leadup and during the Open so far, he was brilliant at Kooyong and started off this GS rather shakily especially with his suspect serve tossing in a ridiculous 17 DF's against Hanescu and another 8 against Luzzi. However one thing I have been impressed with has been is first serve % which has been hovering around the mid 70% mark, a dramatic improvement to what he was serving at the back end of last year where he was serving a paultry 50% odd and accordingly struggled. The surface this year is pretty placid as well, slower than your usual rebound ace surface which suits his game. My only concern with this bet is Seba's ruthless efficicency in converting bp chances, that has always been a hallmark of his in his career. Given the long rallies that is going to occur during the match, coupled with the heat I see this one going the distance and if it does I'm liking my chances on one of the fittest players on tour.

Andreev to beat Hrbaty - $1.96

Hrbaty has been in dire form thus far this year, and his B2b 5 setters against some lowly opponents is not really great form coming into a match against a red hot andreev. I know hrbaty is an ironman, but consecutive 5 setters will test the limits of anyone. Andreev has the weapons to hurt the Dominator especially in the form of his FH and that should be enough for him to progress.

Kiefer to beat Ferrero - $2.04

Ferrero falls into the category of an "also ran" IMO, he has never been the same since his injuries sustained early 2004 and has not made much of impression in GS's as a result. He struggled to put away Tipsy last round, and in a way scraped through that due to his opponent's lack of experience if anything else. Kiefer's lead up form has been solid, bit lucky saving mp's against srichaphan in the 3rd set of that match before completely dominating the final 2 sets. His ankle I read seems to be ok, and provided his ankle does hold up, should drill the mosquito in 4 sets.


good luck

BG with Coria having an average 1st serve speed of 138 kph vs Hanescu, and 144 against Luzzi I'd be worried that a quality player like Grosjean will have a field day breaking his serve?
The Gucci one is offline  
post #8 of 195 (permalink) Old 01-20-2006, 11:41 AM
-LIFETIME MEMBER-
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 24,604
                     
Re: Sensational Saturday

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Gucci one
BG with Coria having an average 1st serve speed of 138 kph vs Hanescu, and 144 against Luzzi I'd be worried that a quality player like Grosjean will have a field day breaking his serve?
I agree there mate...but I'm concerned that Seb can't break Coria down in the rallies. No bet for me I think
Horatio Caine is offline  
post #9 of 195 (permalink) Old 01-20-2006, 12:43 PM Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Bolar Bolabi's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Golovin's Pu$$y
Age: 32
Posts: 14,638
                     
Re: Sensational Saturday

Missa K over Mauresmo @ $3.35
Bolar Bolabi is offline  
post #10 of 195 (permalink) Old 01-20-2006, 12:48 PM
bad gambler
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Re: Sensational Saturday

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Gucci one
BG with Coria having an average 1st serve speed of 138 kph vs Hanescu, and 144 against Luzzi I'd be worried that a quality player like Grosjean will have a field day breaking his serve?

Look at who remains in the draw, guys like ferrer and nalbandian do not possess a big serve, too much is made of the serve on this particular surface IMO

Ok those numbers are really low, but i don't see grosjean having enough quality returns to put coria on the backfoot immediately in the rally, if that happens no way seba outrallies weasel in general play.
post #11 of 195 (permalink) Old 01-20-2006, 01:08 PM
country flag JMG
Registered User
 
JMG's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 24,516
                     
Re: Sensational Saturday

Kiefer said that his ankle doesn't feel better and that he still has to take pain killers. I didn't like how he moved against Srichaphan. You could see that he is not at 100%. Kiefer will be in trouble against Ferrero imo, so I won't bet on this.
JMG is offline  
post #12 of 195 (permalink) Old 01-20-2006, 01:09 PM Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Bolar Bolabi's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Golovin's Pu$$y
Age: 32
Posts: 14,638
                     
Re: Sensational Saturday

I'm liking BG's reasoning and his last post sums it up - but for me it's a no play. Grosjean has looked very decent so far.
Bolar Bolabi is offline  
post #13 of 195 (permalink) Old 01-20-2006, 01:10 PM
Senior Member
 
shotgun's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 12,570
                     
Re: Sensational Saturday

Andreev over Hrbaty @ 1.81
Kiefer over Ferrero @ 2.05

Also going small on Vliegen to beat Chela @ 2.52 - Vliegen is a highly underrated player IMO and Chela, well, he played the match of his life against Hewitt and is not that reliable. There will be high expectations over him tomorrow and he may not be able to handle them well.

I will stay away at any costs from the match between Horna and Mathieu. Two completely unpredictable players and betting on this match would be like playing Russian roulette.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jaap View Post
The tennis equivalent of two old bald men fighting over a comb.
shotgun is offline  
post #14 of 195 (permalink) Old 01-20-2006, 01:11 PM
bad gambler
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Re: Sensational Saturday

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi
I'm liking BG's reasoning and his last post sums it up - but for me it's a no play. Grosjean has looked very decent so far.

great, now i may as well rip up my betting slips
post #15 of 195 (permalink) Old 01-20-2006, 01:16 PM Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Bolar Bolabi's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Golovin's Pu$$y
Age: 32
Posts: 14,638
                     
Re: Sensational Saturday

Quote:
Originally Posted by bad gambler
great, now i may as well rip up my betting slips
How so?

I'm not playing it which means your bet is quite safe.

Put it this way. If i play it, it's Grosjean.
Bolar Bolabi is offline  
Reply

Quick Reply
Message:
Options

Register Now



In order to be able to post messages on the MensTennisForums.com forums, you must first register.
Please enter your desired user name, your email address and other required details in the form below.

User Name:
Password
Please enter a password for your user account. Note that passwords are case-sensitive.

Password:


Confirm Password:
Email Address
Please enter a valid email address for yourself.

Email Address:
OR

Log-in









Human Verification

In order to verify that you are a human and not a spam bot, please enter the answer into the following box below based on the instructions contained in the graphic.



Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Show Printable Version
Email this Page Email this Page



Posting Rules  
You may post new threads
You may post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On

 
For the best viewing experience please update your browser to Google Chrome