Aussies on stage Thursday - MensTennisForums.com

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post #1 of 77 (permalink) Old 01-18-2006, 11:59 AM Thread Starter
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Aussies on stage Thursday

Bogomolov, Alex 2.63 1.44 Mathieu, Paul-Henri
Federer, Roger 1.02 11.00 Mayer, Florian
Goldstein, Paul 6.00 1.10 Haas, T
Grosjean, Sebastian 1.14 5.00 Monaco, Juan
Healey, N 2.38 1.53 Delic, A
Hewitt, Lleyton 1.36 2.88 Chela, Juan Ignacio
Hrbaty, Dominik 1.10 6.00 Norman, Dick
Kiefer, Nicolas 1.10 6.00 Pashanski, Boris
Kim, Kevin 6.00 1.10 Davydenko, Nicolae
Luzzi, Federico 5.00 1.14 Coria, Guillermo
Phau, Bjorn 2.38 1.53 Horna, Luis
Rochus, Olivier 1.22 3.75 Luczak, Peter
Sanguinetti, Davide 2.25 1.57 Mirnyi, Max
Sluiter, Raemon 3.50 1.25 Andreev, Igor
Tipsarevic, Janko 4.00 1.20 Ferrero, Juan Carlos
Vliegen, K 2.10 1.67 Verdasco, Fernando

matches in bold ===> early leans!

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post #2 of 77 (permalink) Old 01-18-2006, 12:01 PM
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Re: Aussies on stage Thursday

Liking the chances of:

Haas
Grosjean
Chela
Hrbaty
Horna
Rochus
Sanguinetti
Andreev
Ferrero
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post #3 of 77 (permalink) Old 01-18-2006, 01:59 PM
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Re: Aussies on stage Thursday

2006 ATP Tennis Record: 7-2 (+$1590)


Another great night with my biggest wager of the year winning on Feli's demolishing of Muller. Let's have another good one.

---------------------------------------


Round 2: Thursday, January 19, 2006



Max Mirnyi -133 over David Sanguinetti ($665 to win $500)

I know Sanguinetti leads the lifetime meetings 2-1 but both his wins over Mirnyi were in Italy and we are now in Australia. This is the first time they eve meet on hardcourts and I definitely give the edge to Mirnyi here. He looked very rusty and very shaky in his opening match but give some credit to Ascione who gave a good effort in his loss. Max has not had much success in recent years at the Open but he has been to the 3rd Round in the past. Sanguinetti has not. Mirnyi is better suited for the hardcourts and his lifetime record shows it. If you ask me, Sanguinetti's first match against Adaktusson was not really a success because the Swede shot himself in the foot with bad play. The match lasted only three sets yet the Swede made 63 unforced errors and Sanguinetti made 39 unforced errors. Mirnyi on the other hand played a five-setter and made only 23 unforced errors while Ascione was even sharper making only 17 unforced errors. If Sanguinetti makes that many unforced errors again today, Mirnyi is going to win this in three sets easily. Sanguinetti's 1st serve % was only 57% while Mirnyi's was 74%. This goes to who how well Ascione played and how much of a lesser opponent Mirnyi is facing today in Sanguinetti. Give me a win by the beast.



Kristof Vliegen +122 over Fernando Verdasco ($100 to win $122)

This is a tough one to go with (it is anytime you side with underdogs) but I really like Vliegen to advance to his first ever 3rd Round at a Grand Slam. Vliegen is a late bloomer on the verge of making some noise on the ATP Tour. I get that vibe after he kicked off the year with ass whippings of Wang, Schuettler and Srichaphan before givigin Ljubicic a good run for his money in the sem-finals of Doha. Vliegen loves the hardcourts while Verdasco is a dirt baller at best. Vliegen's big serve is going to be his weapon in this one seeing that Verdasco allowed 7 aces to Kenneth Carlsen in Round 1. Vliegen had 17 aces in his Round 1 match with Christophe Rochus and I expect to see him dominate the long ball game. Verdaco was 2 of 15 on break point chances against Kenneth Carlsen which is something that just won't work against a guy like Vliegen. The Belge took every chance he got against Rochus and converted 6 of his 8 break point chances. Verdasco doesn't have the head on his shoulders to win a match where he will be bombarded with booming serves and I really like the underdog Vliegen to win this one.



Luis Horna -167 over Bjorn Phaun ($167 to win $100)

Very small stakes on this one guys because I don't quite trust Horna on hardcourts (even though he was awesome in late 2005 in both Washington and Cincinnati) and I am not sure what to expect. Horna is coming off a fantastic opening match where he sent the tired Gael Monfils packing early. Phau on the other hand struggled to beat qualifier Carlos Bercloq. In fact, Phau was horrendous, comitting 69 unforced errors but somhow he held on to win the match. Phau struggled badly with his serve which is not good for a match like this one. Horna doesn't do anything special but he is composed and he is very concentrated on getting his first serve in (84% in his first match) and he doesn't force shots enough to make mistakes. Believe it or not Phau is older than Horna but Horna's game is much more developped and much more controlled. If Horna loses a set in this match it will be via tie-breaker. Horna has never made it past the first round of a Grand Slam and now that he has done it, why not come out and make it to the 3rd Round. I like Horna a lot here but again I will keep it small.



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post #4 of 77 (permalink) Old 01-18-2006, 02:20 PM
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Re: Aussies on stage Thursday

Yeah I'm 100% with you on Horna man

I'd give the nod to Vliegen...but not my cash

Leaving Sangers and Mirnyi to it...I think the Italian might triumph though.
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post #5 of 77 (permalink) Old 01-18-2006, 02:24 PM
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Re: Aussies on stage Thursday

That Italian was horrible in Round 1. He got away playing against a piece of crap that made it look like he played well. If Sanguinetti plays anywhere near what he did like in Round 1, he is gone in 3 sets.
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post #6 of 77 (permalink) Old 01-18-2006, 03:12 PM
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Re: Aussies on stage Thursday

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mistaflava
That Italian was horrible in Round 1. He got away playing against a piece of crap that made it look like he played well. If Sanguinetti plays anywhere near what he did like in Round 1, he is gone in 3 sets.
Um... were you watching the same match?

I'll be backing "The Tennis God" (that is to say, Healey) and Bjorn "The Deutsch Sensation" Phau.

Happy regrets for Mirnyi backing .
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post #7 of 77 (permalink) Old 01-18-2006, 03:14 PM
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Re: Aussies on stage Thursday

Quote:
Originally Posted by NewTennisFan
Um... were you watching the same match?

I'll be backing "The Tennis God" (that is to say, Healey) and Bjorn "The Deutsch Sensation" Phau.

Happy regrets for Mirnyi backing .


when your opponent makes 63 UE's and you make 39 in a short match...that's not good news when facing a guy like the Beast. Should be good...best of luck


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post #8 of 77 (permalink) Old 01-18-2006, 03:18 PM
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Re: Aussies on stage Thursday

Quote:
Originally Posted by NewTennisFan
Um... were you watching the same match?

I'll be backing "The Tennis God" (that is to say, Healey) and Bjorn "The Deutsch Sensation" Phau.

Happy regrets for Mirnyi backing .
Any particular reason you like Phau enough for the wager?
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post #9 of 77 (permalink) Old 01-18-2006, 03:57 PM
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Re: Aussies on stage Thursday

Quote:
Originally Posted by TwistServe
Any particular reason you like Phau enough for the wager?
I echo that good question.

Phau hasn't got anything much in his game that can really hurt someone, apart from maybe consistency. If Horna is firing then he ought to win comfortably.
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post #10 of 77 (permalink) Old 01-18-2006, 04:11 PM
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Re: Aussies on stage Thursday

PHM. 'Nuff said.
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post #11 of 77 (permalink) Old 01-18-2006, 04:25 PM
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Re: Aussies on stage Thursday

Quote:
Originally Posted by adee-gee
PHM. 'Nuff said.





I'll bet on him to choke
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post #12 of 77 (permalink) Old 01-18-2006, 04:27 PM
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Re: Aussies on stage Thursday

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mistaflava



I'll bet on him to choke
You can do whatever you like son. I'll be backing him to win
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post #13 of 77 (permalink) Old 01-18-2006, 04:54 PM
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Re: Aussies on stage Thursday

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mistaflava
when your opponent makes 63 UE's and you make 39 in a short match...that's not good news when facing a guy like the Beast. Should be good...best of luck


The Beast is nuffing mate,Itallian Stallion will send him to the cleaners
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post #14 of 77 (permalink) Old 01-18-2006, 04:58 PM
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Re: Aussies on stage Thursday

Quote:
Originally Posted by coup3z
Bogomolov, Alex 2.63 1.44 Mathieu, Paul-Henri
Federer, Roger 1.02 11.00 Mayer, Florian
Goldstein, Paul 6.00 1.10 Haas, T
Grosjean, Sebastian 1.14 5.00 Monaco, Juan
Healey, N 2.38 1.53 Delic, A
Hewitt, Lleyton 1.36 2.88 Chela, Juan Ignacio
Hrbaty, Dominik 1.10 6.00 Norman, Dick
Kiefer, Nicolas 1.10 6.00 Pashanski, Boris
Kim, Kevin 6.00 1.10 Davydenko, Nicolae
Luzzi, Federico 5.00 1.14 Coria, Guillermo
Phau, Bjorn 2.38 1.53 Horna, Luis
Rochus, Olivier 1.22 3.75 Luczak, Peter
Sanguinetti, Davide 2.25 1.57 Mirnyi, Max
Sluiter, Raemon 3.50 1.25 Andreev, Igor
Tipsarevic, Janko 4.00 1.20 Ferrero, Juan Carlos
Vliegen, K 2.10 1.67 Verdasco, Fernando

matches in bold ===> early leans!

Agree on 2/3 leans except for Chela,Rusty will win comfortably IMO at worse a 4 setter
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post #15 of 77 (permalink) Old 01-18-2006, 04:59 PM
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Re: Aussies on stage Thursday

Hewitt has been in woeful form and I'd usually stay away. But the spitting thing last year means the crowd will be on Chela's back the whole match, and Hewitt will be even more pumped up than usual. I'd expect him to win.
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