Friday 1 April - Miami - MensTennisForums.com

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post #1 of 61 (permalink) Old 03-31-2005, 08:42 PM Thread Starter
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Friday 1 April - Miami

Where are you guys going to be sticking your money for Friday's play?

I'm going to pile into a Nadal win over Ferrer, but am looking for ideas to add a bit of value to that, because by itself, at 4/11, it's not too tempting.

I just saw the Fed vs Henman match, and Federer was fantastic. Henman did actually play well, despite the scoreline, but just didn't have enough to hurt Fed. The scary thing is, you feel that he's only playing at about 80%. So, I'd definitely back Federer over the winner of Agassi and Dent, but can't see there being any value in that at all.

When everybody's bookies update their lines for tomorrow's play, any tips or views would be much appreciated.

Also, if you feel comfortable with it, would you mind stating exactly how much money you're going to back a bet with, so it gives us some idea of how serious you are about it.

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post #2 of 61 (permalink) Old 03-31-2005, 08:52 PM
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Re: Friday 1 April - Miami

I'm thinking of backing Nadal to win 2-0, he's only dropped 1 set so far this tourny, that to Ljubicic and I don't see Ferrer having too many weapons to hurt him the way Rafa is playing. Federer will most probably beat Agassi/Dent but he'll be 1.2 max against Andre and 1.14 max against Dent so I'd leave it alone. I fancy Sharapova to beat either Clijsters/Mauresmo in the womens final, might put it in a double with Nadal to win 2-0. Not sure about the stake, I'll wait and see prices first.
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post #3 of 61 (permalink) Old 03-31-2005, 10:52 PM
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Re: Friday 1 April - Miami

Ferrer over Nadal 6-0 6-1































April Fools!!!!!!
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post #4 of 61 (permalink) Old 04-01-2005, 04:02 AM
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Re: Friday 1 April - Miami

Quote:
Originally Posted by adeegee
I'm thinking of backing Nadal to win 2-0, he's only dropped 1 set so far this tourny, that to Ljubicic and I don't see Ferrer having too many weapons to hurt him the way Rafa is playing. Federer will most probably beat Agassi/Dent but he'll be 1.2 max against Andre and 1.14 max against Dent so I'd leave it alone. I fancy Sharapova to beat either Clijsters/Mauresmo in the womens final, might put it in a double with Nadal to win 2-0. Not sure about the stake, I'll wait and see prices first.
i don´t see sharapova beating kim
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post #5 of 61 (permalink) Old 04-01-2005, 04:39 AM
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Re: Friday 1 April - Miami

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Originally Posted by MrOschie
i don´t see sharapova beating kim
I hope KIM kills SHUT-U-POVA
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post #6 of 61 (permalink) Old 04-01-2005, 05:20 AM
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Re: Friday 1 April - Miami

Quote:
Originally Posted by tennis_spider
I hope KIM kills SHUT-U-POVA
you can hope but she'll lose. I'm a kimmy fan and she'll keep it close but damn venus played as well as i've seen her play since shes come on tour and sharapova was all over her. Only thing I dont like is mashas having a lil trouble closing matches, hope that doesnt bite her in the ass. I havent seen the odds yet but if they give over 1.55 im over it in a big way.

Rafa to win prolly in a parlay with masha.

and a lil on andre, he loves the tourny and seems to play better with the home crowd then he does on a neutral site plus he loves the night matches.
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post #7 of 61 (permalink) Old 04-01-2005, 06:17 AM
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Re: Friday 1 April - Miami

I think Kim beats Maria, but that's on saturday, right? I think Fed will beat Andre easily again and although I want Nadal to win, I think Ferrer will make it a tougher than expected match, but not sure if I will back him.
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post #8 of 61 (permalink) Old 04-01-2005, 06:22 AM
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Re: Friday 1 April - Miami

Quote:
Originally Posted by MrOschie
i don´t see sharapova beating kim
I wrote that before Kim demolished Amelie. I'm really not sure who I think will win now, I think I still give the edge to Sharapova, as much as I'd like Kim to win
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post #9 of 61 (permalink) Old 04-01-2005, 06:48 AM
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Re: Friday 1 April - Miami

I think kims destruction of mauresmo was a great thing from a betting stand point hopefully it draws in bets on kim and makes bookies lower her stakes and up mashas. Kims had a relatively easy draw in the last 2 tournies, yes she beat number 1 and 2 but her history shows she owns those players, all that means is shes back in solid form. To see if shes in top form I would've wanted to see her against venus, serena or even justine, players she generally has trouble with. Mashas on a mission, im fairly confident especially with her play against venus that she'll win
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post #10 of 61 (permalink) Old 04-01-2005, 08:26 AM Thread Starter
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Re: Friday 1 April - Miami

Sharapova is 2.00 to beat Kim, with Kim at 1.72 with my bookie (William Hill).

Sharapova is a very tempting price, especially after seeing her performance against Venus. She was unstoppable.

Do you guys think Sharapova will win it?

However, the 1.11 being offered for Fed to beat Agassi isn't going to tempt me, I'm afraid. Maybe somebody would be by the high odds on Agassi? About 6.5 I think.

And ugh! Nadal's price keeps dropping. Last night he was 1.36, and now he's 1.22.
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post #11 of 61 (permalink) Old 04-01-2005, 09:40 AM
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Re: Friday 1 April - Miami

i definetely don t like the winning odds fot Nadal...I m not sure what to do right now ...a possibilty is back him to win in straight sets ..
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post #12 of 61 (permalink) Old 04-01-2005, 09:52 AM
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Re: Friday 1 April - Miami

Quote:
Originally Posted by Swisha
i definetely don t like the winning odds fot Nadal...I m not sure what to do right now ...a possibilty is back him to win in straight sets ..
Just thinking the exact same thing
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post #13 of 61 (permalink) Old 04-01-2005, 09:56 AM Thread Starter
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Re: Friday 1 April - Miami

Quote:
Originally Posted by Breaker
Just thinking the exact same thing

I know... but even the straight sets odds aren't great (1.61 ish).

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post #14 of 61 (permalink) Old 04-01-2005, 10:18 AM
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Re: Friday 1 April - Miami

Quote:
Originally Posted by tennis_spider
I hope KIM kills SHUT-U-POVA

EISERN UNION

Bryans || Djokovic || Paire || Rojer || Tecau || Pospisil || Chiudinelli || Verdasco || Simon || Seppi || Leo Mayer

Björkman || Arthurs || Edberg || Nalbandian || Hanley || Rafter
T.Johansson || M.Norman || Aspelin || O. Rochus || Söderling


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post #15 of 61 (permalink) Old 04-01-2005, 12:24 PM
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Re: Friday 1 April - Miami

Nadal may win but odds are an absolute non-sense.
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