Wednesday 23 March - Miami - Page 2 - MensTennisForums.com
Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools
post #16 of 85 (permalink) Old 03-23-2005, 11:18 AM
country flag gsm
Registered User
 
gsm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 947
                     
Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

no play for me today , but one particular 1st rd match that has my attention is lisnard TBT young. is this a no brainer or what?

if i go through with this it will be the first and probably last time i will back lisnard as he generaly has ugly results.

but taking into account lisnards qualy results; 46 61 62 over goldstein who is known to pick his game up on home soil and 62 64 over bogomolov who would have been super keen to get some runs on the board. i would say he would have too much in the trunk for the youngster.

if for some reason lisnard throws away his ok qualy form and loses to young then will be able to get back most if not all of that loss by backing chela TBT young in next rd.

the only drawback is having to back lisnard , which normally for me would be a big , big no.

sportodds have lisnard priced at 1.16 which is ok i think. will have a look at qualy stats and forum thoughts before commiting.

no hurry as not played tomorrow.

Last edited by gsm; 03-23-2005 at 11:36 AM.
gsm is offline  
Sponsored Links
Advertisement
 
post #17 of 85 (permalink) Old 03-23-2005, 11:23 AM
bad gambler
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

OK lads this is what i got....

parlay kim/saulnier/verdasco - pays $3.99

and also hitting saulnier single as well gives me $1.80

Last edited by bad gambler; 03-23-2005 at 11:30 AM.
post #18 of 85 (permalink) Old 03-23-2005, 11:29 AM
bad gambler
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

also going to hit a single for value - although enqvist has been in decent form think the match against lee is still 50/50

taking lee single @ $2.70
post #19 of 85 (permalink) Old 03-23-2005, 11:36 AM
Banned!
 
its.like.that's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: sans domicile fixe
Posts: 34,169
                     
Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

lol... why take lisnard at 1.16??
its.like.that is offline  
post #20 of 85 (permalink) Old 03-23-2005, 11:39 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Age: 31
Posts: 3,274
                     
Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

Quote:
Originally Posted by its.like.that
lol... why take lisnard at 1.16??

Who took Lisnard?
MalmöKrampan is offline  
post #21 of 85 (permalink) Old 03-23-2005, 11:41 AM
bad gambler
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

yeah not worth it - $1.16 plays are out the door for me unless it is a cert into a parlay play
post #22 of 85 (permalink) Old 03-23-2005, 11:44 AM
country flag gsm
Registered User
 
gsm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 947
                     
Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

backing some large prices there BG (3.99 , 1.80 and 2.70). the biggest odds i have backed this year is 1.33.

are you/or is anyone else laughing at my thoughts on backing lisnard for the huge return of 16%?
gsm is offline  
post #23 of 85 (permalink) Old 03-23-2005, 11:47 AM
bad gambler
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

Quote:
Originally Posted by gsm
backing some large prices there BG (3.99 , 1.80 and 2.70). the biggest odds i have backed this year is 1.33.

are you/or is anyone else laughing at my thoughts on backing lisnard for the huge return of 16%?
to be honest i'd rather lose my money on "bigger plays" say $1.60+ then the short odds that you suggest - trust me its more painful if you lose on a $1.16 play!

and no we are not laughing at your play - just think its hardly worth risking your cash for a $1.16 play
post #24 of 85 (permalink) Old 03-23-2005, 11:51 AM
country flag gsm
Registered User
 
gsm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 947
                     
Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

Quote:
Originally Posted by MalmöKrampan
Who took Lisnard?
me.

most of my bets average about 1.10

as i said lisnard is not someone i would normally contemplate backing. but i say again , if lisnard loses than you could get back your loss through backing chela TBT young in the next rd.

thoughts???
gsm is offline  
post #25 of 85 (permalink) Old 03-23-2005, 11:53 AM
country flag gsm
Registered User
 
gsm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 947
                     
Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

BTW i have made a 165% profit on my initial bank this year.
gsm is offline  
post #26 of 85 (permalink) Old 03-23-2005, 11:57 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 589
                     
Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

guys, personnaly, and although I'm one of this player's biggest fan, I wouldn't bet on thomas enqvist. Logically, he should be able to beat Lee but you just never know with him. He can become very inconsistent if it happens to be windy in Key Biscayne.
My tip is Michael Llodra and as a frenchman, I know what I'm talking about (1.66 on William Hill)
coup-du-cobra is offline  
post #27 of 85 (permalink) Old 03-23-2005, 11:57 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Age: 31
Posts: 3,274
                     
Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

Quote:
Originally Posted by gsm
me.

most of my bets average about 1.10

as i said lisnard is not someone i would normally contemplate backing. but i say again , if lisnard loses than you could get back your loss through backing chela TBT young in the next rd.

thoughts???
If you feel that there is no way that Lisnard can lose, then why not take him?? Simple as that. Then the odd 1.16 becomes value...

Good luck!
MalmöKrampan is offline  
post #28 of 85 (permalink) Old 03-23-2005, 11:59 AM
Banned!
 
its.like.that's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: sans domicile fixe
Posts: 34,169
                     
Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

Quote:
Originally Posted by gsm
BTW i have made a 165% profit on my initial bank this year.
really? have you lost any bets??
its.like.that is offline  
post #29 of 85 (permalink) Old 03-23-2005, 11:59 AM
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 109
                     
Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

Gsm if you can pull it off each year its good the only point is that although youre hit rate will be very high you only need one or two to go down to set you back.

However if it suits you and you found a formula for you that works keep it.

Good luck to us all today trying to bust the books!!
philben is offline  
post #30 of 85 (permalink) Old 03-23-2005, 12:02 PM
country flag gsm
Registered User
 
gsm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 947
                     
Re: Wednesday 23 March - Miami

i would not be shocked if lisnard lost to young but would jump off a bridge if young BT chela. see where i am coming from?
gsm is offline  
Reply

Quick Reply
Message:
Options

Register Now



In order to be able to post messages on the MensTennisForums.com forums, you must first register.
Please enter your desired user name, your email address and other required details in the form below.

User Name:
Password
Please enter a password for your user account. Note that passwords are case-sensitive.

Password:


Confirm Password:
Email Address
Please enter a valid email address for yourself.

Email Address:
OR

Log-in









Human Verification

In order to verify that you are a human and not a spam bot, please enter the answer into the following box below based on the instructions contained in the graphic.



Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Show Printable Version
Email this Page Email this Page



Posting Rules  
You may post new threads
You may post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On

 
For the best viewing experience please update your browser to Google Chrome