Federer played mediocre match vs Tsonga,if he does the same in SF, he is toast. But he usually doesnt play two crap matches in a row, he certainly is able to serve lot better. He never lost to Murray on slam and he IS mentally lot stronger if Nadal is not in picture.
Roger will come out firing. He`s used to the night conditions and he has been tested here a lot and should be ready to go right from the beginning.
For Andy this tournament starts tomorrow evening (intense wise) so he`ll need some time to adapt.
Overall Murray is the clear favorit for me on this slow hardcourt. But I think the best way of betting on this one is to wait and put your stakes on him inplay as I`m absolutly sure we`ll see much much higher odds.
Interesting that after Djoko destroyed Ferru, bookies ( = public opinion ) practically declared him as AO winner already. Having 1.5 even before we know who is other finalist sounds like overreacting to me.
I dont think it is so sure. Sunday is another day and Djoko may not be so brilliant in final.
So I loaded more on Fed outright @6.25. If he reaches into final, at least I have some trading room then.