slow indoor hc, mayer with confidence & in form
--> mayer should be 1.4, not 2.2
He had lost 5 in a row prior to beating Hewitt and Tomic in Germany and on clay. Thats a better frame of mind than losing to those guys but most people beat those guys on clay especially with a homecourt advantage.
Blake is great on indoor HC but Mayer did beat Nadal last year in Shanghai, it just depends on the surface speed imo.