Re: Nole v Fed Friday
Match is very, very poorly handicapped.
The line is based on Nole's obvious domination here in 2012 of Fed.
- 2-0, 5-0 on sets, 172-136 total points won, Fed has only broken him 4 times all year.
But if you look closer its way, way closer. Federer was ahead in both sets 1 and 2 at RG.
Federer is clearly way, way inferior on clay for obviously reasons some of which include the fact that he has to hit way more perfect shots on that surface than on HC and grass.
I think on grass, its going to be a different story. Fed is going to be able to play more aggressively and take it to Nole. As well as the Serb moves and as much court as he covers the faster court will neutralize him some. Rog will be able to S&V more, he'll be able to come in a lot more and his BH will be much, MUCH more effective.
Its pretty simple here. If Fed plays like he did in Dubai, IW, and Rotterdam he'll win. In fact, he was so incredible in Rotterdam and Dubai I believe with that form he would have easily won AO.
The match is on Fedrerer's racket. If he continues to have UE after UE (I believe he had 60+ UE at RG in 3 sets), then Nole will win easily. But if Fed is on at all he'll give Djokovic fits.
It should be closer to Nole 1.65 IMO.