Mens Tennis Forums banner

Nole v Fed Friday

4K views 41 replies 14 participants last post by  sports freak 
#1 ·
:wavey:

Hi folks, I am not here very often but need an advice of people who are doing this just for business. I normal circumstances I would like to see Fed winning here but I am planning to put big money on Nole's win here . So need an advice from neutral people about this one because want to be sure that some hidden jinxing voice isn't talking inside me :lol: . Wouldn't like to lose that much money because some silly mind games


Thanx
 
#2 ·
Re: Nole vs Fed ??

I think Djoko 1.38 -1.4 is kinda short.He most likely wins, but reward is not so big. And who knows which Fed will show up.I wouldnt put big money on Djoko with these odds, he was not too sharp today.

I have pre tournament Djoko outright bet and I let it ride until end, but stake is small, I can afford to lose it if miracle happens and Jesus-Fed shows up.
 
#3 ·
Re: Nole vs Fed ??

The recent h2h speaks for itself: Djokovic 5 out of 6 wins, and he has looked very comfortable going into this match. There's absolutely no signs that Djokovic would ease up especially with so much at stake and with Federer no longer the better player. However if you're not under pressure why put big money on a single game? There will be many more opportunities and matches to be had.
 
#5 ·
Re: Nole vs Fed ??

there are much easier matches at such odds

the jinxer in you is thinking of doing this
 
#6 ·
Re: Nole vs Fed ??

These prices are set based on 2011 form IMO, Djokovic worthy favourite but not to this extent. Perhaps it's just my back pocket hoping more than anything else that Fed can win this.

However the biggest joke in prices is the Murray v Tsonga match
 
#7 ·
I think these odds are based on Joker being no.1 and beating Fed 7 of the last 8 encounters!Its interesting this match is the very 1st at Wimbledon,hopefully that might give Roger a heads up which he will need!Wouldnt be suprised if Fed comes out guns blazing and somehow Joker slowly but surely reels him in,either way hopefully its entertaining and not a straight sets drubbing!
 
#11 ·
Match is very, very poorly handicapped.

The line is based on Nole's obvious domination here in 2012 of Fed.

- 2-0, 5-0 on sets, 172-136 total points won, Fed has only broken him 4 times all year.

But if you look closer its way, way closer. Federer was ahead in both sets 1 and 2 at RG.

Federer is clearly way, way inferior on clay for obviously reasons some of which include the fact that he has to hit way more perfect shots on that surface than on HC and grass.

I think on grass, its going to be a different story. Fed is going to be able to play more aggressively and take it to Nole. As well as the Serb moves and as much court as he covers the faster court will neutralize him some. Rog will be able to S&V more, he'll be able to come in a lot more and his BH will be much, MUCH more effective.

Its pretty simple here. If Fed plays like he did in Dubai, IW, and Rotterdam he'll win. In fact, he was so incredible in Rotterdam and Dubai I believe with that form he would have easily won AO.

The match is on Fedrerer's racket. If he continues to have UE after UE (I believe he had 60+ UE at RG in 3 sets), then Nole will win easily. But if Fed is on at all he'll give Djokovic fits.

It should be closer to Nole 1.65 IMO.
 
#37 ·
I cant remember the last time Roger lost in straights sets in a SF,aswell as at Wimbledon on grass on his favourite surface where he's won the most titles!Also this is the very 1st matchup at Wimbledon for the 2 which is incredible to think of!Expect Roger to come out blazing(hopefully controlled aggression) while Joker starts getting use to the circumstances!

Fed/Joker Yes Tie brk 1.45/Mugrray/Wilfred Yes Tie brk 1.45 @ 2.10 - At worse Andy in straight set with a tie brk,same with Joker!

Fed 1st set winner 2.50 - Small backbet on Joker 7-6(5.50) -Fed's matches is like HOT/COLD/HOT/COLD/HOT!

GL
LLLW,welcome back Fed!:)
 
#17 ·
I didn't know what I was assuming until this dropped in the livescores thread:

BG you said the Murray-JWT match was priced improperly. What were you saying exactly[sic]
Response:

Murray too short, what else could it mean
Unless I'm being fucktarded, Murray being "too short" means the odds being too low.

Sincere apologies if I'm mistaken, however.

Have a lovely weekend everyone! :)
 
#16 ·
im not touching fed vs novak with a barge pole

too much history and pride here, they dont like eachother so both will have big determination to win.

Federers back issues are a problem for me, if he cant move to the best of his ability novak will destroy him in straight sets, if not we would have a interesting match especially if fed serves well, could go 5 sets and fed could well feed off the crowd and roll out some magic/ninja.
 
#20 ·
World #1 ranking up for grabs, #6 for Nole, #17 (#7 at Wimby) for Roger and you think the determination will be because they don't like each other? You must be a spiteful person.

I doubt theres any additional motivation needed in this one. It could be Robert Federer across the net and Rog would be going for blood.
 
#22 ·
I assumed bg meant the relatively short odds on Murray were "the joke", apologies if I assumed incorrectly...Murray is 1.40-1.44 with most bookies ( except for the ones who offer under 1.40 ). Betfair has him at 1.47 ( so 1.437 after commission ). 1.50 must have been an eariler price then.
To me it makes no sense that someone would call "biggest joke" the fact that a fav is priced incorrectly too high. If anything else that would be considered an opportunity...apologies if I got it wrong.
 
#25 ·
I cant remember the last time Roger lost in straights sets in a SF,aswell as at Wimbledon on grass on his favourite surface where he's won the most titles!Also this is the very 1st matchup at Wimbledon for the 2 which is incredible to think of!Expect Roger to come out blazing(hopefully controlled aggression) while Joker starts getting use to the circumstances!

Fed/Joker Yes Tie brk 1.45/Mugrray/Wilfred Yes Tie brk 1.45 @ 2.10 - At worse Andy in straight set with a tie brk,same with Joker!

Fed 1st set winner 2.50 - Small backbet on Joker 7-6(5.50) -Fed's matches is like HOT/COLD/HOT/COLD/HOT!

GL
 
#26 ·
Putting all my djoko/mayer + murray/ferrer + serena/azerenka winnings
Djoko x murray @1.96

No trust in fed or jwt lol

Good luck all!!
 
#27 ·
jo will take out murray his serve has been clutch and everyone 4gets that kohli has had a great tourny ferrer choked that 2nd set jo wont hes got gorrilla balls gl with ur bets my last 2hundred on jo@2.90 might half it on first set
 
#29 ·
Murka is clearly too short IMO( 1.43 in pinnacle now), maybe even more than Djoko. We have to consider huge media pressure, which almost always causes problems for Murray. Fact that he already failed 3 times in SF stage, cant help him either.

Tsonga being not enough fit to win long match, 5-setter ?! Fact tell us another story.

Tsonga played total 12 5-setters on slams:
8 wins, 4 losses.

This includes destroying Djokovic in 5th set of AO QF 2010 6-1 and spanking Federer in last year Wimby from two sets to love down.Fact that he couldnt last 5- set grinding marathon on clay vs Djoko, is irrelevant here, grass is not clay.

And BTW, I dont think that BG or anyone else here who has sane mind, make his bets based on who he likes or hates. I for example cant stand Nadull, but if I think he has good chance for upset or if he is overpriced fav( like in Monte Carlo this year), I have no problems to back him.
 
#30 ·
Murka is clearly too short IMO( 1.43 in pinnacle now), maybe even more than Djoko. We have to consider huge media pressure, which almost always causes problems for Murray. Fact that he already failed 3 times in SF stage, cant help him either.

Tsonga being not enough fit to win long match, 5-setter ?! Fact tell us another story.
Djokovic vs Tsonga, French Open Roland Garros 2012 – Tsonga had the match but not the physical fitness. He's a strong "beef ******", but he's by no means as physically fit as the top four. After the match (from which it was already obvious) he personally said he needs to get in shape, more physically fit, and improve his condition. :rolleyes:
 
#32 ·
murray is 1.33 at tab think everyone is parlaying it with joker murray deserves to be fav but no way that short jo is serving like karlovic cept he has a ground game and i doubt they will call ffs fuk i wish i could put my right nut on hold for some credit with the bookie
 
#41 ·
Exactly. Under McClagan Murray put on some weight which included a 4000 calorie diet of protein to get bigger but Nole is the guy that really figured it out.

One Nole went on his gluten free diet, Murray followed course and dropped some weight as well. He was never Tsonga big, but he did shed pounds.

Tsonga has done amazingly well for himself. From being a well overweight guy who struggled to crack the top 100 and be relevant to being a top 5 player in the world with that backhand speaks volumes about how much stride hes made, and theres no guarantee that the weight loss will win a slam, he might just not be good enough.

But shedding pounds and changing his diet would definitely help Jo Willy to not get hurt as much as he does and it would have made a difference in Paris this year for sure.
 
This is an older thread, you may not receive a response, and could be reviving an old thread. Please consider creating a new thread.
Top