Nicolas Almagro 2.92 over Andy Roddick
When this line came out I was initially in shock. Roddick struggled mightily against Lu in round one and I thought he would have trouble exercising the demons of a defeat at the hands of the China man at Wimbledon a few years ago but Roddick did enough, and just barely enough to advance.
Almagro hasn't bounced back since the end of the clay court season and has probably been the most extreme example of a guy who is brilliant on clay courts but struggles on other surfaces.
With all that being said, Almagro price here is extremely generous especially on a slower HC and I thoroughly expect the world #11 to beat Roddick here.
Alexandr Dolgopolov 1.83 over Bernard Tomic
Exciting for all the Aussies on MTF to see Tomic emerging rapidly and a pretty big win for him against the up
and coming Anderson but I don't see a good result for him against Dog here. The Ukranian returns big serves extremely well and even though he struggled against Ramos yesterday I think he'll eliminate Tomic here
Roddick will eat up Almagro in my opinion, i've been studying this matchup for last two hours.
Almagro has not been impressive at all since losing to Simon at Hamburgh. His most impressive win on HC was against a beyond lathargic Gasquet who looked absolutely atrocious that match and later told reporters he didn't feel well the whole week. I analyzed all Almagro's 2010 hardcourt matches, and the majority of matches he won were close matches where he only won less than 5% of points and he saved a good deal of breakpoints, and he hasn't beaten a player of Roddick's caliber ever.
Roddick has not been impressive, aboslutely. But analyzing hardcourt results this year, and even since the US Open Series - Roddick is far, far superior. I'm going with a straight set win Roddick here, I guess we are butting heads here, desigunduh. We'll see what happens - should be an interesting match.
my wagers.
Roddick 1.49 big play Roddick -3 2.15 big play Giraldo 2.01 big play Dolgopolov 1.89 small play
recap
roddick 1.49 3 unit W
roddick -3 2.15 3 unit W
Giraldo 2.01 3 unit L
Dolgopolov 1.89 1 unit W
Berdych -4 1.88 3 units L
Lacko 3.2 2 units L
Lacko up 5-3 in deciding set and blows it. Tough way to lose, but I guess that's tennis. Onto tomorrow.
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