Originally Posted by philosophicalarf
Karlovic hates Monte Carlo, he just never gets his serve going. 4 career matches there, he's had a total of 18 aces (and zero last year!). I've seen him do more than that in a single set on hard court - when he met Serra in the US Open, he managed 42 in three sets.
More generally, Ivo is just plain horrible lately. His serve isn't firing properly, and his game beyond that is worse than ever. You have to get the feeling retirement isn't that far off.
Okay clay is the worst surface for Karlovic but last year he managed to do very good on clay for him (defeated Robredo). This year, he isn't in good shape but well Serra isn't so good. It's not a safe bet but well the odds is very interesting in my opinion.