Hedge Advise (Tennis) - MensTennisForums.com

 
LinkBack Thread Tools
post #1 of 3 (permalink) Old 01-26-2007, 09:51 AM Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 1,286
                     
Hedge Advise (Tennis)

Here my scenario.. (second time in a row this happens to me)

lets say I had 1 unit on Gonzo to win the australian open at odds 81 ..(back in October last year) (i had another unit on berdych)

now he i meeting Federer in Final on Sunday.. most likely Federer odds will be around 1.1 (even with Great preformances from Gonalez , Federer will be very short priced.. because of his previous Odds to win the open)

Question 1 : Do i hedge my bet .. or let it ride ?
Question 2 : if i hedge . then how much do i hedge it with?
bossboss is offline  
Sponsored Links
Advertisement
 
post #2 of 3 (permalink) Old 01-26-2007, 10:41 AM
Banned!
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 2,240
                     
Re: Hedge Advise (Tennis)

You need to ask yourself how much the money matters to you whether u hedge or not ? Eg If u were to hedge it and make a certain profit how much do u want / need that certain money ?

If u don't really need or want it overly then I would let it ride.
I was faced with a very similar scenario a few years back and here is a summary of what I did :

I had the Patriots to win the superbowl at various odds average around the 120-1 mark. They made the big show. On gameday St Louis were around 1.09
and 14.5 points favourites.

I decided it wasn't worth making a certain profit mainly because of the odds on St Louis ie. not much profit to be made.

What I did however is made sure I had two accounts with live betting with enough money in to hedge if at any stage New England got on top. I followed and rode nearly every play of the game lol.
Well at halftime St Louis were losing and out to 2.40 so I hedged some.

If at all possible that could be a option for you too (live betting).

Goodluck whatever u decide!
dave nz is offline  
post #3 of 3 (permalink) Old 01-26-2007, 10:41 PM Thread Starter
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 1,286
                     
Re: Hedge Advise (Tennis)

Quote:
Originally Posted by dave nz View Post
You need to ask yourself how much the money matters to you whether u hedge or not ? Eg If u were to hedge it and make a certain profit how much do u want / need that certain money ?

If u don't really need or want it overly then I would let it ride.
I was faced with a very similar scenario a few years back and here is a summary of what I did :
any sure profit will do as i am building up a very small bank after a really bad run from sydney kings loss versus 36ers in NBL couple of weeks ago
but on the other hand i like Gonzo chances

by the way i can get 1.14 on Federer which is better than i expected

Quote:
Originally Posted by dave nz View Post
If at all possible that could be a option for you too (live betting).
live betting is not an option ..don't like betfair.. never liked . maybe if centrebet sometimes offers it.
bossboss is offline  
Reply

Quick Reply
Message:
Options

Register Now



In order to be able to post messages on the MensTennisForums.com forums, you must first register.
Please enter your desired user name, your email address and other required details in the form below.

User Name:
Password
Please enter a password for your user account. Note that passwords are case-sensitive.

Password:


Confirm Password:
Email Address
Please enter a valid email address for yourself.

Email Address:
OR

Log-in









Human Verification

In order to verify that you are a human and not a spam bot, please enter the answer into the following box below based on the instructions contained in the graphic.



Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Show Printable Version
Email this Page Email this Page



Posting Rules  
You may post new threads
You may post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On

 
For the best viewing experience please update your browser to Google Chrome