CR: 82-93 (-£5700.95)
Over the next couple of weeks I'm going to be adding some Euro 2008 plays and here are my first batch.
L1 (£100) Luci Toni top scorer Euro 2008 @ 14/1
PP (SI) - £1500
L1 (£100) David Villa top scorer Euro 2008 @ 17/1
PP (SI) - £1800
L1 (£100) Thierry Henry top scorer Euro 2008 @ 21/1
PP (SI) - £2200
My thinking here is that I believe Italy and France will make the last four and with that in mind you'd expect goals from Toni and Henry. On the downside, they are both in the group of death and goals may be at a premium. However, I don't see value in Ronaldo or Torres as top scorers, I believe their prices have been squashed as they have done so well in the Premiership this season, but that won't necessarily be reflected in Euro 2008. Villa takes penalties and Torres doesn't for a start. With regards Villa, I actually think Spain will get knocked out in the QF, so that would give him 4 matches only. As a contingency, I may be wrong, and so the price on Villa looks value to me. I am also considering adding Benzema for top scorer but I want to wait and see if there is any indication as to whether he is likely to start. He is a huge price.
L5 (£500) Czech.Rep to NOT qualify from Group A @ 11/8
PP (SI) - £1187.50
My feeling is that Portugal and Switzerland will go through. The Swiss were 5/4 to qualify, so I've taken the slightly better price of 11/8 on the Czechs not doing so as it effectively amounts to the same thing.
CR: 82-93 (-£6500.95)
And I have added a play for today about to kick off.
L5 (£500) Stockport to beat Rochdale (90mins) @ 6/4
PP (SI) - £1250
CR: 82-93 (-£7000.95)