The draw isn't terribly kind to him, but at least it's not as brutal as some of the others... He's facing a couple of huge servers, but i think he'll be ok as they're gonna knock each other out, like verkerk and phlippoussis. I think if he plays well, he will make to the Qrt [hopefully he can go further]. He's in the same Qrt as Coria, but coria is not really great physical with the injury and all, so i think he will make it through..
As some ppl have said, he's not playing badly or anything, just a bit unlucky to lose first round in sydney. The wins in Hongkong should give him some confidence and despite the lack of preparation enroute to the aus open, i think he's in there with a fair chance.