Originally Posted by mangoes
Winning Miami is important to Roger and let's hope he is successful in his defense of the title. Personally, I think it's not only important in terms of points, but also from a psycological perspective. Nadal is putting pressure on Roger and that Dubai final didn't help matters. Roger needs to stroll into the clay season being able to say to himself, "hey, with all the pressure he(Nadal) attempted to put on me, I defended, now, it's my turn to put pressure on him to defend his two." Should Roger go out early and Nadal win this tournament, it will rattle Roger and may make him doubt himself as he enters the clay season................while giving Nadal even more confidence.
In terms of points, should Roger lose Miami early and Nadal win the title, there will no longer be a 2000+ points to play with............in addition to this, should Nadal perform better at Wimbledon and the US Open, he will close the gap even more (and while some may laugh at Nadal, I do not think it is so farfetched to expect him to perform well at these events). Lastly, Nadal isn't defending any point at the Masters' cup, he can only gain, so that can close the gap even further and turn the year end no. 1 position into a bit of a fight..............
Nadal has 2300 points to defend this clay season. MC, ROME, BARCELONA, RG. In the summer he has those two clay titles to defend that are worth over 500 put together. I think he might skip them and play a hardcourt event in the US before Canada. Canada he has 500 points, then he has 3rd points at USO, China Open points, 500 Madrid points therefore we shouldn't be cutting short just how huge it is for Nadal to not only defend his points but come up with enough outside of those events to give him more than Roger's.
I do agree with people who think that he should win Miami just to put pressure on Nadal now, let him experience what Roger has been experiencing for the past 2 years.