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post #286 of 415 (permalink) Old 05-16-2010, 08:58 PM
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Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

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oh i think i considered the possibilities that nadal plays in nice... is he playing??


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no , he is not playing......

http://www.rafaelnadal.com/calendar

so what will happen ?

what is required for Roger ? Semi final at roland garros ?
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post #287 of 415 (permalink) Old 05-16-2010, 09:01 PM
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Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

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no , he is not playing......

http://www.rafaelnadal.com/calendar

so what will happen ?

what is required for Roger ? Semi final at roland garros ?
semifinal RG = he ties the record
final RG = he breaks it.

(correct me if I'm wrong)

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post #288 of 415 (permalink) Old 05-16-2010, 09:27 PM
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Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

Ooooh this is going to be close...honestly can't really predict what I think Roger will do at RG. The last year or so I've had a very bad feeling about this RG, especially after his clay season up to Madrid, & now I just don't know...I suppose his chances of making the final are ok even if he doesn't play his best seeing as his probable main threats (ignoring Rafa) are either not playing well right now, injured or just not that great on clay (I'm thinking Djokovic, Del Potro, Kolya, Murray there). But you just never know these days, a shock can happen anywhere, I just hope Roger approaches each match in the right way & just gets the job done.

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post #289 of 415 (permalink) Old 05-17-2010, 05:38 AM
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Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

I am confident Roger will reach the semis in Paris at least.




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post #290 of 415 (permalink) Old 05-17-2010, 05:40 AM
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Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

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semifinal RG = he ties the record
final RG = he breaks it.

(correct me if I'm wrong)
That's right! All given that Nadal wins RG of course. If someone somehow takes Rafa out, then less will do. Not gonna happen though. I predicted Rafa to win everything this clay season way back in march and he hasn't disappointed yet, even if he didn't play his best at Madrid.

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post #291 of 415 (permalink) Old 05-17-2010, 05:47 AM
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Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

I am so sick and tired of Nadal by now




~~~Roger Federer (17 GS): Wimbledon 2003, AO 2004, Wimbledon 2004, US Open 2004, Wimbledon 2005, US Open 2005, AO 2006, Wimbledon 2006, US Open 2006, AO 2007, Wimbledon 2007, US Open 2007, US Open 2008, Roland Garros 2009, Wimbledon 2009, AO 2010, Wimbledon 2012 ~~~

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post #292 of 415 (permalink) Old 05-17-2010, 01:56 PM
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Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

The prospect for 286 or more weeks #1 looks a lot better for Federer after Madrid, considering the tournament as a whole. 600 Points in the bag, his game has improved (he is probably second best on clay again) and I can easily see him reach his customary Grand Slam level by next week. On the other hand, Nadal seems to play worse every tournament and is close to being beatable as shown by Gulbis, Almagro and Federer. Nadal is still the favorite for RG though, given his high 'basic' level, but I wouldn't be shocked if he loses again.
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post #293 of 415 (permalink) Old 05-17-2010, 03:34 PM
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Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

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Nadal is still the favorite for RG though, given his high 'basic' level, but I wouldn't be shocked if he loses again.
I would be shocked. Happy, but shocked.

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post #294 of 415 (permalink) Old 05-17-2010, 04:18 PM
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Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

Lol well it's also a matter of semantics. If I would have to assign probabilites, I think Nadal has a 80% chance to reach the final. Once there, if he meets Federer he has 80% chance to beat him, and against someone else roughly 90% (most players will be nervous in the final). I guess I will be merely 'surprised' if Nadal doesn't win RG. :P
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post #295 of 415 (permalink) Old 05-17-2010, 05:02 PM Thread Starter
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Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

updated thread... and now with 670 points separating them... a RG semis will GUARANTEE the #287 record... i still have bad feeling that roger is not going to make it to RG semis and nadal is going to win it... hence stopping the run...


regards,
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post #296 of 415 (permalink) Old 05-17-2010, 05:15 PM
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Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

Hi Wacky, thanks for updating. But you did not include Queens for Nadal? Will he skip it? Otherwise Federer only guarantees 286 weeks by reaching the RG semis.
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post #297 of 415 (permalink) Old 05-17-2010, 06:41 PM
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Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

Let's hope , at roland garros draw sheet ; Gulbis will be on nadal's side..
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post #298 of 415 (permalink) Old 05-17-2010, 07:46 PM
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Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

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Let's hope , at roland garros draw sheet ; Gulbis will be on nadal's side..
Djokovic, Gulbis, Soderling, Davydenko, Nalbandian, Ferrer, Wawrinka in Nadals half, please!

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post #299 of 415 (permalink) Old 05-18-2010, 12:53 AM Thread Starter
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Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

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Hi Wacky, thanks for updating. But you did not include Queens for Nadal? Will he skip it? Otherwise Federer only guarantees 286 weeks by reaching the RG semis.
oh yes thanks for reminding me...! it wasn't included previously because i had assumed he played earlier ATP250 tournaments... but as time progresses and he doesn't play them... i had overlooked it... thanks for pointing out..!

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Djokovic, Gulbis, Soderling, Davydenko, Nalbandian, Ferrer, Wawrinka in Nadals half, please!
much that i hoped so... but considering the seedings... doubt they can ALL be in nadal's half...

the only person i probably not want to be in roger's half is gulbis... the rest i'm not too concerned...



regards,
wacky
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post #300 of 415 (permalink) Old 05-18-2010, 02:33 AM
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Re: The countdown to screwing up the most #1 record thread

No way in HELL that Rafa will skipp Queens this year. Don't understand whereever folks even got that notion from.

Roger will have to make the SF at RG at least, it's as clear as that.

"It's getting colder, I'm getting colder, older, it's getting colder...

Am I still here? As one, with The Fear?
Am I still alive? I'm still f*cking ... Here...!"


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Into music of the PROG-Dorky-kind? visit my blog or MTF's Prog Rock Thread.
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