yes it's more about Nadal now, to say the truth.
And even if Nadal wins Roma and Madrid, he has a good chance to still be seeded 3 in French Open
, considering that Djokovic only needs 700 points and has a great draw in Roma, should reach the final imo, and plays Belgrade next week.
It means that after Madrid where Federer may meet Nadal in the semifinal, he may also meet him in the semifinal in French Open
Pfft yes. What a nightmare. If for one thing, I wish for Rafa to get back to #2 asap (for obvious reasons), but I guess that's all depending on what Djoko will be able to do, in coming two months or so.
the chance to beat that record in next weeks looks small now imo, except if Nadal has a problem. But well, it's still possible to take number 1 back later in the year
Rafa has already made the very sensible decision to skip Barcelona this year (finally!), so I get the impression that he's surely not going to blow himself up again like he did last year. Unless some disaster happens, he'll surely be back at #1 after Wimbledon (where there's a points swing between Roger and himself of !4000! at stake
), and maybe, even before that.
As for Roger's chances to take it back later in the year... doubtful as well. He's got a USO final and a Cincy victory to defend, whereas Rafa can pick up lots of points about anywhere (due to the difference in points between reaching QFs, SFs and the like and actually WINNING tournaments, which he didn't manage to do for 11 long months). 1500 points for him for grabs at the WTF alone, just to mention one thing.
I think that unless Murray and Djokovic step it up, and perhaps DelPotro and Denko finally recovering from their injuries, the YE #1 might well be decided at Wimbledon this year.
Anyway, I still think that if Nadal keeps on like that, he fully deserves to be number 1 early
Most definitely. It's as easy as this: the guy that racks up the most points, is deserving of being #1, whatever the circumstances. I leave discussions about 'luck' and 'non-deserving' players up to the likes of SetSampras and co.
Federer has been unlucky with the draws recently imo, but Nadal still looks like a real solid number 1 : he's young and strong, it's normal imo, he had lost number 1 a little bit by bad luck as well.
Exactly. It goes both ways.