Originally Posted by Gigan
It was clear on Andre's qualification much earlier!!!
Safin has withdrawed...
What i am interesting now about:
Has David Nalbandian still chances for Masters Cup 2005 ?
Yes, David (343 points) still have chances there:
he have to play concetrated & focused on win in Paris !
Men's Preview: Week of October 31 (Exclusive)
Men's Look Forward: Paris
Agassi hadn't officially clinched, but there was no doubt about it in practice.
Under the ATP rules, everything expires this week: The Masters Cup comes off as well as Paris. In theory, that would make Race and Entry rankings the same.
It's not true in practice; Challengers don't count in the Race, and they do count for Entry. But they tend to align for the Top Ten at least.
We know they'll align for the top three: Roger Federer will be #1, Rafael Nadal #2, Andy Roddick #3. It's below that that things get a little interesting. If we look just at Race standings, Lleyton Hewitt is currently #4 and Andre Agassi #5, but they aren't playing -- so Guillermo Coria could pass either or both. Nikolay Davydenko can't overtake Hewitt, but he could pass Agassi with a final, and since he and Coria are in the same half, that could take him past Coria also.
Then there is Ivan Ljubicic. If he's gotten over his exhaustion, he's been the best indoor player of the year so far. He's a long way back; the only players he can pass (apart from Marat Safin, with whom he is tied in the Race) are Davydenko and Coria, and he needs at least a final to pass the former and a title to pass the latter. But he likes fast courts, and they don't.
Then comes the Great Argentine Clump: Gaudio, Nalbandian, Puerta. Gaston Gaudio leads David Nalbandian by two Race points, and Mariano Puerta by six. And Gaudio trails Ljubicic by only one point. Since all are seeded at Paris, and a first round win is worth 15 points, that is functionally a tie: Whoever lasts longest ends up in the lead, and potentially in the #8 spot, though they all need at least a final to overtake #7 Davydenko.
In theory, only three other players are still in the Race, barring withdrawals: Fernando Gonzalez, Thomas Johansson, and David Ferrer. Below that, there is no hope except to become an alternate, and probably a low alternate..
What it appears to boil down to is this: Seven players -- Federer, Nadal, Roddick, Hewitt, Agassi, Coria, and Davydenko -- are guaranteed to be Top Ten after Paris. Given the near-certainty of Shanghai withdrawals, all who can play can be considered certain to play the Masters Cup. (In fact, with the Race numbers as they are, only Coria and Davydenko can be threatened even if everyone plays, and the only way Coria can lose his spot is if he loses early, and Davydenko makes the semifinal, and Ljubicic, Gaudio, Nalbandian, or Puerta wins Paris.)
The eighth spot, with Safin almost certainly not playing
, will be contested by Ljubicic, Gaudio, Nalbandian,
Puerta, Gonzalez, and maybe Thomas Johansson and Ferrer. Any of these guys can be Top Ten -- note the possibility that Safin will fall below #10. Beyond that, there isn't much we can say until we know who will and won't play Shanghai. And absolutely nobody is talking.
Andre Agassi forever :wavey