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post #1 of 56 (permalink) Old 09-11-2017, 11:11 AM Thread Starter
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2018 AO Look-ahead - Obvious Contenders

Barring any unique outside intervention, these six players should be ready to compete for the title:

Nadal
Dimitrov
Kyrgios
Federer
Zverev
Thiem


That looks like a damn good field. Zverev should be hardened to slam surroundings and Thiem to hard court surroundings by that time, so I'm fully banking on them being a factor. Kyrgios is a wildcard, I am merely hoping for him to simply be mentally checked in.

I don't think any of Djokovic, Murray, Wawrinka, Raonic, Nishikori will have a WINNING role after such a long-layoff, but they might anger these guys a bit or tier 2 individuals.

I think that group of 6 looks like a solid estimate though and a solid top field. Can't be too sure about Del Potro.
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post #2 of 56 (permalink) Old 09-11-2017, 11:34 AM
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Even if Wawrinka,Djokovic and Murray don't win they can still pull upsets
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post #3 of 56 (permalink) Old 09-11-2017, 12:19 PM
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Re: 2018 AO Look-ahead - Obvious Contenders

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Originally Posted by Pesse4577haver View Post
Even if Wawrinka,Djokovic and Murray don't win they can still pull upsets
We're still pretty far from the world where Djokovic/Wawrinka/Murray beating the likes or Kyrgios, Zverev, Dimitrov and Thiem is considered an upset. We might get there sooner or later, but we're not there yet.

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post #4 of 56 (permalink) Old 09-11-2017, 12:23 PM
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Re: 2018 AO Look-ahead - Obvious Contenders

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Originally Posted by Budadiii View Post
Barring any unique outside intervention, these six players should be ready to compete for the title:

Nadal
Dimitrov
Kyrgios
Federer
Zverev
Thiem


That looks like a damn good field.
"Damn good" lol those players competed for USO too and look how pathetically weak that tournament turned out.

Hopefully at least one of Djokovic/Murray/Wawrinka makes a strong comeback and goes deep.


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post #5 of 56 (permalink) Old 09-11-2017, 12:28 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pesse4577haver View Post
Even if Wawrinka,Djokovic and Murray don't win they can still pull upsets
We're still pretty far from the world where Djokovic/Wawrinka/Murray beating the likes or Kyrgios, Zverev, Dimitrov and Thiem is considered an upset. We might get there sooner or later, but we're not there yet.
I meant Federer/Nadal
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post #6 of 56 (permalink) Old 09-11-2017, 12:54 PM
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Re: 2018 AO Look-ahead - Obvious Contenders

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I meant Federer/Nadal
I wouldn't call that an upset either. Federer is 36 years old, and Nadal's body, according to some of his loyal supporters, is even older than that. If Djokovic, Muray and Wawrinka are in form, they must be considered co-favorites at least.
The seeding and the draw of AO 2018 are going to be very, very awkward. Hopefully in a good way.

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post #7 of 56 (permalink) Old 09-11-2017, 01:03 PM
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Re: 2018 AO Look-ahead - Obvious Contenders

a djokovic-Nadal 3rd or 4th round would be nice.
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post #8 of 56 (permalink) Old 09-11-2017, 01:07 PM
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Re: 2018 AO Look-ahead - Obvious Contenders

Djok is the AO goat, you can't rule out his chances. I'd rate Wawrinka and Andy's chances higher than Thiem's and Gyros's. Domi is just not that good on hard while we don't know if Nick will be interested. Andy and Djok made strong results even when they weren't 100% fit.

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post #9 of 56 (permalink) Old 09-11-2017, 01:15 PM
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a djokovic-Nadal 3rd or 4th round would be nice.
Not for their respective fanbases
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post #10 of 56 (permalink) Old 09-11-2017, 01:29 PM
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Re: 2018 AO Look-ahead - Obvious Contenders

AO is a very special tournament, it's often set the tone of the entire year in the last few years and is an important sign of the changes of the new season.

In 2014, we witnessed the Wawrinka breakthrough, which signaled the loosening of big-4 dominanace(We saw 2 slams and 2 Masters won by non-big 4 players that year), while Federer making the semis beating Murray foreshadowed the resurgence of Federer after a dreadful 2013 and the downfall of Murray in 2014.

In 2015, Murray announced his return to the top of the game with an impressive final run and making the final competitive for 3 sets. Djokovic, on the other hand, started his incredible season with two consecutive final set bagels in the semis and final.

The Djokoray utter dominance of 2016 began with a Djokoray final at AO, while Raonic also presented a transformation that led to his peak year in 2016.

This year's AO was perhaps the most symbolic, with Djokoray shockingly bombing out early after their epic Doha final and Fedal launching their respective two slam sagas with one of the best matches of the year in the final. Dimitrov and Wawrinka also backed up their semifinal results by taking the Cincy title and RG runner up.

All in all, a lot can change in one offseason, and doing well at the AO bodes well for the rest of season. Who would have thought of Djokovic's sudden leap in 2011, or Fedal's sudden resurgence this year beforehand? At this point, Fedal are obviously the tier one contenders for 2018 AO, while I would classify Djokovic/Murray/Wawrinka as tier two, since they will be fresh after a long rest and they have proved themselves countless times. As for the tier 3 contenders, I have Zverev/Thiem/Dimitrov/Cilic/Nishikori/Raonic/Del Potro/Kyrgios as the ones who could suddenly step up or peak out of nowhere.
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post #11 of 56 (permalink) Old 09-11-2017, 02:05 PM
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Re: 2018 AO Look-ahead - Obvious Contenders

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Originally Posted by 5thS3tCHOKE View Post
a djokovic-Nadal 3rd or 4th round would be nice.
Depends on Djokovic' form, but I don't think that KIA & AO directors would like to see "The friend of AO" in the same 1/16 with Djokovic, regardless of his form, considering they were never even in the same half at HC slams after USO'07 till USO 2015.

Last edited by doubletrollt; 09-11-2017 at 02:08 PM.
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post #12 of 56 (permalink) Old 09-11-2017, 02:07 PM Thread Starter
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Re: 2018 AO Look-ahead - Obvious Contenders

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"Damn good" lol those players competed for USO too and look how pathetically weak that tournament turned out.

Hopefully at least one of Djokovic/Murray/Wawrinka makes a strong comeback and goes deep.
two of those are on an upward curve, dummie. Catch up.
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post #13 of 56 (permalink) Old 09-11-2017, 02:08 PM Thread Starter
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Re: 2018 AO Look-ahead - Obvious Contenders

Surprised at how positive people view Djok/Murray/Stans chances... dont see any of them past the 4R.
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post #14 of 56 (permalink) Old 09-11-2017, 02:08 PM
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Re: 2018 AO Look-ahead - Obvious Contenders

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Originally Posted by Budadiii View Post
Barring any unique outside intervention, these six players should be ready to compete for the title:

Nadal
Dimitrov
Kyrgios
Federer
Zverev
Thiem


That looks like a damn good field. Zverev should be hardened to slam surroundings and Thiem to hard court surroundings by that time, so I'm fully banking on them being a factor. Kyrgios is a wildcard, I am merely hoping for him to simply be mentally checked in.

I don't think any of Djokovic, Murray, Wawrinka, Raonic, Nishikori will have a WINNING role after such a long-layoff, but they might anger these guys a bit or tier 2 individuals.

I think that group of 6 looks like a solid estimate though and a solid top field. Can't be too sure about Del Potro.
Kyrgios? Def not! he just has brief flashes of his top game.
Az? So far blech in slams
Dimi? More realistic choice but why USO crap performance after winning Cincy?
Thiem? Like him a lot but not so great on HC and also not so great in slams

Djok Waw and Murray all deserve places ahead of these guys
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post #15 of 56 (permalink) Old 09-11-2017, 02:10 PM
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Re: 2018 AO Look-ahead - Obvious Contenders

The draw could be a minefield with the players returning from injury ranked somewhere from 8-28.

Waving Wilson magic one point at a time

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Get well soon buddy, all the best for 2018

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