Below are the point totals with the 2016 French Open points removed.
#2 Djokovic 5,445 pts
#3 Wawrinka 4,725 + 250 possible from Geneva
#4 Nadal 5,285
#6 Raonic 4,180 + 250 possible from Lyon
#8 Cilic 3,775
#9 Nishikori 3,380 + 250 possible from Geneva
Thiem will have 3,425 points entering the French Open so even if he wins it he will not surpass Djokovic's point total.
That's a tough one. We don't know how deep Djokovic is gonna go, and Nadal isn't guaranteed to reach the final. I'm willing to bet it won't be Wawrinka though. As for the other 3, absolutely no chance.
Either Djokovic or Nadal. Stan is always a wildcard though he's been playing atrocious tennis for a while now, even worse than normal. Past couple years his base level was at least decent.
Yeah it will be great battle. That is why they played in Madrid and Kei has helped it because he has W/D . Obviously Nadal and Co think the only one who could stop Nadal is Novak . I am quite sure Djokovic is in great form and he is more fresher than Nadal is. Just because he did not play a lot this year. But IMO that is a better way to win a GS . Wawrinka won FO exactly like Murray who is not showing any game. Djoko was so mad to Nadal who lost on purpose to Thiem only not playing Djoko again before FO. But Djoko just trashed THiem . So it shows that at FO if those two play it would be real war but i think Wawrinka will show at FO as well.
If Djokovic stays #2 for a while longer he could actually take the record for being ranked top-2 consecutively. Federer got 346 weeks from November 17th 2003 - June 28th 2010. Djokovic' streak heads back to March 21st 2011 so he's on 324 now, which is already 2nd best by some margin, Connors stopped on 282 and Lendl on 280 (Nadal 212, Sampras 173, Borg 169, McEnroe 159).
As Wawrinka won Geneva, he is now at 4975, and Raonic is at 4270. So, I think we have the following situation:
- If Raonic wins, he will be no 2, because Djokovic and Nadal are in the same half.
- If Wawrinka wins, or if he gets to the final and the winner is no-one from Djokovic/Nadal/Raonic, he will be no 2.
- In all other cases, whoever out of Nadal and Djokovic goes further will likely be no 2 (It is possible to construct other cases with very early losses of both Nadal and Djokovic, but this seems not very likely).
Nadal doesn't lose CLAY SFs.
He's only lost a couple ever.
He's also got an incredible record in SLAM SFs.
And his QF is physically easy, if its Raonic.
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