I will say this -- for complaints of him being inconsistent, this year he argurably has not only more points than Murray & Djokovic in AO, but also in Masters actually (780 points vs. 100 points and 280 points). He has reached at least Round 4 in all the Masters, and is averaging 260 points (Masters QF + 80 points). Yes, he probably should have capitalized the falling apart of the MC draw, and maybe reached the Final, but according to him he hasn't found his rhythm yet on clay and had to adjust. He said he would do a 15-day training block, and I did see a picture of him training with Magnus (see here
) so I hope it wouldn't be fruitless.
I still think it's a bit mental for him going through ups and downs in a match, so I at least hope there are some tactical conversations when such things happen. As much as Madrid is fast clay, he did reach the Final last 2013 beating Berdych and Tsonga. He seemingly has a draw that is good enough for him to not underestimate it, which IMO with a Top 10 form he will be able to handle. Djokovic's drastic change will surely be critical, but I am not sure if it will be an automatic positive right now. Murray seems quite vulnerable on clay, with the serve not being very effective. I think if he produces the level he showed in Indian Wells (except for R16) I think he will get to the Final here. I won't expect I guess after how much he messed up his chance in MC, but as I said with Murphy's Law, what worse could happen?
He has a chance to get that #2 seeding before RG comes, so hopefully that is some motivation. He seems unsure if he'll play Geneva, so he could have a rest week before RG. Overall that seeding may not matter, seeing Nadal is the biggest threat right now and is #4 or #5 at the end probably. Overall I'm not exactly worried about Stan for RG, but I think some are selling his chances in Madrid (and Rome) a bit short.