I thought it would be interesting to see which players 21 and younger (the players hyped by the ATP as #NextGen) have the most ATP World Tour main draw (including Grand Slams, Davis Cup, and Olympics) wins so I compiled the list below. All data is from the ATP World Tour site (wins are as of 2/20/17), but I used Slasher's excellent ATP Open Era Rankings website (ATP Open Era & Live Rankings) to filter on all players 21 and younger with a ranking either currently in the Top 300 live rankings or with a career high in the Top 300.
I think that only 5 of these players (Kyrgios, Zverev, Coric, Khachanov, and Medvedev) have transitioned to the ATP main tour full time and are no longer playing Challengers as of this year. I don't know if this is a typically low number historically or not, but it seems pretty low to me.
I was surprised that Elias Ymer has played so many main draw matches. I assume that he must have received a lot of Wild Cards into ATP main draws.
Which of these players will have the most impact in the next 1-2 years?
5 U21 players on the main tour full-time isn't that bad, at least compared to generation useless exactly 5 years ago, when only Raonic, Tomic and Harrison (Stebe was just finshing the transition) had done it,while highest ranked player was #35 Raonic. 2 U21 players are in top 20 and 9 in top100 now, which is also much better than 0 and 4 exactly 5 years ago.
This chart pretty much indicates that NextGen is progressing significantly better than Generation Useless, but probably worse than any other generation the last 20-30 years.
Davis Cup stats mess with tables like these. Oftentimes the matches are against Futures level players and yet they still count towards their official tour level record.
Davis Cup stats mess with tables like these. Oftentimes the matches are against Futures level players and yet they still count towards their official tour level record.
Both Kyrgios and Zverev are on upward trends with 0.694 and 0.662 for the last 52 weeks, respectively (doesn't include Zverev's most recent loss), so expect them to pull away from the rest.
Great list, thanks for your work.
Ymer's stats include 10 Davis Cup matches in the Europe/Africa group. Still, 25 ATP main draw matches are already quite a lot for his age and ranking.
It would be interesting to have an historic chart including older and retired players to compare which players under 21 won how many titles and which eventually became more or less successful players throughout their careers
Chung didn't really have a chance to get going in 2016. He didn't start that year that great but then got injured n didn't play all summer. Certainly this season has been much better.
I updated the OP with an expanded table showing the year by year wins and losses. I also corrected the data for Halys, which originally showed his doubles wins instead of singles.
The players in red font played (or are still playing) in ATP main draws this week.
Sopot, Costa Do Sauipe, Acapulco, Monte Carlo x4, Barcelona x4, Rome x3, Roland Garros x4, Bastad, Stuttgart x2, Canada Master, Beijing, Madrid Masters, Dubai, Indian Wells and Hamburg.
Novak Djokovic :
222 Wins - 79 Loses || 74% || 13 Titles
Amersfoort, Metz, Adelaide, Miami, Estoril, Canada Master, Vienna, Australian Open, Indian Wells, Rome, WTF, Dubai and Belgrade.
Andy Murray :
186 Wins - 70 Loses || 73% || 11 Titles
San Jose x2, St. Petersburg x2, Doha x2, Marseille, Cincinnati, Madrid, Rotterdam and Miami.
Sopot, Costa Do Sauipe, Acapulco, Monte Carlo x4, Barcelona x4, Rome x3, Roland Garros x4, Bastad, Stuttgart x2, Canada Master, Beijing, Madrid Masters, Dubai, Indian Wells and Hamburg.
Novak Djokovic :
222 Wins - 79 Loses || 74% || 13 Titles
Amersfoort, Metz, Adelaide, Miami, Estoril, Canada Master, Vienna, Australian Open, Indian Wells, Rome, WTF, Dubai and Belgrade.
Andy Murray :
186 Wins - 70 Loses || 73% || 11 Titles
San Jose x2, St. Petersburg x2, Doha x2, Marseille, Cincinnati, Madrid, Rotterdam and Miami.
Interesting list. I feel like I've done a pretty good job of keeping up with the newer guys, but I'm surprised there are a few names I still haven't heard of. In particular: Nicolas Jerry, Lloyd Harris, and Christian Garin.
Updated stats thru 5/1/17. I left Kyrgios on the list even though he just turned 22 to show how many wins he ended up with before turning 22. A total of 91 wins is not very impressive from a historical perspective. Among active players, Gasquet, del Potro, Cilic, and Berdych all had 137 wins or more before their 22nd birthday and none of them are all-time greats or have reached #1 in their careers. Even Monfile and Tomic had 89 wins by the time they turned 22.
Kyrgios has a good percentage, almost as good as Federer and Del Potro. He just didn't play as much.
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