Evans - 40% - they've never played against Tsonga, and Evans's brand of tennis is not something usual for today's game, so Tsonga will need to adjust. If Evans is on fire, I see him troubling Tsonga a lot.
Seppi - 30% - Seppi has beaten Stan only when he wasn't The Man, and that's second week of a Slam. Don't see how Wawrinka manages to lose it but you never know with him.
Istomin -20%. - Unfortunately, will be too tired. Needs the epic ISTAMINA appearance.
Zverev - 0% - Murray eats S&V for breakfast, and this is the only Zverev's weapon.
1. Evans (a very likely possibility here. I'd say he's got 40-45% chances of winning.)
2. Seppi (you never know with this guy. And you also never know with Wawrinka.)
3. Istomin (although he will be toast with so many hours played already, he still has greater chances than Zverev.)
4. Zverev (absolutely no chance, unless Murray injures himself or something.)
Evans of the list. However Tsonga has played Federer (I know not quite the same, but still) a beaten him a few times.
It's a bit of a shame that Mischa Zverev had to be in Murray's section and Seppi in Wawrinka's. Swap these two and it would be more competitive. We know Zverev beat Wawrinka in Basel with his serve volley game, but Murray eats these players for breakfast. Seppi is a basic grinding baseliner with not much power in his game, should be blasted off court by Wawrinka easily.
Istomin has played excellently but 2 gruelling 5 setters during the day is rough on him and Grigor will be fresh and in tune.
Zverev has absolutely no chance at defeating Andy. Seppi has a outside shot if Wawrinka plays like shit. Istomin has a relatively decent chance if he plays well. Evans, however, has the best chance of any of them. If he plays his best and Jo is out of sorts then I can see him winning.
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