Nadal's chances at Wimbledon? - MensTennisForums.com

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post #1 of 43 (permalink) Old 06-11-2006, 05:23 PM Thread Starter
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Nadal's chances at Wimbledon?

Nadal's a great player, and I think he can (and will) excel on other surfaces...eventually (his ambition is one of the things I like most about him).

So, what does everyone think of his chances at Wimbledon this year? If I'm not mistaken, he lost to Muller last year, I think he's got more confidence in his abilities on non-clay surfaces. How far do you think he'll get at Wimbledon this year? Will he eventually win it?

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post #2 of 43 (permalink) Old 06-11-2006, 05:29 PM
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Re: Nadal's chances at Wimbledon?

I reckon his muscles are stronger than last year, he is serving better. Fish won Surbiton today, so a tough early test for him.

If he wins that then it's his bitch PHM, and you'd expect a bitch-slapping.

Hewitt may be a bridge too far though, we'll see how he plays.

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post #3 of 43 (permalink) Old 06-11-2006, 05:33 PM
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Re: Nadal's chances at Wimbledon?

It will probably depend largely on the nature of the grass surface at Wimbledon.

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post #4 of 43 (permalink) Old 06-11-2006, 05:36 PM
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Re: Nadal's chances at Wimbledon?

His style really doesn't fit Wimbledon. Baseliners have done well at wimbledon in the past - particular during the last few years when the surface has been slower, but the baseliners that do well there are players who take the ball on the rise. This is the main reason why the best claycourters have done so poorly on grass for a long time - they stand to far back, which you cannot afford on such a quick low-bouncing surface.

With a good draw, a totally dedicated Nadal may get to the 4th round, but probably not any further.

I'm sure Fed would love to get a shot at him on his best surface though.
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post #5 of 43 (permalink) Old 06-11-2006, 05:36 PM
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Re: Nadal's chances at Wimbledon?

Not even with Roger , Lleyton , Roddick , Nalbandian and Ljubo not playing because of injuries he would able to win the title or reach the final .

His chances are zero this year , but we will see how he is able to improve on grass in the next years
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post #6 of 43 (permalink) Old 06-11-2006, 05:41 PM
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Re: Nadal's chances at Wimbledon?

slim to none.

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post #7 of 43 (permalink) Old 06-11-2006, 05:42 PM
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Re: Nadal's chances at Wimbledon?

At this stage of his career, wimbledon is a step too far for Nadal. He will have to sharpen his volleying skills rapidly if he is to have any chance.
There are far too many powerful all court players who will be lying in wait for him such as Ancic,Blake,Ginepri,Tursenov,Henman,Rusedski and (wash my mouth out)Andy Roddick. the list goes on and on. He was beaten at Halle last year by Alexander Waske who I think would beat Rafa again if they met on a grasscourt.
Rafa has made a very wise choice in renting accomodation in London for a month and playing at Queens next week to obtain maximum practice.
Rafa will still have to improve his grass court game before he can make an impression at Wimbledon and I see him losing in the early rounds.
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post #8 of 43 (permalink) Old 06-11-2006, 05:45 PM
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Re: Nadal's chances at Wimbledon?

I was very proud to see nadal change things and serve and volley today. hes not natural at all but his tactics are very good. He just needs to get comfortable. Im not afraid to say that if he has a good draw he can get to the forth round and maybe lose in the quarters. Hey, if Lopez can do it then so can he. hes very ambitous and thats the key. More confidence might work and hes enting an apartment in wimby with feli so, YAY!!

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post #9 of 43 (permalink) Old 06-11-2006, 05:46 PM
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Re: Nadal's chances at Wimbledon?

...oops.... tricky...

first, chances of what?

to win one match?
to get into the second week?
getting into final?
or winning the title?

i think he has >50% chance of getting into the second week...

dont dream about rafa getting in the final this year...

but i m sure he will imrpove his game on grass in the next few years....


his problem is, he is playing so so so so well on clay,

that means he always has only 2 weeks to prepare for wimbledon...
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post #10 of 43 (permalink) Old 06-11-2006, 05:50 PM
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Re: Nadal's chances at Wimbledon?

Fat chance this year. His defensive play is best suited for clay that is historically the slowest surface that lets Nadal get to every single ball and put it back in play. I know he's showing some signs of improvement on offense but I still believe he's more of a defense-minded player who thrives on his opponent's mistakes; who basically forces you to make that extra shot or two. That's how Federer basically loses to Nadal on clay, because Federer loves to hit winners all over the court and finish a point quickly but not on clay and definitely not against Nadal who is pretty much a brick wall returning everything and forcing Federer to make some extra shots and consequently UEs. Whereas on grass, Federer is so effective with his forehand winners that Nadal wouldn't even have time to get to the ball without speaking about putting it back in court. Hopefully, Nadal can improve on grass, but I just don't see him winning Wimbledon with the likes of Federer, Roddick, Hewitt, Safin, Nalbandian and maybe Blake and Ljubicic around. Sorry no Wimbledon title for the Mallorca tennis prodigy in the foreseeable future.

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post #11 of 43 (permalink) Old 06-11-2006, 05:51 PM
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Re: Nadal's chances at Wimbledon?

Quote:
Originally Posted by jenanun
his problem is, he is playing so so so so well on clay,

that means he always has only 2 weeks to prepare for wimbledon...
Well, Roger doesn't have more time either.
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post #12 of 43 (permalink) Old 06-11-2006, 05:54 PM
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Re: Nadal's chances at Wimbledon?

We will see very soon I hope, no need to make predictions

P.S. He has more chance if he avoids Alexandar Waske

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post #13 of 43 (permalink) Old 06-11-2006, 05:55 PM
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Re: Nadal's chances at Wimbledon?

Quote:
Originally Posted by BlueSwan
Well, Roger doesn't have more time either.
when roger won 1st and 2nd wimbledon title, he didnt go that deep in RG...

nadal hasnt got the game at the moment to do well on grass, so he needs extra time to prepare for good results


roger is from another planet... so we shouldnt compare him with other ATP players...
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post #14 of 43 (permalink) Old 06-11-2006, 05:57 PM
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Re: Nadal's chances at Wimbledon?

It's always interesting to watch a player win on his least comfortable surface. To what extent does he stick to his normal game plan, or alter it fit the surface? It will be fascinating to see what Nadal comes up with.

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post #15 of 43 (permalink) Old 06-11-2006, 05:57 PM
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Re: Nadal's chances at Wimbledon?

Not much of a chance. He said himself today that he's hoping in 2-3 years that he can do something there.

I personally think that he's got a good chance to kick butt on hardcourts - and he's already proven he can win on hardcourts. I would rather have him put his efforts there and worry about the US Open.
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